Derby v Bristol City prediction

Championship · Wed, 09 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT · Pride Park

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Derby · Bristol City · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Derby v Bristol City, Championship on Wed, 09 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Derby host Bristol City in the Championship on Wednesday 9 December (kick-off 19:45 UK).

Form and the table

Nine of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Derby have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.88. Derby have scored 14 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Derby have conceded 30 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Eight of Bristol City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Bristol City’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Bristol City have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.57. Bristol City have scored 16 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Bristol City have conceded 24 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Derby (23rd) and Bristol City (17th) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bristol City the stronger side, 31 rating points above Derby (Bristol City 1359, Derby 1329, after at least 342 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 30 January 2026, finished Bristol City 0–5 Derby.

Team news

Predicted Derby XI (4-2-3-1): J. Widell Zetterström, R. Nyambe, D. Sanderson, J. Robinson, R. Hedges, B. Clark, D. Ozoh, S. Szmodics, R. Brewster, M. Fuseini, C. Morris — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bobby Clark (3.8 per match over 16 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Carlton Morris (3.6 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Derby’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Derby (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bobby Clark averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1365 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Carlton Morris averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 1037 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bristol City XI (4-2-3-1): B. Collins, G. Tanner, L. Eissat, C. Pring, L. McNally, J. Knight, R. Cardines, J. Williams, S. Twine, A. Randell, L. Tolaj — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bradley Collins (4.3 per match over four appearances) and Scott Twine (4.1 per match over 13 appearances, five goals) have been Bristol City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bristol City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bradley Collins averages 3.0 saves per 90 over 360 minutes. Scott Twine averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 847 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Wed, 09 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT · Championship · Pride Park
Head-to-head (last 6): Derby 2 · draws 1 · Bristol City 3 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Derby 1W 1D 3L · Bristol City 1W 1D 3L

Derby v Bristol City (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.75

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 5

Corners

against 4.88 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 6.13 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 1.13

Cards

against 1.88 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Derby for / against	Line	Bristol City for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.25 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.38 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.5 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.63 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Derby

Derby Goalkeeper

Derby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Widell Zetterström	12	901085 min	544.5 /90	161.3 /90	00 /90
J. Vickers	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	71.8 /90	00 /90

Derby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	4.6 7/7
J. Vickers n 8	89.5	2 6/3

Derby Defensive

Derby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Sanderson	14	821151 min	131 /90	161.3 /90	110.9 /90	554.3 /90	120.9 /90	40.3 /90
S. Langås	10	91905 min	171.7 /90	60.6 /90	50.5 /90	414.1 /90	70.7 /90	40.4 /90
J. Ward	10	80800 min	161.8 /90	171.9 /90	20.2 /90	353.9 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90
C. Taylor	9	86774 min	161.9 /90	80.9 /90	80.9 /90	354.1 /90	101.2 /90	10.1 /90
M. Johnston	8	50396 min	81.8 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	92 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90
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Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Clark n 8	88.9	0.6 4/1	1.4 6/3	—
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0	—
S. Szmodics n 8	78	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0	—
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
C. Morris n 8	84.3	1.9 7/5	0.8 6/0	—
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Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	1.6 6/3
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	1 4/2
S. Szmodics n 8	78	1.6 6/2
C. Morris n 8	84.3	0.8 5/1
A. Mowatt n 8	67.1	1.7 4/3
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Derby Attacking

Derby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Morris	12	861037 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	181.6 /90	70.6 /90	141.2 /90	50.4 /90
R. Brewster	11	44481 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	50.9 /90	20.4 /90	40.7 /90	20.4 /90
H. Meister	9	47426 min	00 /90	00 /90	102.1 /90	30.6 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90
L. Salvesen	7	33230 min	20.8 /90	00 /90	114.3 /90	52 /90	31.2 /90	20.8 /90
B. Clark	16	851365 min	30.2 /90	20.1 /90	211.4 /90	90.6 /90	231.5 /90	181.2 /90
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Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	1.3 7/2	0.8 4/2
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Szmodics n 8	78	2 6/5	0.9 4/2
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Morris n 8	84.3	1.6 6/3	0.5 4/0
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Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Szmodics n 8	78	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Morris n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Bristol City

