Derby v Charlton prediction

Championship · Sat, 06 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT · Pride Park

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Derby · Charlton · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Derby v Charlton, Championship on Sat, 06 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Derby host Charlton in the Championship on Saturday 6 March (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

Nine of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Derby have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.88. Derby have scored 14 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Derby have conceded 30 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Eight of Charlton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Charlton’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Charlton have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 2.63. Charlton have scored 13 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Charlton have conceded 23 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Derby (23rd) and Charlton (19th) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Derby the stronger side, 67 rating points above Charlton (Derby 1329, Charlton 1262, after at least 107 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Charlton 2–1 Derby.

Team news

Predicted Derby XI (4-2-3-1): J. Widell Zetterström, R. Nyambe, D. Sanderson, J. Robinson, R. Hedges, B. Clark, D. Ozoh, S. Szmodics, R. Brewster, M. Fuseini, C. Morris — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bobby Clark (3.8 per match over 16 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Carlton Morris (3.6 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Derby’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Derby (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bobby Clark averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1365 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Carlton Morris averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 1037 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Charlton XI (3-4-2-1): A. Okonkwo, B. Koumetio, L. Jones, A. Bell, C. Coventry, T. Campbell, H. Knibbs, K. Ahearne-Grant, O. Skipp, J. Rankin-Costello, C. Kelman — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Tyreece Campbell (4.4 per match over nine appearances, five goals) and Lloyd Jones (3.7 per match over 16 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Charlton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Charlton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tyreece Campbell averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1083 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Lloyd Jones averages 0.7 tackles per 90 over 1430 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 06 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT · Championship · Pride Park
Head-to-head (last 6): Derby 3 · draws 1 · Charlton 2 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Derby 1W 1D 3L · Charlton 1W 0D 4L

Derby v Charlton (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.88

Goals

against 2.13 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 3.5

Corners

against 4.88 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 2.75

Shots on target

against 6.13 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2.63

Cards

against 1.88 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Derby for / against	Line	Charlton for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.5 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.25 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	9.88 for · 17 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.75 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.5 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.25 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Derby

Derby Goalkeeper

Derby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Widell Zetterström	12	901085 min	544.5 /90	161.3 /90	00 /90
J. Vickers	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	71.8 /90	00 /90

Derby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	4.6 7/7
J. Vickers n 8	89.5	2 6/3

Derby Defensive

Derby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Sanderson	14	821151 min	131 /90	161.3 /90	110.9 /90	554.3 /90	120.9 /90	40.3 /90
S. Langås	10	91905 min	171.7 /90	60.6 /90	50.5 /90	414.1 /90	70.7 /90	40.4 /90
J. Ward	10	80800 min	161.8 /90	171.9 /90	20.2 /90	353.9 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90
C. Taylor	9	86774 min	161.9 /90	80.9 /90	80.9 /90	354.1 /90	101.2 /90	10.1 /90
M. Johnston	8	50396 min	81.8 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	92 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90
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Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Clark n 8	88.9	0.6 4/1	1.4 6/3	—
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0	—
S. Szmodics n 8	78	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0	—
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
C. Morris n 8	84.3	1.9 7/5	0.8 6/0	—
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Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	1.6 6/3
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	1 4/2
S. Szmodics n 8	78	1.6 6/2
C. Morris n 8	84.3	0.8 5/1
A. Mowatt n 8	67.1	1.7 4/3
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Derby Attacking

Derby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Morris	12	861037 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	181.6 /90	70.6 /90	141.2 /90	50.4 /90
R. Brewster	11	44481 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	50.9 /90	20.4 /90	40.7 /90	20.4 /90
H. Meister	9	47426 min	00 /90	00 /90	102.1 /90	30.6 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90
L. Salvesen	7	33230 min	20.8 /90	00 /90	114.3 /90	52 /90	31.2 /90	20.8 /90
B. Clark	16	851365 min	30.2 /90	20.1 /90	211.4 /90	90.6 /90	231.5 /90	181.2 /90
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Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	1.3 7/2	0.8 4/2
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Szmodics n 8	78	2 6/5	0.9 4/2
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Morris n 8	84.3	1.6 6/3	0.5 4/0
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Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Szmodics n 8	78	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Morris n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Charlton

