Lincoln v Stoke City prediction

Championship · Wed, 09 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT · LNER stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Lincoln v Stoke City, Championship on Wed, 09 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lincoln host Stoke City in the Championship on Wednesday 9 December (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

Stoke City are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Lincoln’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Lincoln’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Lincoln have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 2.29. Lincoln have scored 14 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Lincoln have conceded 24 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Stoke City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Stoke City’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Stoke City have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.57. Stoke City have scored 22 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Stoke City have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Lincoln (19th) and Stoke City (fourth) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Stoke City the stronger side, 229 rating points above Lincoln (Stoke City 1567, Lincoln 1338, after at least 14 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Lincoln XI (4-2-3-1): G. Wickens, D. Elerewe, S. Bradley, A. Coubiș, A. Reach, Y. Konak, B. House, D. Jefferies, R. Hackett, T. Bayliss, F. Draper — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Benjamin House (4.0 per match over 14 appearances, three goals and two assists) and George Wickens (3.3 per match over 15 appearances) have been Lincoln’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lincoln (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Benjamin House averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 1055 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances. George Wickens averages 3.1 saves per 90 over 1355 minutes, with two or more saves in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Stoke City XI (3-4-3): V. Johansson, B. Wilmot, L. Graham, M. Talovierov, B. Johnson, E. Soumaré, E. Galbraith, L. Bombino, J. Devenny, J. McGlynn, R. Boženík — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ethan Galbraith (4.3 per match over 15 appearances, three goals and four assists) and Jack McGlynn (3.9 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Stoke City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Stoke City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ethan Galbraith averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1647 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Jack McGlynn averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 2097 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Wed, 09 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT · Championship · LNER stadium
Recent form: Lincoln 1W 1D 3L · Stoke City 3W 1D 1L

Lincoln v Stoke City (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.63

Goals

against 2.25 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3 / 5.88

Corners

against 6.75 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 5.5 / 3.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.88 / 2

Cards

against 2.88 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Lincoln for / against	Line	Stoke City for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.88 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.63 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.38 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.38 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.5 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.88 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Lincoln

Lincoln Goalkeeper

Lincoln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Wickens	15	901355 min	463.1 /90	130.9 /90	10.1 /90
J. Gauci	2	90180 min	63 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

Lincoln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Wickens n 8	90	2.8 7/3

Lincoln Defensive

Lincoln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Elerewe	16	851355 min	151 /90	231.5 /90	90.6 /90	755 /90	140.9 /90	20.1 /90
S. Bradley	11	78855 min	60.6 /90	40.4 /90	60.6 /90	404.2 /90	30.3 /90	10.1 /90
R. Towler	11	77842 min	91 /90	151.6 /90	111.2 /90	353.7 /90	50.5 /90	20.2 /90
Andrei Coubiș	11	74814 min	121.3 /90	161.8 /90	00 /90	414.5 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90
C. Elder	6	82494 min	142.6 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	244.4 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90
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Lincoln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Elerewe n 8	87.9	0.8 4/2	1 5/2	—
G. Wickens n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
F. Draper n 8	63.6	3.2 7/3	1.9 5/3	—
R. Hackett n 8	65.6	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0	—
R. Street n 8	47.5	1.7 5/2	1.4 3/2	—
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Lincoln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Elerewe n 8	87.9	0.9 5/2
F. Draper n 8	63.6	1.1 4/1
R. Hackett n 8	65.6	1.9 4/4
R. Street n 8	47.5	0.7 3/0
B. House n 8	81.5	2.8 6/5
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Lincoln Attacking

Lincoln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Draper	15	64956 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	191.8 /90	70.7 /90	111 /90	30.3 /90
R. Street	15	50751 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	141.7 /90	40.5 /90	81 /90	10.1 /90
B. House	14	751055 min	30.3 /90	20.2 /90	191.6 /90	100.9 /90	70.6 /90	50.4 /90
C. Ogbene	8	44351 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.3 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	51.3 /90
M. Ladefoged	6	51303 min	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	123.6 /90	41.2 /90	72.1 /90	00 /90
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Lincoln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Elerewe n 8	87.9	0.9 7/0	0.3 2/0
G. Wickens n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
F. Draper n 8	63.6	2.1 7/3	0.7 3/1
R. Hackett n 8	65.6	1.5 4/2	0.7 2/1
R. Street n 8	47.5	1.4 4/1	0.5 2/0
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Lincoln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Elerewe n 8	87.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Wickens n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Draper n 8	63.6	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
R. Hackett n 8	65.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
R. Street n 8	47.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Stoke City

Stoke City Goalkeeper

Stoke City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
V. Johansson	15	901357 min	453 /90	161.1 /90	00 /90

Stoke City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
V. Johansson n 8	90	2.4 5/3

Stoke City Defensive

Stoke City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. Wilmot	15	871312 min	151 /90	251.7 /90	141 /90	563.8 /90	161.1 /90	10.1 /90
Luke Graham	13	911177 min	221.7 /90	171.3 /90	100.8 /90	816.2 /90	141.1 /90	30.2 /90
Bosun Lawal	8	68547 min	71.2 /90	40.7 /90	91.5 /90	264.3 /90	91.5 /90	30.5 /90
M. Talovierov	8	57454 min	40.8 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90	234.6 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90
B. Lawal	7	72503 min	71.3 /90	30.5 /90	00 /90	244.3 /90	91.6 /90	20.4 /90
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Stoke City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
V. Johansson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
B. Wilmot n 8	90	0.9 5/2	0.6 3/1	—
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	75	2 7/5	1.7 6/4	—
E. Galbraith n 8	90	0.6 5/0	0.9 4/3	—
Luke Graham n 8	90	1.1 5/3	1.5 5/4	—
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Stoke City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Wilmot n 8	90	1 5/2
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	75	2.7 6/5
E. Galbraith n 8	90	1.5 7/2
Luke Graham n 8	90	1.6 6/4
Ben Johnson n 8	90	1.1 4/2
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Stoke City Attacking

Stoke City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
George Hirst	12	45537 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	81.3 /90	30.5 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90
J. McGlynn	10	71706 min	40.5 /90	20.3 /90	111.4 /90	70.9 /90	131.7 /90	30.4 /90
J. Devenny	10	70700 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	101.3 /90	50.6 /90	111.4 /90	70.9 /90
R. Boženík	10	43428 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	142.9 /90	40.8 /90	71.5 /90	10.2 /90
L. Cissé	9	56505 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	101.8 /90	20.4 /90	71.2 /90	101.8 /90
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Stoke City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
V. Johansson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Wilmot n 8	90	0.9 4/3	0.4 3/0
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	75	0.9 5/1	0.2 1/0
E. Galbraith n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.4 3/0
Luke Graham n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
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Stoke City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
V. Johansson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Wilmot n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	75	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Galbraith n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0
Luke Graham n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lincoln v Stoke City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LincolnLDWLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

Stoke CityLWDWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Lincoln#19 pos15 pts14 pl-10 GD

Stoke City#4 pos26 pts14 pl+5 GD

Goals per game

Lincoln scored1

Stoke City scored1.57

Lincoln conceded1.71

Stoke City conceded1.21

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