MillwallWatford

Millwall v Watford result

Full-time · Millwall 1–0 Watford

Championship · · The Den

Updated · refreshed continuously

Millwall 1–0 Watford — Millwall won this Championship match.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Millwall beat Watford 1–0 at The Den in the Championship on Monday 22 September.

The goals

Millwall led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Millwall: Camiel Neghli (10’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Millwall 0.70, Watford 0.76, from 9 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Josh Smith, England showed one yellow card — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Millwall: J. Bryan (30’).

What it changes

Millwall move up from 11th to 10th (six league matches played). Millwall have scored 64 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Millwall have conceded 49 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Watford move down from 16th to 21st (six league matches played). Watford have scored 53 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Watford have conceded 65 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Millwall are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Watford are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Max Alleyne (Watford) 8.4, Imrân Louza (Watford) 6.8 and Camiel Neghli (Millwall) 6.4 led the match.

Next up

Millwall next host QPR on 21 November 2026.

Watford next travel to Sheffield Utd on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Millwall: Millwall v QPR, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Watford: Sheffield Utd v Watford, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Millwall 1–0 Watford · Championship
  • Venue: The Den · London
  • Referee: Josh Smith, England
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Millwall 4 · draws 1 · Watford 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Millwall 2W 2D 1L · Watford 1W 2D 2L

Millwall 1–0 Watford (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.57 / 4.63
Corners
against 5.57 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.43 / 2.88
Shots on target
against 3.57 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.29 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.57 / 2.5 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.31 yellows
Referee · Josh Smith, England
22.85 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 13 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 September 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 September 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMillwall for / againstLineWatford for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.57 for · 5.57 against n 7
9.5standard
4.63 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
15.43 for · 12.86 against n 7
19.5standard
12.13 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.43 for · 3.57 against n 7
8.5standard
2.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
14 for · 9.86 against n 7
21.5standard
13.63 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.29 for · 2.57 against n 7
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: Josh Smith, England — 4.31 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.85 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Millwall

Millwall Defensive

Millwall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 16 September 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Cooper n 890
1.66/4
0.95/2
K. Keben
T. Crama n 886
1.67/3
0.43/0
K. Keben
J. Coburn n 878.9
1.76/5
1.76/3
—
S. Benda n 590
00/0
0.63/0
—
L. Cundle n 873.5
0.83/1
1.24/2
—
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Millwall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 16 September 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890
0.85/1
T. Crama n 886
2.16/4
J. Coburn n 878.9
0.95/1
S. Benda n 590
00/0
L. Cundle n 873.5
1.56/4
See more players · Pro

Millwall Attacking

Millwall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 16 September 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890
0.85/1
0.32/0
T. Crama n 886
0.43/0
00/0
J. Coburn n 878.9
1.78/4
0.42/1
S. Benda n 590
00/0
00/0
L. Cundle n 873.5
0.93/2
0.63/1
See more players · Pro
Millwall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 16 September 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Crama n 886
00/0
0.11/0
J. Coburn n 878.9
00/0
00/0
S. Benda n 590
00/0
00/0
L. Cundle n 873.5
0.21/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Watford

Watford Defensive

Watford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 16 September 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Hector Kyprianou n 690
1.85/4
2.25/4
—
E. Selvik n 890
00/0
00/0
—
K. Keben n 874.6
1.26/2
0.52/1
T. Crama
E. Kayembe n 869
15/1
0.53/0
—
N. Irankunda n 658.3
1.34/1
2.85/4
—
See more players · Pro
Watford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 16 September 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Hector Kyprianou n 690
1.56/2
E. Selvik n 890
0.11/0
K. Keben n 874.6
1.26/2
E. Kayembe n 869
0.82/2
N. Irankunda n 658.3
14/0
See more players · Pro

Watford Attacking

Watford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 16 September 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Hector Kyprianou n 690
0.53/0
00/0
E. Selvik n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Keben n 874.6
0.53/0
00/0
E. Kayembe n 869
1.54/3
0.73/1
N. Irankunda n 658.3
2.13/2
13/1
See more players · Pro
Watford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 16 September 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Selvik n 890
00/0
00/0
Hector Kyprianou n 690
00/0
00/0
K. Keben n 874.6
00/0
00/0
E. Kayembe n 869
00/0
00/0
N. Irankunda n 658.3
0.52/0
0.31/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MillwallWatford
39%Possession61%
0.70Expected goals (xG)0.76
9Shots11
2Shots on target4
5Shots off target4
2Blocked shots3
5Shots inside the box5
7Corners4
1Offsides1
11Fouls9
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
4Saves1
353Passes572
75%Pass accuracy84%

Millwall Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Benda9000000007.3
T. Crama9000000207.9
J. Cooper9000300106.9
D. Mazou-Sacko9000000307.2
M. Luongo9000000406.7
J. Coburn9000100106.2
R. Leonard8900001407.9
J. Bryan79000001Y7.3
C. Neghli7910210207.3
T. Ballo7800110206.6
A. Emakhu6700002106.2
W. Smallbone sub2300001206.7
C. Taylor sub1200000006.7
Zak Norton Sturge sub1100000006.9
M. Langstaff sub1100001006.2
W. Harding sub10000000–

Watford Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Max Alleyne9000101607.9
K. Keben9000000106.9
M. Pollock9000000207.2
I. Louza9000212307.5
N. Irankunda9000111006.7
Hector Kyprianou8800111106.9
F. Mendy7200002406.9
M. Bola7200001006.3
Vivaldo Semedo7200000006.2
N. Mendy6200100006.5
E. Selvik4500000006.2
N. Baxter sub4500000007
E. Kayembe sub2800001106.9
C. Wiley sub1800100106.7
L. Kjerrumgaard sub1800110006.3
K. Baah sub1800000106.5
Rocco Vata sub20000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Millwall v Watford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MillwallWWLDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
WatfordLWDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Millwall 4 · 1 draw · Watford 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-03-08 Watford 1–2 Millwall
  • 2024-08-10 Millwall 2–3 Watford
  • 2024-03-02 Millwall 1–0 Watford
  • 2023-10-28 Watford 2–2 Millwall
  • 2022-12-26 Watford 0–2 Millwall
  • 2022-10-19 Millwall 3–0 Watford
League standing · 2025/26
Millwall#3 pos83 pts46 pl+15 GD
Watford#16 pos57 pts46 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Millwall scored1.39
Watford scored1.15
Millwall conceded1.07
Watford conceded1.41

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Millwall and Watford?
In their last 6 meetings, Millwall won 4, Watford won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Millwall and Watford?
Recent form — Millwall 2W 2D 1L; Watford 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+