Middlesbrough v QPR prediction

Championship · · Riverside Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Middlesbrough v QPR, Championship on Sat, 10 Apr 2027 15:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Middlesbrough host QPR in the Championship on Saturday 10 April (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Middlesbrough have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the last six meetings with QPR, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

10 of Middlesbrough’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Middlesbrough’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Middlesbrough have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.29. Middlesbrough have scored 22 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Middlesbrough have conceded 16 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of QPR’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of QPR’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, QPR have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.43. QPR have scored 15 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). QPR have conceded 12 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Middlesbrough (third) and QPR (ninth) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Middlesbrough the stronger side, 167 rating points above QPR (Middlesbrough 1675, QPR 1508, after at least 425 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished QPR 0–1 Middlesbrough.

Team news

Predicted Middlesbrough XI (4-2-3-1): R. Vítek, A. Phillips, N. Borges, C. Brittain, A. Malanda, A. Morris, S. Berhalter, R. McGree, A. Cozier-Duberry, T. Conway, W. Lankshear — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Amario Cozier-Duberry (5.9 per match over seven appearances, two goals and three assists) and Aidan Morris (4.9 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) have been Middlesbrough’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Middlesbrough (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Amario Cozier-Duberry averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 583 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances. Aidan Morris averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1060 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted QPR XI (5-4-1): P. Charles, J. Dunne, R. Edwards, K. Adamson, J. Clarke-Salter, A. Mbengue, G. Kamara, H. Vale, N. Madsen, P. Smyth, R. Burrell — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nicolas Madsen (3.6 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Ilias Chair (3.6 per match over six appearances, two goals and one assist) have been QPR’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for QPR (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nicolas Madsen averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 634 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Ilias Chair averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 388 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship · Riverside Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Middlesbrough 6 · draws 0 · QPR 0 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Middlesbrough 2W 3D 0L · QPR 1W 3D 1L

Middlesbrough v QPR (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 5.75
Corners
against 4.75 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.75 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMiddlesbrough for / againstLineQPR for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
19.5 for · 11.25 against n 8
19.5standard
14.5 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
6.75 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.63 for · 9.5 against n 8
21.5standard
8.88 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Pukštas n 863.1
3.47/7
1.85/3
—
Maximilian Arfsten n 838.3
2.15/1
0.62/0
—
Sebastian Berhalter n 855.5
24/3
1.45/1
—
M. Peart-Harris n 837.9
1.84/2
1.55/0
—
Leo Castledine n 844.5
1.34/1
12/1
—
Middlesbrough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Cozier-Duberry n 872.9
3.48/5
1.75/4
W. Lankshear n 869.5
2.96/6
1.96/4
R. Pukštas n 863.1
2.56/3
1.45/2
Sebastian Berhalter n 855.5
2.25/3
1.24/2
K. Joseph n 837.4
2.15/1
1.23/1
Middlesbrough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Sarmiento n 840.8
0.62/0
0.31/0
A. Cozier-Duberry n 872.9
0.32/0
0.53/0
W. Lankshear n 869.5
0.85/0
00/0
Sebastian Berhalter n 855.5
0.42/0
0.42/0
T. Conway n 852.9
0.21/0
0.62/1
Middlesbrough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Morris n 889.3
48/6
R. Pukštas n 863.1
2.75/4
Sebastian Berhalter n 855.5
2.65/3
C. Brittain n 890
2.47/4
J. Sarmiento n 840.8
2.25/3
Middlesbrough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Brynn n 893.8
2.56/3
R. Vítek n 890
2.46/2
QPR
QPR — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu n 821.9
2.63/1
0.51/0
—
R. Kone n 846.6
2.25/2
0.52/0
—
Glen Kamara n 872
1.77/3
1.74/4
—
Rayan Jawad Kolli n 865.1
1.45/2
2.68/4
—
J. Varane n 839.1
1.42/1
1.24/0
—
QPR — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Lloyd n 839
3.56/4
1.44/1
K. Poku n 865.5
3.37/3
15/1
Rayan Jawad Kolli n 865.1
2.27/4
1.95/4
I. Chair n 859
2.16/2
1.13/2
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
QPR — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Chair n 859
0.41/1
0.21/0
R. Burrell n 874.4
0.31/1
0.21/0
N. Madsen n 868
0.32/0
0.21/0
Rayan Jawad Kolli n 865.1
0.52/1
00/0
P. Smyth n 863.9
0.53/0
00/0
QPR — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Scarlett n 622.5
44/2
T. Lamptey n 832.1
3.55/3
Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu n 821.9
3.15/1
Dennis Cirkin n 861.9
2.55/2
P. Smyth n 863.9
2.16/3
QPR — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Charles n 890
2.66/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Middlesbrough v QPR — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MiddlesbroughDDWWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
QPRDDDWL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Middlesbrough 6 · 0 draws · QPR 0 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-09-05 QPR 0–1 Middlesbrough
  • 2026-03-08 QPR 0–4 Middlesbrough
  • 2025-12-13 Middlesbrough 3–1 QPR
  • 2025-03-11 Middlesbrough 2–1 QPR
  • 2024-11-05 QPR 1–4 Middlesbrough
  • 2024-03-09 QPR 0–2 Middlesbrough
League standing · 2026/27
Middlesbrough#3 pos22 pts11 pl+6 GD
QPR#9 pos17 pts11 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Middlesbrough scored2
QPR scored1.36
Middlesbrough conceded1.45
QPR conceded1.09

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Middlesbrough and QPR?
In their last 6 meetings, Middlesbrough won 6, QPR won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Middlesbrough and QPR?
Recent form — Middlesbrough 2W 3D 0L; QPR 1W 3D 1L.

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