Derby v QPR prediction

Championship · Tue, 16 Feb 2027 19:45 GMT · Pride Park

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Derby v QPR, Championship on Tue, 16 Feb 2027 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Derby host QPR in the Championship on Tuesday 16 February (kick-off 19:45 UK).

Form and the table

Nine of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Derby have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.88. Derby have scored 14 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Derby have conceded 30 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of QPR’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of QPR’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, QPR have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.57. QPR have scored 24 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). QPR have conceded 18 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Derby (23rd) and QPR (eighth) are 14 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have QPR the stronger side, 239 rating points above Derby (QPR 1568, Derby 1329, after at least 342 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 October 2026, finished QPR 4–1 Derby.

Team news

Predicted Derby XI (4-2-3-1): J. Widell Zetterström, R. Nyambe, D. Sanderson, J. Robinson, R. Hedges, B. Clark, D. Ozoh, S. Szmodics, R. Brewster, M. Fuseini, C. Morris — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bobby Clark (3.8 per match over 16 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Carlton Morris (3.6 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Derby’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Derby (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bobby Clark averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1365 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Carlton Morris averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 1037 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted QPR XI (4-4-2): P. Charles, J. Dunne, K. Adamson, R. Edwards, B. Kemper, G. Kamara, J. Varane, H. Vale, K. Poku, R. Kone, P. Smyth — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nicolas Madsen (3.6 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Harvey Vale (3.5 per match over 14 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been QPR’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for QPR (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nicolas Madsen averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 634 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Harvey Vale averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1102 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 16 Feb 2027 19:45 GMT · Championship · Pride Park
Head-to-head (last 6): Derby 3 · draws 0 · QPR 3 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Derby 1W 1D 3L · QPR 2W 1D 2L

Derby v QPR (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 2

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 5

Corners

against 4.88 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 4.63

Shots on target

against 6.13 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2.25

Cards

against 1.88 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Derby for / against	Line	QPR for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.25 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.75 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.63 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.5 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8.63 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Derby

Derby Goalkeeper

Derby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Widell Zetterström	12	901085 min	544.5 /90	161.3 /90	00 /90
J. Vickers	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	71.8 /90	00 /90

Derby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	4.6 7/7
J. Vickers n 8	89.5	2 6/3

Derby Defensive

Derby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Sanderson	14	821151 min	131 /90	161.3 /90	110.9 /90	554.3 /90	120.9 /90	40.3 /90
S. Langås	10	91905 min	171.7 /90	60.6 /90	50.5 /90	414.1 /90	70.7 /90	40.4 /90
J. Ward	10	80800 min	161.8 /90	171.9 /90	20.2 /90	353.9 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90
C. Taylor	9	86774 min	161.9 /90	80.9 /90	80.9 /90	354.1 /90	101.2 /90	10.1 /90
M. Johnston	8	50396 min	81.8 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	92 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90
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Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Clark n 8	88.9	0.6 4/1	1.4 6/3	—
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0	—
S. Szmodics n 8	78	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0	—
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
C. Morris n 8	84.3	1.9 7/5	0.8 6/0	—
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Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	1.6 6/3
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	1 4/2
S. Szmodics n 8	78	1.6 6/2
C. Morris n 8	84.3	0.8 5/1
A. Mowatt n 8	67.1	1.7 4/3
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Derby Attacking

Derby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Morris	12	861037 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	181.6 /90	70.6 /90	141.2 /90	50.4 /90
R. Brewster	11	44481 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	50.9 /90	20.4 /90	40.7 /90	20.4 /90
H. Meister	9	47426 min	00 /90	00 /90	102.1 /90	30.6 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90
L. Salvesen	7	33230 min	20.8 /90	00 /90	114.3 /90	52 /90	31.2 /90	20.8 /90
B. Clark	16	851365 min	30.2 /90	20.1 /90	211.4 /90	90.6 /90	231.5 /90	181.2 /90
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Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	1.3 7/2	0.8 4/2
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Szmodics n 8	78	2 6/5	0.9 4/2
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Morris n 8	84.3	1.6 6/3	0.5 4/0
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Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Szmodics n 8	78	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Morris n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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QPR

QPR Goalkeeper

QPR — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
P. Charles	15	901350 min	382.5 /90	100.7 /90	10.1 /90

QPR — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Charles n 8	90	2.6 5/4

QPR Defensive

QPR — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Edwards	15	901350 min	130.9 /90	191.3 /90	70.5 /90	463.1 /90	70.5 /90	20.1 /90
J. Dunne	14	871218 min	80.6 /90	100.7 /90	40.3 /90	614.5 /90	40.3 /90	10.1 /90
K. Adamson	13	73949 min	242.3 /90	171.6 /90	30.3 /90	434.1 /90	121.1 /90	20.2 /90
J. Clarke-Salter	9	72649 min	50.7 /90	60.8 /90	50.7 /90	182.5 /90	91.2 /90	40.6 /90
Dennis Cirkin	9	45401 min	132.9 /90	81.8 /90	51.1 /90	296.5 /90	40.9 /90	00 /90
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QPR — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Edwards n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 3/1	—
P. Charles n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
J. Dunne n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.8 4/1	—
Glen Kamara n 8	88.5	0.9 5/1	1.7 5/4	—
H. Vale n 8	66	1.2 4/3	0.9 4/1	—
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QPR — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Edwards n 8	90	0.5 3/1
J. Dunne n 8	90	0.4 3/0
Glen Kamara n 8	88.5	1.3 7/3
H. Vale n 8	66	2.4 8/5
K. Adamson n 8	87.6	2.7 8/7
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QPR Attacking

QPR — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Kone	10	55548 min	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	162.6 /90	91.5 /90	81.3 /90	20.3 /90
R. Burrell	8	74595 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	111.7 /90	60.9 /90	121.8 /90	40.6 /90
A. Lloyd	5	54271 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	93 /90	41.3 /90	20.7 /90	51.7 /90
Rayan Jawad Kolli	5	48242 min	00 /90	00 /90	62.2 /90	51.9 /90	20.7 /90	31.1 /90
L. Scarlett	2	4692 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	22 /90
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QPR — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Edwards n 8	90	0.9 4/2	0.3 2/0
P. Charles n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Dunne n 8	90	1.3 6/4	0.4 2/1
Glen Kamara n 8	88.5	0.8 4/2	0.3 1/1
H. Vale n 8	66	1.4 3/2	0.3 2/0
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QPR — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Edwards n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Charles n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Dunne n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
Glen Kamara n 8	88.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
H. Vale n 8	66	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Derby v QPR — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

DerbyLDLLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

QPRLWLDW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Derby 3 · 0 draws · QPR 3 · 3 goals/game

2026-10-14 QPR 4–1 Derby
2026-04-25 QPR 2–3 Derby
2025-10-25 Derby 1–0 QPR
2025-02-14 QPR 4–0 Derby
2024-10-05 Derby 2–0 QPR
2022-04-18 QPR 1–0 Derby

League standing · 2026/27

Derby#23 pos10 pts15 pl-16 GD

QPR#8 pos24 pts15 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

Derby scored0.93

QPR scored1.6

Derby conceded2

QPR conceded1.2

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Derby and QPR?: In their last 6 meetings, Derby won 3, QPR won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Derby and QPR?: Recent form — Derby 1W 1D 3L; QPR 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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