Bristol City Goalkeeper

Bristol City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Tickle	12	901085 min	201.7 /90	161.3 /90	00 /90
B. Collins	4	90360 min	123 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Bristol City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Tickle n 8	90	1.6 4/2
B. Collins n 4	90	3 3/2

Bristol City Defensive

Bristol City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Rio Cardines	15	771149 min	252 /90	110.9 /90	10.1 /90	544.2 /90	50.4 /90	10.1 /90
G. Tanner	14	781098 min	211.7 /90	141.1 /90	70.6 /90	554.5 /90	60.5 /90	00 /90
Lisav Naif Eissat	13	881141 min	181.4 /90	110.9 /90	50.4 /90	675.3 /90	171.3 /90	20.2 /90
C. Pring	13	65840 min	252.7 /90	80.9 /90	30.3 /90	505.4 /90	101.1 /90	10.1 /90
R. Dickie	9	89801 min	91 /90	80.9 /90	80.9 /90	687.6 /90	101.1 /90	10.1 /90
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Bristol City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Knight n 8	82.5	1.9 7/6	1.1 5/2	—
D. Ballard n 8	67.4	1.3 4/3	1 4/2	—
Rio Cardines n 8	73.4	0.5 3/0	0.5 2/1	—
G. Tanner n 8	82.5	0.1 1/0	0.7 4/1	—
Y. Hirakawa n 8	59.3	0.6 3/0	1.3 6/1	—
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Bristol City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Knight n 8	82.5	1.1 4/2
D. Ballard n 8	67.4	1.2 5/2
Rio Cardines n 8	73.4	1.8 5/4
G. Tanner n 8	82.5	2.3 5/5
Y. Hirakawa n 8	59.3	1.9 6/3
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Bristol City Attacking

Bristol City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Ballard	16	51821 min	40.4 /90	00 /90	262.9 /90	111.2 /90	101.1 /90	91 /90
L. Tolaj	13	70912 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	282.8 /90	101 /90	101 /90	40.4 /90
E. Adebayo	3	2576 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.4 /90	11.2 /90	33.6 /90	00 /90
L. Tolaj	2	79158 min	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	63.4 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90
E. Riis	2	2652 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Bristol City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Knight n 8	82.5	0.5 2/1	0 0/0
D. Ballard n 8	67.4	2.3 8/4	1.2 5/2
Rio Cardines n 8	73.4	0.8 5/0	0.2 1/0
G. Tanner n 8	82.5	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0
Y. Hirakawa n 8	59.3	1.5 7/1	1.1 5/1
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Bristol City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Knight n 8	82.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
D. Ballard n 8	67.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Rio Cardines n 8	73.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
G. Tanner n 8	82.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Hirakawa n 8	59.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Derby v Bristol City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

DerbyLDLLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Bristol CityLDWLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Derby 2 · 1 draw · Bristol City 3 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-01-30 Bristol City 0–5 Derby
2025-08-22 Derby 1–1 Bristol City
2025-01-04 Bristol City 1–0 Derby
2024-08-31 Derby 3–0 Bristol City
2022-04-23 Derby 1–3 Bristol City
2021-12-04 Bristol City 1–0 Derby

League standing · 2026/27

Derby#23 pos10 pts15 pl-16 GD

Bristol City#17 pos18 pts15 pl-8 GD

Goals per game

Derby scored0.93

Bristol City scored1.07

Derby conceded2

Bristol City conceded1.6

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Bristol City?: In their last 6 meetings, Derby won 2, Bristol City won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Derby and Bristol City?: Recent form — Derby 1W 1D 3L; Bristol City 1W 1D 3L.

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