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CharltonSheffield Utd

Charlton v Sheffield Utd prediction

Championship · · The Valley

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Charlton v Sheffield Utd, Championship on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.93 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Charlton host Sheffield Utd in the Championship on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Charlton are winless in their last 11 matches in all competitions. Sheffield Utd are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Sheffield Utd have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Charlton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Charlton’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Charlton have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 0.86. Charlton have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Charlton have conceded 22 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Sheffield Utd’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Sheffield Utd’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Sheffield Utd have four wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.56 points per game, scoring 1.44 and conceding 1.33. Sheffield Utd have scored 20 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Sheffield Utd have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Charlton (21st) and Sheffield Utd (ninth) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sheffield Utd the stronger side, 323 rating points above Charlton (Sheffield Utd 1520, Charlton 1196, after at least 106 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 January 2026, finished Charlton 1–0 Sheffield Utd.

Team news

Predicted Charlton XI (4-2-3-1): A. Okonkwo, L. Jones, B. Koumetio, K. Ramsay, D. McNamara, C. Coventry, T. Campbell, K. Ahearne-Grant, H. Knibbs, O. Skipp, M. Leaburn — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tyreece Campbell (4.4 per match over nine appearances, five goals) and Lloyd Jones (3.7 per match over 16 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Charlton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Charlton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tyreece Campbell averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1083 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Lloyd Jones averages 0.7 tackles per 90 over 1430 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Sheffield Utd XI (4-4-2): M. Cooper, J. Tanganga, H. Burrows, L. Kitching, H. Choudhury, S. Peck, T. Chong, K. Phillips, R. Donovan, T. Cannon, B. Brereton — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, C. O'Hare (4.5 per match over five appearances, two goals) and Kalvin Phillips (3.9 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Sheffield Utd’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sheffield Utd (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. O'Hare averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 1045 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Kalvin Phillips averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 652 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship · The Valley
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Charlton 2 · draws 0 · Sheffield Utd 0 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: Charlton 0W 1D 4L · Sheffield Utd 3W 1D 1L

Charlton v Sheffield Utd (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.5
Corners
against 5.63 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCharlton for / againstLineSheffield Utd for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
10 for · 16.5 against n 8
19.5standard
13.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.5 for · 9.13 against n 8
21.5standard
9.88 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.5 against n 8

Charlton

Charlton Goalkeeper

Charlton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Okonkwo12901080 min423.5 /90141.2 /9000 /90
W. Mannion392275 min62 /9020.7 /9000 /90
T. Brooks19090 min66 /9055 /9000 /90
Charlton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Okonkwo n 890
3.48/4
W. Mannion n 890.6
3.66/5

Charlton Defensive

Charlton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Jones16891430 min110.7 /90211.3 /90150.9 /90915.7 /9080.5 /9010.1 /90
D. McNamara14751046 min171.5 /90100.9 /9060.5 /90585 /9080.7 /9050.4 /90
I. Mesík1264772 min232.7 /9091 /9030.3 /90445.1 /90131.5 /9020.2 /90
A. Bell1183918 min232.3 /90131.3 /9060.6 /90555.4 /9040.4 /9000 /90
Billy Dawson Koumetio1083830 min111.2 /9050.5 /9070.8 /90636.8 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90
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Charlton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Jones n 890
0.54/0
0.62/2
—
M. Leaburn n 870
1.96/4
0.84/1
—
K. Ahearne-Grant n 871.6
0.85/0
0.32/0
—
Conor Coventry n 882.1
2.18/4
0.54/0
—
D. McNamara n 868.3
14/2
1.25/2
—
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Charlton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Jones n 890
0.94/3
M. Leaburn n 870
1.15/2
K. Ahearne-Grant n 871.6
0.53/0
Conor Coventry n 882.1
2.18/6
D. McNamara n 868.3
25/4
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Charlton Attacking

