PortsmouthQPR

Portsmouth v QPR result

Full-time · Portsmouth 1–3 QPR

Championship · · Fratton Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Portsmouth 1–3 QPR — QPR won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

QPR won 3–1 at Fratton Park in the Championship on Saturday 15 August. Portsmouth have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

QPR led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — Portsmouth: Terry Devlin (15’, assisted by Ebrima Adams); QPR: Ilias Chair (33’, assisted by Harvey Vale; 45’, assisted by Amadou Mbengue) and Koki Saito (40’, assisted by Ilias Chair).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Koki Saito’s goal on 40 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Portsmouth 2.17, QPR 2.07, from 17 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

W. Finnie showed one yellow card — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — QPR: Ronnie Edwards (25’).

What it changes

Portsmouth are 23rd after this result (one league match played).

QPR are first after this result (one league match played).

Portsmouth are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ilias Chair (QPR) 11.9, Terry Devlin (Portsmouth) 7.4 and Ebrima Adams (Portsmouth) 7.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Portsmouth or QPR (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Portsmouth next travel to Bolton on 21 November 2026.

QPR next travel to Millwall on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Portsmouth: Bolton v Portsmouth, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for QPR: Millwall v QPR, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Portsmouth 1–3 QPR · Championship
  • Venue: Fratton Park · Portsmouth
  • Referee: W. Finnie
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Portsmouth 3 · draws 1 · QPR 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Portsmouth 2W 1D 2L · QPR 0W 1D 4L

Portsmouth 1–3 QPR (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 29 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
3.5 / 5.29
Corners
against 6.88 / 4.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.75 / 5.29
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 5.14 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.25 / 3
Cards
against 1.5 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.2 yellows
Referee · W. Finnie
20.4 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePortsmouth for / againstLineQPR for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.25our book
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 6.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.29 for · 4.57 against n 7
Shots
9 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
13.86 for · 11.71 against n 7
Shots on target
2.75 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.29 for · 5.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 8.71 against n 7
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
3 for · 2 against n 7

Referee: W. Finnie — 3.2 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 20.4 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Portsmouth

Portsmouth Goalkeeper

Portsmouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Schmid19999 min54.5 /9032.7 /9000 /90
Portsmouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Schmid n 891.1
36/3

Portsmouth Defensive

Portsmouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Shaughnessy19999 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.9 /9000 /90
R. Poole19999 min00 /9000 /9000 /9021.8 /9010.9 /9000 /90
T. Devlin19999 min21.8 /9000 /9010.9 /9076.4 /9021.8 /9000 /90
Z. Swanson16060 min23 /9023 /9000 /9057.5 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Segecic19999 min10.9 /9000 /9000 /9032.7 /9021.8 /9010.9 /90
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Portsmouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Adams n 883.4
1.87/4
2.87/7
—
A. Segecic n 874.1
1.23/3
1.24/2
—
T. Devlin n 882
1.15/3
1.96/5
—
R. Poole n 885.5
0.54/0
1.14/3
—
C. Shaughnessy n 865
0.53/0
0.21/0
—
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Portsmouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Devlin n 882
38/8
E. Adams n 883.4
2.46/4
C. Shaughnessy n 865
1.43/3
R. Poole n 885.5
1.15/1
A. Segecic n 874.1
0.95/1
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Portsmouth Attacking

Portsmouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Bishop18282 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /90
M. Milovanović13939 min00 /9000 /9012.3 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Segecic19999 min10.9 /9000 /9032.7 /9032.7 /9000 /9021.8 /90
E. Adams19999 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9032.7 /9043.6 /90
Rocco Robert Shein19999 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9021.8 /9010.9 /90
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Portsmouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Segecic n 874.1
2.37/4
1.24/2
E. Adams n 883.4
1.15/3
0.11/0
R. Poole n 885.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
T. Devlin n 882
0.32/0
0.11/0
C. Shaughnessy n 865
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Portsmouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portsmouth before kick-off, to 8 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Segecic n 874.1
0.94/1
0.53/0
C. Shaughnessy n 865
0.21/0
00/0
N. Schmid n 891.1
00/0
00/0
R. Poole n 885.5
00/0
00/0
E. Adams n 883.4
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PortsmouthQPR
54%Possession46%
2.17Expected goals (xG)2.07
17Shots13
6Shots on target6
8Shots off target5
3Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box10
6Corners3
3Offsides0
9Fouls13
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves5
413Passes357
82%Pass accuracy77%

Portsmouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Schmid9000000007.2
T. Devlin9010111307.5
C. Shaughnessy9000201006.2
Rocco Robert Shein9000110106.6
A. Segecic9000302107.3
C. Bishop9000004007.9
E. Adams8301002207.3
R. Poole7200000005.9
Z. Swanson7200000106.3
A. Kamara6500112006.3
Luke Brooke-Smith4500110106.3
R. Kavuma McQueen sub4500211607.3
J. Murphy sub2500001006.5
Benjamin Arthur sub1800000207.2
M. Milovanović sub1800310105.9
O. Bailey sub1400000006.3

QPR Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Charles9000000007.7
J. Dunne9000000206.9
J. Clarke-Salter9000000106.2
H. Vale9001203207.2
R. Edwards90000001Y6.7
I. Chair9021533008.6
A. Mbengue7401002007
R. Burrell7400000006.3
K. Poku5800000206.7
K. Saito5810111107.7
B. Kemper2000000006.2
K. Adamson sub7000000006.9
P. Smyth sub3200112007
Glen Kamara sub3200110107.3
J. Varane sub1600000006.6
A. Lloyd sub1600100105.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Portsmouth v QPR — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PortsmouthWLWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
QPRLLLLD
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Portsmouth 3 · 1 draw · QPR 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-03-21 QPR 6–1 Portsmouth
  • 2025-12-26 Portsmouth 1–1 QPR
  • 2025-02-22 Portsmouth 2–1 QPR
  • 2024-10-19 QPR 1–2 Portsmouth
  • 2019-08-28 QPR 0–2 Portsmouth
  • 2019-02-05 QPR 2–0 Portsmouth
League standing · 2026/27
Portsmouth#11 pos22 pts15 pl+2 GD
QPR#8 pos24 pts15 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Portsmouth scored1.33
QPR scored1.6
Portsmouth conceded1.2
QPR conceded1.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Portsmouth v QPR?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Portsmouth v QPR was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Portsmouth and QPR?
In their last 6 meetings, Portsmouth won 3, QPR won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portsmouth and QPR?
Recent form — Portsmouth 2W 1D 2L; QPR 0W 1D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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