QPR v Watford result
Team pages: QPR · Watford · Head-to-head
QPR 3–1 Watford — QPR won this Championship match.
The result
QPR beat Watford 3–1 at MATRADE Loftus Road in the Championship on Wednesday 1 January. It is QPR’s first win over Watford since 11 March 2023, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).
The goals
QPR led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — QPR: M. Frey (5’, assisted by Kieran Morgan), James Dunne (37’, assisted by Ilias Chair) and Samuel Field (56’, assisted by Paul Smyth); Watford: Kwadwo Baah (55’, assisted by Giorgi Chakvetadze).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: QPR 1.28, Watford 0.67, from 9 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
S. Martin showed eight yellow cards — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — QPR: M. Frey (31’), Morgan Fox (47’), Samuel Field (83’) and Paul Smyth (86’); Watford: Daniel Bachmann (38’), Edouard Kayembe (70’), Giorgi Chakvetadze (82’) and F. Ebosele (89’).
What it changes
QPR have scored 53 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). QPR have conceded 63 goals, the eighth-most of the 24 clubs.
Watford have scored 53 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Watford have conceded 61 goals, the 10th-most of the 24 clubs.
Watford have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Samuel Field (QPR) 7.0, Paul Smyth (QPR) 6.1 and James Dunne (QPR) 6.0 led the match.
Head-to-head
Watford are unbeaten in the last three meetings with QPR.
Next up
QPR next travel to Millwall on 21 November 2026.
Watford next travel to Sheffield Utd on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for QPR: Millwall v QPR, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Watford: Sheffield Utd v Watford, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: QPR 3–1 Watford · Championship
- Venue: MATRADE Loftus Road · London
- Referee: S. Martin
- Head-to-head (last 6): QPR 3 · draws 1 · Watford 2 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: QPR 2W 2D 1L · Watford 2W 1D 2L
QPR 3–1 Watford (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 December 2024. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | QPR for / against | Line | Watford for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.43 for · 6.14 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 9.57 for · 13.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.63 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.43 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.71 for · 14 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.29 for · 1.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: S. Martin — 5.2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.9 fouls over 10 matches.
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QPR
QPR Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Smyth n 8 | 78.1 | 1.4 | 3.3 | G. Chakvetadze |
| J. Dunne n 8 | 90 | 1.6 | 0.4 | M. Pollock |
| S. Field n 8 | 84.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 | — |
| P. Nardi n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| S. Cook n 8 | 81.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Smyth n 8 | 78.1 | 1.3 |
| J. Dunne n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
| S. