QPR v Charlton result

Full-time · QPR 3–1 Charlton

Championship ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: QPR · Charlton

The model’s pre-match pick

QPR 3–1 Charlton — QPR won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67.3% of 1371 landed (95% range 64.8–69.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

QPR beat Charlton 3–1 in the Championship on Saturday 30 August. QPR have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

QPR led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — QPR: Paul Smyth (8’, assisted by Harvey Vale), Koki Saito (84’, assisted by João Henrique) and Richard Kone (90’, assisted by Rumarn Burrell); Charlton: Robert Apter (54’, assisted by Tyreece Campbell).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Koki Saito’s goal on 84 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: QPR 1.43, Charlton 0.84, from 13 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Kitchen showed four yellow cards — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — QPR: Liam Morrison (38’) and Amadou Mbengue (65’); Charlton: Conor Coventry (17’) and Joshua Edwards (78’).

What it changes

Charlton are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Richard Kone (QPR) 7.4, Robert Apter (Charlton) 6.8 and Koki Saito (QPR) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Charlton, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.3% of the time in the last 90 days (923 of 1371).

Next up

QPR next host Swansea on 24 October 2026.

Charlton next host Norwich on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for QPR: QPR v Swansea, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Charlton: Charlton v Norwich, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: QPR 3–1 Charlton · Championship
  • Referee: A. Kitchen
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): QPR 0 · draws 2 · Charlton 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: QPR 1W 1D 3L · Charlton 2W 1D 2L

QPR 3–1 Charlton (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 0.88
Goals
against 2.63 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.57 / 4.75
Corners
against 6.86 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.71 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 4.86 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.57 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.43 / 0.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.55 yellows
Referee · A. Kitchen
0.91 home / 1.64 away
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameQPR for / againstLineCharlton for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2.63 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.57 for · 6.86 against n 7
9.5standard
4.75 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
9.57 for · 15 against n 7
19.5standard
11 for · 9.75 against n 8
Shots on target
2.71 for · 4.86 against n 7
8.5standard
3.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 11.71 against n 7
21.5standard
12.38 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.57 for · 1.43 against n 7
3.5standard
1.75 for · 0.63 against n 8

Referee: A. Kitchen — 2.55 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 20.64 fouls over 11 matches (0.91 to the home side, 1.64 to the away side).

QPR
QPR — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Frey n 862.8
3.97/6
1.33/3
—
E. Sutton n 333
3.62/1
0.91/0
—
R. Burrell n 870
1.87/3
0.51/1
—
J. Colback n 884.4
1.67/3
1.68/3
—
A. Mbengue n 878.8
1.67/3
1.36/3
L. Jones
QPR — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Frey n 862.8
2.26/2
0.74/0
Yang Min-Hyeok n 858.1
2.16/4
14/1
R. Burrell n 870
1.44/2
0.84/1
João Henrique n 834.1
13/0
0.31/0
S. Cook n 871.1
0.94/2
0.62/2
QPR — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Madsen n 869
0.21/0
0.32/0
M. Frey n 862.8
0.42/0
00/0
K. Dembélé n 862.5
0.42/0
00/0
Yang Min-Hyeok n 858.1
0.42/0
00/0
S. Cook n 871.1
0.32/0
00/0
QPR — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Sutton n 333
5.52/1
J. Dunne n 886.5
3.87/6
H. Ashby n 855.5
3.46/5
R. Edwards n 887.5
2.17/4
A. Mbengue n 878.8
2.17/5
Charlton
Charlton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Karoy Anderson n 840.5
3.16/2
0.62/0
—
M. Godden n 884.5
1.67/2
1.35/4
—
L. Jones n 883.9
1.56/2
1.37/2
A. Mbengue
M. Leaburn n 851.3
1.55/2
1.15/0
—
T. Campbell n 880.6
1.46/3
2.17/4
—
Charlton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Carey n 884.1
2.38/4
1.66/2
I. Fullah n 360.7
23/1
12/0
M. Leaburn n 851.3
1.86/2
0.94/0
M. Godden n 884.5
1.77/5
1.37/3
R. Apter n 879.1
1.77/3
1.35/2
Charlton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Fullah n 360.7
12/0
00/0
M. Godden n 884.5
0.74/1
00/0
H. Knibbs n 851.8
0.21/0
0.42/0
R. Apter n 879.1
0.62/1
00/0
S. Carey n 884.1
0.42/1
00/0
Charlton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Conor Coventry n 887.6
2.77/6
J. Edwards n 888.4
2.55/4
Karoy Anderson n 840.5
2.56/3
G. Docherty n 889.5
2.47/5
A. Gilbert n 838.4
2.13/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
QPRCharlton
45%Possession55%
1.43Expected goals (xG)0.84
13Shots13
6Shots on target3
4Shots off target6
3Blocked shots4
7Shots inside the box7
1Corners2
2Offsides2
16Fouls7
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves3
318Passes382
64%Pass accuracy71%

QPR player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Walsh9000000006.3
J. Dunne9000102207.5
L. Morrison90001000Y6
A. Mbengue90000002Y6.2
N. Madsen9000111107.2
R. Kone9010111207.9
J. Varane8100001106.9
R. Norrington-Davies6800100206.5
H. Vale6801002006.3
K. Dembélé5900110306.9
P. Smyth4510110208
Rayan Jawad Kolli sub4500100006.3
K. Saito sub3110220208
João Henrique sub2201001107.3
R. Burrell sub2201003107
I. Hayden sub900000006.3

Charlton player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Kaminski9000000007
K. Ramsay9000000205.7
L. Jones9000000006.3
A. Bell9000000106.9
J. Edwards90002021Y6.3
Tyreece Campbell9001113106.3
Conor Coventry89000001Y6.9
M. Leaburn8900310007.2
G. Docherty8700000006.3
R. Apter6810112207.9
S. Carey6800100006.5
H. Knibbs sub2200001006.5
C. Kelman sub2200000006.7
I. Olaofe sub1200100006.5
I. Fullah sub10000000–
J. Rankin-Costello sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind QPR v Charlton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
QPRWDLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
CharltonWWDLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
QPR 0 · 2 draws · Charlton 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2022-08-09 Charlton 1–1 QPR
  • 2020-06-27 Charlton 1–0 QPR
  • 2019-12-21 QPR 2–2 Charlton
League standing · 2025/26
QPR#15 pos58 pts46 pl-12 GD
Charlton#19 pos53 pts46 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
QPR scored1.33
Charlton scored0.96
QPR conceded1.59
Charlton conceded1.26

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for QPR v Charlton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for QPR v Charlton was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Charlton?
In their last 3 meetings, QPR won 0, Charlton won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of QPR and Charlton?
Recent form — QPR 1W 1D 3L; Charlton 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →