Derby v Sheffield Utd prediction

Championship · Tue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT · Pride Park

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Derby · Sheffield Utd · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Derby v Sheffield Utd, Championship on Tue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Derby host Sheffield Utd in the Championship on Tuesday 29 December (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

Sheffield Utd have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Derby have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.88. Derby have scored 14 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Derby have conceded 30 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

10 of Sheffield Utd’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Sheffield Utd’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Sheffield Utd have four wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.56 and conceding 1.56. Sheffield Utd have scored 21 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Sheffield Utd have conceded 19 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Derby (23rd) and Sheffield Utd (10th) are 12 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sheffield Utd the stronger side, 127 rating points above Derby (Sheffield Utd 1455, Derby 1329, after at least 296 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 October 2026, finished Sheffield Utd 1–1 Derby.

Team news

Predicted Derby XI (4-2-3-1): J. Widell Zetterström, R. Nyambe, D. Sanderson, J. Robinson, R. Hedges, B. Clark, D. Ozoh, S. Szmodics, R. Brewster, M. Fuseini, C. Morris — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bobby Clark (3.8 per match over 16 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Carlton Morris (3.6 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Derby’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Derby (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bobby Clark averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1365 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Carlton Morris averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 1037 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Sheffield Utd XI (4-4-2): M. Cooper, J. Tanganga, H. Burrows, L. Kitching, H. Choudhury, S. Peck, T. Chong, K. Phillips, R. Donovan, B. Brereton, T. Cannon — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, C. O'Hare (4.5 per match over five appearances, two goals) and Kalvin Phillips (3.9 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Sheffield Utd’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sheffield Utd (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), C. O'Hare averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 1045 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Kalvin Phillips averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 739 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 29 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT · Championship · Pride Park
Head-to-head (last 6): Derby 2 · draws 1 · Sheffield Utd 3 · 2.17 goals/game
Recent form: Derby 1W 1D 3L · Sheffield Utd 3W 1D 1L

Derby v Sheffield Utd (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.63

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.63

Corners

against 4.88 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 5

Shots on target

against 6.13 / 3.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2

Cards

against 1.88 / 2.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Derby for / against	Line	Sheffield Utd for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.63 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.25 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.25 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.5 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.88 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5

Derby

Derby Goalkeeper

Derby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Widell Zetterström	12	901085 min	544.5 /90	161.3 /90	00 /90
J. Vickers	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	71.8 /90	00 /90

Derby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	4.6 7/7
J. Vickers n 8	89.5	2 6/3

Derby Defensive

Derby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Sanderson	14	821151 min	131 /90	161.3 /90	110.9 /90	554.3 /90	120.9 /90	40.3 /90
S. Langås	10	91905 min	171.7 /90	60.6 /90	50.5 /90	414.1 /90	70.7 /90	40.4 /90
J. Ward	10	80800 min	161.8 /90	171.9 /90	20.2 /90	353.9 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90
C. Taylor	9	86774 min	161.9 /90	80.9 /90	80.9 /90	354.1 /90	101.2 /90	10.1 /90
M. Johnston	8	50396 min	81.8 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	92 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Clark n 8	88.9	0.6 4/1	1.4 6/3	—
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0	—
S. Szmodics n 8	78	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0	—
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
C. Morris n 8	84.3	1.9 7/5	0.8 6/0	—
See more players · Pro

Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	1.6 6/3
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	1 4/2
S. Szmodics n 8	78	1.6 6/2
C. Morris n 8	84.3	0.8 5/1
A. Mowatt n 8	67.1	1.7 4/3
See more players · Pro

Derby Attacking

Derby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Morris	12	861037 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	181.6 /90	70.6 /90	141.2 /90	50.4 /90
R. Brewster	11	44481 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	50.9 /90	20.4 /90	40.7 /90	20.4 /90
H. Meister	9	47426 min	00 /90	00 /90	102.1 /90	30.6 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90
L. Salvesen	7	33230 min	20.8 /90	00 /90	114.3 /90	52 /90	31.2 /90	20.8 /90
B. Clark	16	851365 min	30.2 /90	20.1 /90	211.4 /90	90.6 /90	231.5 /90	181.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	1.3 7/2	0.8 4/2
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Szmodics n 8	78	2 6/5	0.9 4/2
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Morris n 8	84.3	1.6 6/3	0.5 4/0
See more players · Pro

Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Szmodics n 8	78	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Morris n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

Sheffield Utd

Sheffield Utd Goalkeeper

Sheffield Utd — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Cooper	17	901530 min	472.8 /90	120.7 /90	00 /90
A. Davies	1	9090 min	44 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Sheffield Utd — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Utd before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Cooper n 8	90	1.9 5/4

Sheffield Utd Defensive

Sheffield Utd — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Tanganga	17	901530 min	181.1 /90	251.5 /90	120.7 /90	1005.9 /90	80.5 /90	40.2 /90
M. McGuinness	13	76990 min	121.1 /90	141.3 /90	70.6 /90	585.3 /90	90.8 /90	10.1 /90
H. Choudhury	11	71776 min	242.8 /90	161.9 /90	60.7 /90	414.8 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
S. McCallum	11	70766 min	182.1 /90	141.6 /90	20.2 /90	8510 /90	80.9 /90	30.4 /90
Liam Kitching	10	90900 min	161.6 /90	161.6 /90	50.5 /90	393.9 /90	131.3 /90	50.5 /90
See more players · Pro

Sheffield Utd — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Utd before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Tanganga n 8	90	0.5 3/1	1 5/2	—
M. Cooper n 8	90	0 0/0	0.8 4/2	—
T. Cannon n 8	58.9	1 5/0	0.2 1/0	—
Sydie Peck n 8	74.4	1.5 6/2	0.8 4/1	—
M. McGuinness n 8	67.5	0.7 3/1	1.2 4/1	—
See more players · Pro

Sheffield Utd — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Utd before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Tanganga n 8	90	1.4 6/4
T. Cannon n 8	58.9	0.8 4/0
Sydie Peck n 8	74.4	0.8 4/1
M. McGuinness n 8	67.5	1 5/1
B. Brereton n 8	76.4	1.3 5/3
See more players · Pro

Sheffield Utd Attacking

Sheffield Utd — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Cannon	17	621062 min	40.3 /90	00 /90	252.1 /90	110.9 /90	90.8 /90	40.3 /90
B. Brereton	13	73947 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	121.1 /90	50.5 /90	101 /90	70.7 /90
P. Bamford	12	71857 min	60.6 /90	10.1 /90	161.7 /90	80.8 /90	70.7 /90	20.2 /90
J. Ayew	7	44309 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	72 /90	30.9 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90
T. Campbell	6	57342 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	51.3 /90	20.5 /90	61.6 /90	20.5 /90
See more players · Pro

Sheffield Utd — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Utd before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Tanganga n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.4 3/0
M. Cooper n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Cannon n 8	58.9	2.5 5/4	1 2/2
Sydie Peck n 8	74.4	2.6 6/4	1.4 4/3
M. McGuinness n 8	67.5	0.7 4/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Sheffield Utd — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sheffield Utd before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Tanganga n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
M. Cooper n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Cannon n 8	58.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Sydie Peck n 8	74.4	0.5 1/1	0 0/0
M. McGuinness n 8	67.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Derby v Sheffield Utd — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

DerbyLDLLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Sheffield UtdWDWWL

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Derby 2 · 1 draw · Sheffield Utd 3 · 2.17 goals/game

2026-10-24 Sheffield Utd 1–1 Derby
2026-05-02 Derby 1–2 Sheffield Utd
2025-11-01 Sheffield Utd 1–3 Derby
2025-02-01 Derby 0–1 Sheffield Utd
2024-09-21 Sheffield Utd 1–0 Derby
2022-01-15 Derby 2–0 Sheffield Utd

League standing · 2026/27

Derby#23 pos10 pts15 pl-16 GD

Sheffield Utd#10 pos22 pts15 pl+2 GD

Goals per game

Derby scored0.93

Sheffield Utd scored1.4

Derby conceded2

Sheffield Utd conceded1.27

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Sheffield Utd?: In their last 6 meetings, Derby won 2, Sheffield Utd won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Derby and Sheffield Utd?: Recent form — Derby 1W 1D 3L; Sheffield Utd 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.