Dunfermline v Raith Rovers result

Full-time · Dunfermline 1–0 Raith Rovers

Championship – Scotland · · East End Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Dunfermline 1–0 Raith Rovers — Dunfermline won this Championship – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.88 at Unibet
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 51.3% of 160 landed (95% range 43.6–58.9%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Dunfermline beat Raith Rovers 1–0 at East End Park in the Championship – Scotland on Friday 28 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Dunfermline: J. Cooper (88’, assisted by C. Gilmour).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Cooper’s goal on 88 minutes.

What it changes

Dunfermline move up from seventh to fifth (four league matches played). Dunfermline have scored 10 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far). Dunfermline have conceded six goals, the second-fewest of the 10 clubs.

Raith Rovers move down from second to third (four league matches played). Raith Rovers have scored 16 goals, the most (shared) of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far). Raith Rovers have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 10 clubs.

Head-to-head

Dunfermline are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Raith Rovers.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Dunfermline next host Inverness CT on 31 October 2026.

Raith Rovers next travel to Arbroath on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Dunfermline: Dunfermline v Inverness CT, Saturday 31 October — the preview. Next for Raith Rovers: Arbroath v Raith Rovers, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Dunfermline 1–0 Raith Rovers · Championship – Scotland
  • Venue: East End Park · Dunfermline
  • Referee: D. Nicolson
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Dunfermline 4 · draws 0 · Raith Rovers 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Dunfermline 1W 2D 2L · Raith Rovers 3W 2D 0L

Dunfermline 1–0 Raith Rovers (Championship – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Dunfermline v Raith Rovers — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DunfermlineWDDLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Raith RoversDWDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Dunfermline 4 · 0 draws · Raith Rovers 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-03-14 Dunfermline 3–0 Raith Rovers
  • 2025-12-27 Raith Rovers 1–2 Dunfermline
  • 2025-10-17 Dunfermline 2–0 Raith Rovers
  • 2025-08-22 Raith Rovers 2–0 Dunfermline
  • 2025-03-14 Raith Rovers 2–0 Dunfermline
  • 2025-02-01 Dunfermline 3–1 Raith Rovers
League standing · 2026/27
Dunfermline#4 pos21 pts12 pl+4 GD
Raith Rovers#3 pos21 pts12 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Dunfermline scored0.83
Raith Rovers scored1.33
Dunfermline conceded0.5
Raith Rovers conceded0.75

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Dunfermline v Raith Rovers?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Dunfermline v Raith Rovers was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.88 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Dunfermline and Raith Rovers?
In their last 6 meetings, Dunfermline won 4, Raith Rovers won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Dunfermline and Raith Rovers?
Recent form — Dunfermline 1W 2D 2L; Raith Rovers 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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