Charlton Goalkeeper

Charlton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
A. Okonkwo	12	901080 min	423.5 /90	141.2 /90
W. Mannion	4	91365 min	112.7 /90	20.5 /90
T. Brooks	1	9090 min	66 /90	55 /90

Charlton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Okonkwo n 8	90	3.4 8/4
W. Mannion n 8	90.6	3.7 6/5

Charlton Defensive

Charlton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Jones	16	891430 min	110.7 /90	211.3 /90	150.9 /90	915.7 /90	80.5 /90	10.1 /90
D. McNamara	15	761136 min	191.5 /90	110.9 /90	60.5 /90	655.1 /90	80.6 /90	60.5 /90
A. Bell	12	841008 min	262.3 /90	131.2 /90	60.5 /90	595.3 /90	50.4 /90	00 /90
I. Mesík	12	64772 min	232.7 /90	91 /90	30.3 /90	445.1 /90	131.5 /90	20.2 /90
Billy Dawson Koumetio	11	84920 min	111.1 /90	80.8 /90	70.7 /90	737.1 /90	60.6 /90	10.1 /90
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Charlton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Jones n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.6 2/2	—
M. Leaburn n 8	70	1.9 6/4	0.8 4/1	—
Conor Coventry n 8	82.1	1.9 8/3	0.5 4/0	—
D. McNamara n 8	76.5	0.7 3/2	1.3 6/3	—
K. Ahearne-Grant n 8	71.6	0.8 5/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Charlton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Jones n 8	90	0.9 4/3
M. Leaburn n 8	70	1.1 5/2
Conor Coventry n 8	82.1	1.9 8/6
D. McNamara n 8	76.5	2.1 6/5
K. Ahearne-Grant n 8	71.6	0.5 3/0
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Charlton Attacking

Charlton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Leaburn	16	62995 min	00 /90	00 /90	141.3 /90	30.3 /90	60.5 /90	100.9 /90
C. Kelman	7	54378 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	143.3 /90	61.4 /90	10.2 /90	30.7 /90
Micah Mbick	7	34238 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	51.9 /90
M. Godden	4	43173 min	21 /90	00 /90	63.1 /90	31.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Conor Coventry	15	831246 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	30.2 /90	10.1 /90	80.6 /90	10.1 /90
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Charlton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Jones n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
M. Leaburn n 8	70	1.3 5/2	0.3 2/0
Conor Coventry n 8	82.1	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
D. McNamara n 8	76.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
K. Ahearne-Grant n 8	71.6	1.6 5/2	0.5 3/0
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Charlton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Jones n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Leaburn n 8	70	0 0/0	0 0/0
Conor Coventry n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. McNamara n 8	76.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Ahearne-Grant n 8	71.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Derby v Charlton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

DerbyLDLLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

CharltonLLLLW

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Derby 3 · 1 draw · Charlton 2 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-08-15 Charlton 2–1 Derby
2026-01-20 Charlton 1–2 Derby
2025-09-30 Derby 1–1 Charlton
2024-02-27 Derby 1–2 Charlton
2024-02-03 Charlton 0–1 Derby
2023-02-18 Derby 2–0 Charlton

League standing · 2026/27

Derby#23 pos10 pts15 pl-16 GD

Charlton#19 pos17 pts15 pl-10 GD

Goals per game

Derby scored0.93

Charlton scored0.87

Derby conceded2

Charlton conceded1.53

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Charlton?: In their last 6 meetings, Derby won 3, Charlton won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Derby and Charlton?: Recent form — Derby 1W 1D 3L; Charlton 1W 0D 4L.

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