Charlton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Leaburn1662995 min00 /9000 /90141.3 /9030.3 /9060.5 /90100.9 /90
Micah Mbick734238 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9000 /9000 /9051.9 /90
C. Kelman651303 min10.3 /9000 /90123.6 /9061.8 /9010.3 /9030.9 /90
M. Godden353158 min10.6 /9000 /9052.8 /9021.1 /9000 /9000 /90
K. Ahearne-Grant15751119 min20.2 /9010.1 /90161.3 /9070.6 /90181.4 /90151.2 /90
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Charlton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Jones n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Leaburn n 870
1.35/2
0.32/0
K. Ahearne-Grant n 871.6
1.65/2
0.53/0
Conor Coventry n 882.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
D. McNamara n 868.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Charlton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Jones n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Leaburn n 870
00/0
00/0
K. Ahearne-Grant n 871.6
0.21/0
00/0
Conor Coventry n 882.1
00/0
00/0
D. McNamara n 868.3
00/0
00/0
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Sheffield Utd

Sheffield Utd Goalkeeper

Sheffield Utd — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Cooper16901440 min472.9 /90120.8 /9000 /90
A. Davies19090 min44 /9011 /9000 /90
Sheffield Utd — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Utd before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Cooper n 890
2.66/5

Sheffield Utd Defensive

Sheffield Utd — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tanganga16901440 min150.9 /90241.5 /90120.8 /90945.9 /9080.5 /9040.3 /90
M. McGuinness1279951 min121.1 /90141.3 /9070.7 /90555.2 /9090.9 /9010.1 /90
S. McCallum1170766 min182.1 /90141.6 /9020.2 /908510 /9080.9 /9030.4 /90
H. Choudhury1073730 min232.8 /90162 /9060.7 /90394.8 /9070.9 /9000 /90
Liam Kitching990810 min161.8 /90141.6 /9040.4 /90353.9 /90111.2 /9050.6 /90
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Sheffield Utd — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Utd before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Tanganga n 890
0.53/1
0.94/2
—
M. Cooper n 890
00/0
0.84/2
—
T. Cannon n 867.8
16/0
0.72/1
—
Sydie Peck n 874.4
1.45/2
0.94/1
—
O. Arblaster n 856.4
0.42/0
1.64/2
—
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Sheffield Utd — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Utd before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Tanganga n 890
1.16/3
T. Cannon n 867.8
0.85/0
Sydie Peck n 874.4
1.14/2
O. Arblaster n 856.4
1.85/2
M. McGuinness n 873.9
0.95/1
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Sheffield Utd Attacking

Sheffield Utd — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Cannon16651043 min40.3 /9000 /90252.2 /90110.9 /9090.8 /9040.3 /90
B. Brereton1272860 min10.1 /9020.2 /90121.3 /9050.5 /9090.9 /9070.7 /90
P. Bamford1271857 min60.6 /9010.1 /90161.7 /9080.8 /9070.7 /9020.2 /90
T. Campbell657342 min00 /9010.3 /9051.3 /9020.5 /9061.6 /9020.5 /90
J. Ayew640238 min00 /9000 /9041.5 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9020.8 /90
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Sheffield Utd — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Utd before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Tanganga n 890
0.64/1
0.43/0
M. Cooper n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Cannon n 867.8
2.56/5
13/2
Sydie Peck n 874.4
2.66/4
1.55/3
O. Arblaster n 856.4
0.62/1
0.21/0
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Sheffield Utd — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Utd before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Tanganga n 890
0.11/0
00/0
M. Cooper n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Cannon n 867.8
0.21/0
00/0
Sydie Peck n 874.4
0.51/1
00/0
O. Arblaster n 856.4
0.21/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Charlton v Sheffield Utd — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CharltonDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Sheffield UtdLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Charlton 2 · 0 draws · Sheffield Utd 0 · 1 goals/game
  • 2026-01-17 Charlton 1–0 Sheffield Utd
  • 2025-09-20 Sheffield Utd 0–1 Charlton
League standing · 2026/27
Charlton#21 pos14 pts14 pl-11 GD
Sheffield Utd#9 pos22 pts14 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Charlton scored0.79
Sheffield Utd scored1.43
Charlton conceded1.57
Sheffield Utd conceded1.21

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Charlton v Sheffield Utd?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Charlton v Sheffield Utd is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.93 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Charlton and Sheffield Utd?
In their last 2 meetings, Charlton won 2, Sheffield Utd won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Charlton and Sheffield Utd?
Recent form — Charlton 0W 1D 4L; Sheffield Utd 3W 1D 1L.

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