QPR v Lincoln prediction

Championship · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · MATRADE Loftus Road

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 22:48 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: QPR · Lincoln

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for QPR v Lincoln, Championship on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.82 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

QPR host Lincoln in the Championship on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Eight of QPR’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of QPR’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, QPR have three wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 0.88. QPR have scored 22 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). QPR have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Lincoln’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Lincoln’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Lincoln have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.38. Lincoln have scored 14 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Lincoln have conceded 24 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

QPR (11th) and Lincoln (19th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have QPR the stronger side, 216 rating points above Lincoln (QPR 1554, Lincoln 1338, after at least 14 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted QPR XI (4-4-2): P. Charles, J. Dunne, K. Adamson, R. Edwards, B. Kemper, G. Kamara, J. Varane, H. Vale, K. Poku, R. Kone, P. Smyth — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nicolas Madsen (3.6 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Harvey Vale (3.5 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been QPR’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for QPR (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nicolas Madsen averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 634 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Harvey Vale averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1043 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Lincoln XI (3-4-2-1): G. Wickens, D. Elerewe, S. Bradley, A. Coubiș, Y. Konak, B. House, D. Jefferies, R. Hackett, T. Bayliss, I. Varfolomeev, F. Draper — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Benjamin House (4.0 per match over 14 appearances, three goals and two assists) and George Wickens (3.3 per match over 15 appearances) have been Lincoln’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lincoln (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Benjamin House averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 1055 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances. George Wickens averages 3.1 saves per 90 over 1355 minutes, with two or more saves in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Championship · MATRADE Loftus Road
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: QPR 2W 1D 2L · Lincoln 1W 1D 3L

QPR v Lincoln (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.63 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.63 / 3

Corners

against 4.13 / 6.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 3.38

Shots on target

against 4.63 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 2.88

Cards

against 1.88 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	QPR for / against	Line	Lincoln for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.63 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.63 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.63 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.38 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.38 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.38 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.88 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5

QPR

QPR Goalkeeper

QPR — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
P. Charles	14	901260 min	372.6 /90	100.7 /90	10.1 /90

QPR — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Charles n 8	90	3 6/5

QPR Defensive

QPR — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Edwards	14	901260 min	130.9 /90	191.4 /90	70.5 /90	453.2 /90	70.5 /90	20.1 /90
J. Dunne	13	871128 min	80.6 /90	100.8 /90	30.2 /90	544.3 /90	40.3 /90	10.1 /90
K. Adamson	12	72859 min	222.3 /90	161.7 /90	30.3 /90	373.9 /90	121.3 /90	20.2 /90
J. Clarke-Salter	9	72649 min	50.7 /90	60.8 /90	50.7 /90	182.5 /90	91.2 /90	40.6 /90
Dennis Cirkin	8	48380 min	133.1 /90	81.9 /90	51.2 /90	286.6 /90	40.9 /90	00 /90
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QPR — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Edwards n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.6 4/1	—
P. Charles n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
J. Dunne n 8	84.8	0.3 2/0	0.7 3/1	—
Glen Kamara n 8	82.9	1.2 6/2	2 6/5	—
H. Vale n 8	69.9	0.8 3/2	1.1 5/2	—
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QPR — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Edwards n 8	90	0.5 3/1
J. Dunne n 8	84.8	0.4 3/0
Glen Kamara n 8	82.9	1.1 6/2
H. Vale n 8	69.9	2.1 8/4
K. Adamson n 8	78.8	2.7 7/6
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QPR Attacking

QPR — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Smyth	12	64773 min	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	151.7 /90	80.9 /90	121.4 /90	91 /90
R. Kone	9	52471 min	40.8 /90	10.2 /90	142.7 /90	81.5 /90	81.5 /90	20.4 /90
R. Burrell	8	74595 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	111.7 /90	60.9 /90	121.8 /90	40.6 /90
A. Lloyd	5	54271 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	93 /90	41.3 /90	20.7 /90	51.7 /90
Rayan Jawad Kolli	5	48242 min	00 /90	00 /90	62.2 /90	51.9 /90	20.7 /90	31.1 /90
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QPR — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Edwards n 8	90	0.9 4/2	0.3 2/0
P. Charles n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Dunne n 8	84.8	1.2 6/3	0.4 2/1
Glen Kamara n 8	82.9	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
H. Vale n 8	69.9	1 3/1	0.3 2/0
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QPR — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for QPR before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Edwards n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Charles n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Dunne n 8	84.8	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
Glen Kamara n 8	82.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Vale n 8	69.9	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Lincoln

Lincoln Goalkeeper

Lincoln — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Wickens	15	901355 min	463.1 /90	130.9 /90	10.1 /90
J. Gauci	2	90180 min	63 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

Lincoln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Wickens n 8	90	2.8 7/3

Lincoln Defensive

Lincoln — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Elerewe	16	851355 min	151 /90	231.5 /90	90.6 /90	755 /90	140.9 /90	20.1 /90
S. Bradley	11	78855 min	60.6 /90	40.4 /90	60.6 /90	404.2 /90	30.3 /90	10.1 /90
R. Towler	11	77842 min	91 /90	151.6 /90	111.2 /90	353.7 /90	50.5 /90	20.2 /90
Andrei Coubiș	11	74814 min	121.3 /90	161.8 /90	00 /90	414.5 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90
C. Elder	6	82494 min	142.6 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	244.4 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90
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Lincoln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Elerewe n 8	87.9	0.8 4/2	1 5/2	—
G. Wickens n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
F. Draper n 8	63.6	3.2 7/3	1.9 5/3	—
R. Hackett n 8	65.6	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0	—
R. Street n 8	47.5	1.7 5/2	1.4 3/2	—
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Lincoln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Elerewe n 8	87.9	0.9 5/2
F. Draper n 8	63.6	1.1 4/1
R. Hackett n 8	65.6	1.9 4/4
R. Street n 8	47.5	0.7 3/0
B. House n 8	81.5	2.8 6/5
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Lincoln Attacking

Lincoln — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Draper	15	64956 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	191.8 /90	70.7 /90	111 /90	30.3 /90
R. Street	15	50751 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	141.7 /90	40.5 /90	81 /90	10.1 /90
B. House	14	751055 min	30.3 /90	20.2 /90	191.6 /90	100.9 /90	70.6 /90	50.4 /90
C. Ogbene	8	44351 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.3 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	51.3 /90
M. Ladefoged	6	51303 min	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	123.6 /90	41.2 /90	72.1 /90	00 /90
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Lincoln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Elerewe n 8	87.9	0.9 7/0	0.3 2/0
G. Wickens n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
F. Draper n 8	63.6	2.1 7/3	0.7 3/1
R. Hackett n 8	65.6	1.5 4/2	0.7 2/1
R. Street n 8	47.5	1.4 4/1	0.5 2/0
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Lincoln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lincoln before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Elerewe n 8	87.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Wickens n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Draper n 8	63.6	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
R. Hackett n 8	65.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
R. Street n 8	47.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind QPR v Lincoln — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

QPRWLWLD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

LincolnLDWLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

QPR#11 pos21 pts14 pl+5 GD

Lincoln#19 pos15 pts14 pl-10 GD

Goals per game

QPR scored1.57

Lincoln scored1

QPR conceded1.21

Lincoln conceded1.71

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win QPR v Lincoln?: TACTIX’s free model pick for QPR v Lincoln is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.82 at Betano).
What is the recent form of QPR and Lincoln?: Recent form — QPR 2W 1D 2L; Lincoln 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 22:48 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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