Millwall v Wrexham result

Full-time · Millwall 0–2 Wrexham

Championship · Sat, 30 Aug 2025 15:00 BST · The Den

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Millwall · Wrexham

The model’s pre-match pick

Millwall 0–2 Wrexham — Wrexham won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Wrexham won 2–0 at The Den in the Championship on Saturday 30 August. Wrexham have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Wrexham: Kieffer Moore (58’, assisted by Max Cleworth) and L. O'Brien (90’, assisted by James McClean).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kieffer Moore’s goal on 58 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Millwall out-shot Wrexham 21 to 6 and created the better chances, 1.76 xG to 0.55 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

T. Kirk showed four yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Millwall: Raees Bangura-Williams (82’); Wrexham: Callum Doyle (64’), Kieffer Moore (90+18’) and L. O'Brien (90+20’).

What it changes

Millwall move down from sixth to eighth (four league matches played). Millwall have scored 64 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Millwall have conceded 49 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Wrexham move up from 20th to 10th (four league matches played). Wrexham have scored 69 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Wrexham have conceded 65 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Wrexham are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, L. O'Brien (Wrexham) 7.1, Max Cleworth (Wrexham) 6.7 and M. Luongo (Millwall) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Millwall next host QPR on 21 November 2026.

Wrexham next travel to Lincoln on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Millwall: Millwall v QPR, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Wrexham: Lincoln v Wrexham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Millwall 0–2 Wrexham · Championship
Venue: The Den · London
Referee: T. Kirk
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Millwall 4W 0D 1L · Wrexham 1W 2D 2L

Millwall 0–2 Wrexham (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2.25

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.67 / 4.6

Corners

against 6.83 / 6.6 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 5 matches

3.83 / 3.6

Shots on target

against 4.67 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 5 matches

2.33 / 1.4

Cards

against 2 / 0.8 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 5 matches

3.78 yellows

Referee · T. Kirk

22.22 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 9 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Millwall for / against	Line	Wrexham for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.67 for · 6.83 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	4.6 for · 6.6 against n 5 Last 5
Shots	14 for · 14.83 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	11.6 for · 17.6 against n 5 Last 5
Shots on target	3.83 for · 4.67 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	3.6 for · 6 against n 5 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.33 for · 8.17 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	9 for · 8.2 against n 5 Last 5
Cards shown	2.33 for · 2 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	1.4 for · 0.8 against n 5 Last 5

Referee: T. Kirk — 3.78 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.22 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Millwall

Millwall Defensive

Millwall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Cooper n 8	90	1.4 4/4	0.6 3/2	—
T. Crama n 8	86	1.4 6/3	0.5 4/0	—
C. De Norre n 8	76.9	0.7 3/1	0.1 1/0	—
J. Coburn n 8	79.9	2 7/6	1.1 5/2	G. Dobson
S. Benda n 3	90	0 0/0	0.7 2/0	—
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Millwall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Cooper n 8	90	0.8 5/1
T. Crama n 8	86	3.3 6/5
C. De Norre n 8	76.9	2.2 6/5
J. Coburn n 8	79.9	0.4 3/0
S. Benda n 3	90	0 0/0
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Millwall Attacking

Millwall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Cooper n 8	90	0.9 6/1	0.3 2/0
T. Crama n 8	86	0.7 4/1	0 0/0
C. De Norre n 8	76.9	0.9 4/1	0.1 1/0
J. Coburn n 8	79.9	1.5 7/4	0.6 3/1
S. Benda n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Millwall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Cooper n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Crama n 8	86	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
C. De Norre n 8	76.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Coburn n 8	79.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Benda n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Wrexham

Wrexham Defensive

Wrexham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Dobson n 8	73.9	1.1 4/2	0.6 4/0	J. Coburn
L. Brunt n 8	81.4	0.6 4/0	1 5/2	—
L. O'Brien n 4	72	1.9 3/2	1.6 3/2	—
K. Moore n 4	59.5	1.1 2/1	3 4/2	—
R. Longman n 8	63.1	1.1 5/1	0.9 4/1	—
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Wrexham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Dobson n 8	73.9	2.4 6/3
L. Brunt n 8	81.4	1.9 7/4
L. O'Brien n 4	72	2.5 3/2
K. Moore n 4	59.5	0.8 1/1
R. Longman n 8	63.1	2.1 5/3
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Wrexham Attacking

Wrexham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Dobson n 8	73.9	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0
L. Brunt n 8	81.4	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
L. O'Brien n 4	72	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
K. Moore n 4	59.5	3 3/2	1.1 2/1
R. Longman n 8	63.1	0.7 4/0	0.4 2/0
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Wrexham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Dobson n 8	73.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
L. Brunt n 8	81.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. O'Brien n 4	72	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
K. Moore n 4	59.5	1.1 2/1	0 0/0
R. Longman n 8	63.1	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Millwall		Wrexham
60%	Possession	40%
1.76	Expected goals (xG)	0.55
21	Shots	6
2	Shots on target	3
14	Shots off target	2
5	Blocked shots	1
14	Shots inside the box	5
5	Corners	2
10	Fouls	13
1	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	3
467	Passes	312
79%	Pass accuracy	72%

Millwall Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
S. Benda	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
T. Crama	90	1	0	2	1	0	7.6
J. Cooper	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Luongo	90	1	0	2	4	0	7.2
A. Emakhu	90	3	0	3	2	0	7.5
M. Ivanović	90	5	1	1	1	0	6.2
L. Cundle	89	0	0	0	0	0	7
R. Leonard	82	0	0	2	1	0	6.9
J. Coburn	82	2	0	2	2	0	6.9
Zak Norton Sturge	73	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
C. Neghli	73	1	0	1	2	0	6.6
Daniel Kelly sub	23	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
J. Bryan sub	17	0	0	2	0	0	6.6
Raees Bangura-Williams sub	17	1	1	0	0	Y	6.6
C. Taylor sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
K. Nisbet sub	8	1	0	0	0	0	6.3

Wrexham Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Cleworth	90	0	1	0	0	1	4	0	7.7
C. Coady	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
M. James	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.2
G. Dobson	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7
L. O'Brien	90	1	0	2	1	1	2	Y	8.3
K. Moore	90	1	0	2	2	0	0	Y	7.9
D. Ward	89	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
R. Longman	89	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
C. Doyle	77	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.3
L. Cacace	77	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
R. Hardie	70	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.2
D. Scarr sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
S. Smith sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. Brunt sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
J. McClean sub	13	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	6.9
A. Okonkwo sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Millwall v Wrexham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MillwallWWLWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

WrexhamLDLDW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 2.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

League standing · 2025/26

Millwall#3 pos83 pts46 pl+15 GD

Wrexham#7 pos71 pts46 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

Millwall scored1.39

Wrexham scored1.5

Millwall conceded1.07

Wrexham conceded1.41

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Millwall v Wrexham?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Millwall v Wrexham was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Millwall and Wrexham?: Recent form — Millwall 4W 0D 1L; Wrexham 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.