Leicester v Birmingham result

Full-time · Leicester 2–0 Birmingham

Championship ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Leicester · Birmingham

The model’s pre-match pick

Leicester 2–0 Birmingham — Leicester won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Leicester beat Birmingham 2–0 in the Championship on Friday 29 August. Leicester have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Leicester led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Leicester: A. Fatawu (8’, assisted by Louis Page) and Ricardo Pereira (88’, assisted by J. Monga).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Fatawu’s goal on 8 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Leicester 0.56, Birmingham 0.83, from 5 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Smith showed six yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Leicester: Hamza Choudhury (45’), A. Fatawu (57’) and Ricardo Pereira (76’); Birmingham: K. Furuhashi (62’), Christoph Klarer (64’) and Demarai Gray (74’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Fatawu (Leicester) 6.1, Christoph Klarer (Birmingham) 5.8 and Ethan Laird (Birmingham) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Leicester or Birmingham (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Leicester next travel to Bromley on 20 October 2026.

Birmingham next travel to Cardiff on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Leicester: Bromley v Leicester, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Birmingham: Cardiff v Birmingham, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Leicester 2–0 Birmingham · Championship
  • Referee: J. Smith
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Leicester 4 · draws 0 · Birmingham 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Leicester 2W 1D 2L · Birmingham 3W 1D 1L

Leicester 2–0 Birmingham (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5.29
Corners
against 5.5 / 3.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.13 / 3.71
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 2.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.13 / 1.57
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.71 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.15 yellows
Referee · J. Smith
1.31 home / 2.85 away
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLeicester for / againstLineBirmingham for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.29 for · 3.43 against n 7
Shots
11.88 for · 14.38 against n 8
19.5standard
13.14 for · 6.86 against n 7
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.71 for · 2.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.43 for · 13.29 against n 7
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.57 for · 1.71 against n 7

Referee: J. Smith — 4.15 yellow cards a game, 0.38 red cards, 20.23 fouls over 13 matches (1.31 to the home side, 2.85 to the away side).

Leicester
Leicester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Daka n 836.3
2.56/2
1.93/2
—
L. Thomas n 882
2.38/5
14/3
—
A. Fatawu n 869.5
1.97/4
2.98/5
K. Furuhashi
J. Justin n 868.6
1.86/2
2.55/5
—
Ricardo Pereira n 830.6
1.85/0
1.83/2
—
Leicester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Ayew n 870.5
2.16/3
12/1
A. Fatawu n 869.5
1.97/3
1.16/1
Kasey McAteer n 858.1
1.75/2
0.83/1
J. Vardy n 875.4
1.65/4
0.74/1
B. El Khannouss n 872.4
1.46/2
0.32/0
Leicester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. El Khannouss n 872.4
00/0
0.52/1
J. Vardy n 875.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Fatawu n 869.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Wout Felix Lina Faes n 864
0.21/0
0.21/0
S. Mavididi n 850.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Leicester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ricardo Pereira n 830.6
4.87/3
W. Ndidi n 887.1
3.77/7
V. Kristiansen n 868.6
3.16/5
H. Choudhury n 878.8
2.78/5
Kasey McAteer n 858.1
2.56/3
Birmingham
Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Dykes n 826.9
3.35/3
00/0
—
K. Furuhashi n 842.5
2.67/2
0.52/0
A. Fatawu
L. Harris n 841.9
2.45/3
0.31/0
—
K. Anderson n 856
2.26/3
37/3
—
J. Stansfield n 869
2.16/4
14/2
—
Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Furuhashi n 842.5
3.23/3
0.31/0
A. May n 867.8
2.56/4
1.85/2
L. Dykes n 826.9
2.54/1
1.33/0
E. Laird n 851.3
25/3
0.72/1
J. Stansfield n 869
1.87/3
0.85/0
Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Stansfield n 869
0.53/0
0.21/0
A. May n 867.8
0.53/0
0.21/0
W. Willumsson n 863.8
0.21/0
0.42/0
E. Laird n 851.3
0.21/0
0.42/0
Paik Seung-Ho n 861.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Leonard n 861.8
3.18/4
T. Iwata n 875.9
2.76/4
D. Gray n 881
2.27/6
K. Anderson n 856
2.26/1
C. Klarer n 890
2.16/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LeicesterBirmingham
45%Possession55%
0.56Expected goals (xG)0.83
5Shots11
2Shots on target1
3Shots off target4
0Blocked shots6
4Shots inside the box7
1Corners7
0Offsides1
11Fouls16
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves0
377Passes448
78%Pass accuracy83%

Leicester player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Stolarczyk9000000008.3
C. Okoli9000000007.3
J. Vestergaard9000100108.2
L. Thomas9000002207.2
B. Soumaré9000000106.9
O. Skipp9000000407.2
J. Ayew9000000306.6
A. Fatawu87102102Y7.6
H. Choudhury72000003Y6.9
S. Mavididi7100000206.3
L. Page5601001206.6
P. Daka sub3400100006
J. Monga sub1901001007.2
Ricardo Pereira sub18101102Y7.9
Wout Felix Lina Faes sub1200000006.6

Birmingham player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Allsop9000000006.3
B. Osayi-Samuel9000100106.2
C. Klarer90000004Y7.3
E. Laird9000110207.3
T. Iwata9000001406.3
Paik Seung-Ho9000002106.5
D. Gray90000011Y6.7
P. Neumann8500000206.9
L. Koumas7700000306.3
K. Furuhashi77001001Y6.2
W. Willumsson6600100106.5
K. Anderson sub2400001206.7
L. Dykes sub1400000006.2
T. Doyle sub1300001007.3
M. Ducksch sub1300100006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Leicester v Birmingham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LeicesterLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
BirminghamDWWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Leicester 4 · 0 draws · Birmingham 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2024-04-06 Leicester 2–1 Birmingham
  • 2024-01-27 Leicester 3–0 Birmingham
  • 2023-12-18 Birmingham 2–3 Leicester
  • 2020-03-04 Leicester 1–0 Birmingham
League standing · 2025/26
Leicester#23 pos46 pts46 pl-10 GD
Birmingham#10 pos64 pts46 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Leicester scored1.26
Birmingham scored1.24
Leicester conceded1.48
Birmingham conceded1.22

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Leicester v Birmingham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Leicester v Birmingham was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Leicester and Birmingham?
In their last 4 meetings, Leicester won 4, Birmingham won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Leicester and Birmingham?
Recent form — Leicester 2W 1D 2L; Birmingham 3W 1D 1L.

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