QPR v Swansea prediction
Team pages: QPR · Swansea · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for QPR vs Swansea, Championship on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST.
The match
QPR host Swansea in the Championship on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is QPR or Swansea (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Swansea have conceded seven goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Form and the table
Nine of QPR’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of QPR’s last 15 results (67%). At home, QPR have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.38. QPR have scored 15 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). QPR have conceded nine goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Eight of Swansea’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Swansea’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Swansea have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 away matches — 2.29 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.00. Swansea have scored 16 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).
QPR (fifth) and Swansea (first) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Swansea the stronger side, 161 rating points above QPR (Swansea 1669, QPR 1508, after at least 384 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished QPR 1–2 Swansea.
Team news
Predicted QPR XI (4-4-2): P. Charles, J. Dunne, K. Adamson, R. Edwards, J. Clarke-Salter, G. Kamara, H. Vale, N. Madsen, P. Smyth, R. Burrell, R. Kolli — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ilias Chair (3.6 per match over six appearances, two goals and one assist) and Harvey Vale (3.5 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been QPR’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for QPR (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ilias Chair averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 388 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances. Harvey Vale averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 846 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Swansea XI (4-3-3): L. Vigouroux, J. Tymon, S. Welsh, B. Cabango, F. Lissah, M. Stamenić, S. Eustaquio, J. Fulton, M. Yeo, A. Idah, Z. Vipotnik — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Moussa Yeo (4.7 per match over 12 appearances, three goals) and Filip Lissah (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, one assist) have been Swansea’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Swansea (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Moussa Yeo averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 830 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances. Filip Lissah averages 2.8 tackles per 90 over 848 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Championship · Loftus Road
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): QPR 2 · draws 1 · Swansea 3 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: QPR 1W 3D 1L · Swansea 4W 0D 1L
As of 18 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers QPR v Swansea across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | QPR for / against | Line | Swansea for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.38 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.5 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.75 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.38 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.88 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.25 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
QPR
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu n 8 | 21.9 | 2.6 | 0.5 | — |
| R. Kone n 8 | 46.6 | 2.2 | 0.5 | — |
| Glen Kamara n 8 | 72 | 1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| L. Scarlett n 4 | 28.3 | 1.6 | 0 | — |
| Rayan Jawad Kolli n 8 | 65.1 | 1.4 | 2.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Poku n 8 | 65.5 | 3.6 | 1 |
| A. Lloyd n 8 | 39 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| Rayan Jawad Kolli n 8 | 65.1 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| I. Chair n 8 | 59 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Chair n 8 | 59 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| R. Burrell n 8 | 74.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| N. Madsen n 8 | 68 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Rayan Jawad Kolli n 8 | 65.1 | 0.5 | 0 |
| P. Smyth n 8 | 63.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| T. Lamptey n 8 | 32.1 | 3.5 |
| L. Scarlett n 4 | 28.3 | 3.2 |
| Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu n 8 | 21.9 | 3.1 |
| Dennis Cirkin n 8 | 61.9 | 2.5 |
| P. Smyth n 8 | 63.9 | 2.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Charles n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
Swansea
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Opoku n 8 | 53 | 3.8 | 0.8 | — |
| Joseph Opoku n 8 | 57.1 | 3.5 | 0.8 | — |
| Gonçalo Franco n 8 | 55.1 | 1.6 | 1.8 | — |
| S. Eustaquio n 8 | 64.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 | — |
| M. Widell n 8 | 53 | 1.3 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Stewart n 8 | 32.6 | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| A. Idah n 8 | 61 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Z. Vipotnik n 8 | 47.5 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Ronald n 8 | 49.5 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Joseph Opoku n 8 | 53 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eom Ji-Sung n 8 | 42.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| A. Idah n 8 | 61 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Ronald n 8 | 49.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Ross Stewart n 8 | 32.6 | 0.7 | 0 |
| M. Yeo n 8 | 71.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Yeo n 8 | 71.9 | 4.1 |
| Gonçalo Franco n 8 | 55.1 | 3.9 |
| F. Lissah n 8 | 79.8 | 3 |
| J. Fulton n 8 | 53.3 | 2.5 |
| M. Widell n 8 | 53 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Vigouroux n 8 | 83.5 | 3.8 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind QPR v Swansea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-21 QPR 1–2 Swansea
- 2025-10-22 Swansea 0–1 QPR
- 2025-04-21 QPR 1–2 Swansea
- 2024-12-26 Swansea 3–0 QPR
- 2024-04-01 Swansea 0–1 QPR
- 2023-09-19 QPR 1–1 Swansea
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win QPR vs Swansea?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for QPR v Swansea is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Swansea?
- In their last 6 meetings, QPR won 2, Swansea won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of QPR and Swansea?
- Recent form — QPR 1W 3D 1L; Swansea 4W 0D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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