QPR v Bristol City prediction

Championship · · Loftus Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for QPR v Bristol City, Championship on Sat, 26 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

QPR host Bristol City in the Championship on Saturday 26 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

QPR are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Bristol City, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Nine of QPR’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of QPR’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, QPR have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.38. QPR have scored 15 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). QPR have conceded 12 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Seven of Bristol City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Bristol City’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Bristol City have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.86. Bristol City have scored 12 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bristol City have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Bristol City are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. QPR (ninth) and Bristol City (16th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have QPR the stronger side, 120 rating points above Bristol City (QPR 1508, Bristol City 1388, after at least 425 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished QPR 0–0 Bristol City.

Team news

Predicted QPR XI (4-4-2): P. Charles, J. Dunne, K. Adamson, R. Edwards, J. Clarke-Salter, G. Kamara, H. Vale, N. Madsen, P. Smyth, R. Burrell, R. Kolli — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ilias Chair (3.6 per match over six appearances, two goals and one assist) and Harvey Vale (3.5 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been QPR’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for QPR (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ilias Chair averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 388 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances. Harvey Vale averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 846 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bristol City XI (4-2-3-1): S. Tickle, R. Cardines, L. Eissat, C. Pring, G. Tanner, J. Knight, S. Twine, Y. Hirakawa, G. Yah, J. Wallace, D. Ballard — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Rio Cardines (4.4 per match over 11 appearances, six assists) and Robert Dickie (4.0 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Bristol City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bristol City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Rio Cardines averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 1224 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances. Robert Dickie averages 1.1 tackles per 90 over 711 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship · Loftus Road
  • Head-to-head (last 6): QPR 2 · draws 4 · Bristol City 0 · 1.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: QPR 1W 3D 1L · Bristol City 1W 1D 3L

QPR v Bristol City (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 6
Corners
against 3.38 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameQPR for / againstLineBristol City for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
14.5 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
15.38 for · 10.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.88 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 2.25 against n 8
QPR
QPR — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu n 821.9
2.63/1
0.51/0
—
R. Kone n 846.6
2.25/2
0.52/0
—
Glen Kamara n 872
1.77/3
1.74/4
—
L. Scarlett n 428.3
1.62/0
00/0
—
Rayan Jawad Kolli n 865.1
1.45/2
2.68/4
—
QPR — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Poku n 865.5
3.67/4
15/1
A. Lloyd n 839
3.56/4
1.44/1
Rayan Jawad Kolli n 865.1
2.27/4
1.95/4
I. Chair n 859
2.16/2
1.13/2
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
QPR — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Chair n 859
0.41/1
0.21/0
R. Burrell n 874.4
0.31/1
0.21/0
N. Madsen n 868
0.32/0
0.21/0
Rayan Jawad Kolli n 865.1
0.52/1
00/0
P. Smyth n 863.9
0.53/0
00/0
QPR — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Lamptey n 832.1
3.55/3
L. Scarlett n 428.3
3.23/1
Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu n 821.9
3.15/1
Dennis Cirkin n 861.9
2.55/2
P. Smyth n 863.9
2.16/3
QPR — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Charles n 890
2.66/3
Bristol City
Bristol City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Adebayo n 816.8
4.72/2
1.32/0
—
L. Tolaj n 869.1
2.98/5
2.16/4
—
Sam Greenwood n 836.8
2.45/1
3.46/4
—
J. Knight n 878
2.27/6
1.25/3
—
Lisav Naif Eissat n 873.4
2.16/4
0.53/0
—
Bristol City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Tolaj n 869.1
3.48/7
0.84/1
D. Ballard n 859
3.18/5
1.14/2
T. Horvat n 832.5
2.14/2
13/0
Y. Hirakawa n 861.9
27/2
1.35/2
S. Bell n 826.6
1.74/0
1.33/0
Bristol City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Bell n 826.6
1.33/0
00/0
Rio Cardines n 879.1
00/0
0.64/0
L. Tolaj n 869.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
Lisav Naif Eissat n 873.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
D. Ballard n 859
0.42/0
00/0
Bristol City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. McNally n 887.9
2.67/6
J. Wallace n 849.6
2.35/3
B. De Keersmaecker n 856.5
2.27/4
G. Tanner n 871.3
1.96/3
C. Pring n 853.3
1.95/2
Bristol City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Tickle n 890
1.64/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind QPR v Bristol City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
QPRDDDWL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Bristol CityLWDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
QPR 2 · 4 draws · Bristol City 0 · 1.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-11 QPR 0–0 Bristol City
  • 2025-10-04 Bristol City 1–2 QPR
  • 2025-04-12 QPR 1–1 Bristol City
  • 2024-12-14 Bristol City 1–1 QPR
  • 2024-02-17 Bristol City 0–1 QPR
  • 2023-11-11 QPR 0–0 Bristol City
League standing · 2026/27
QPR#9 pos17 pts11 pl+3 GD
Bristol City#16 pos14 pts11 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
QPR scored1.36
Bristol City scored1.09
QPR conceded1.09
Bristol City conceded1.36

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Bristol City?
In their last 6 meetings, QPR won 2, Bristol City won 0 and there were 4 draws, averaging 1.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of QPR and Bristol City?
Recent form — QPR 1W 3D 1L; Bristol City 1W 1D 3L.

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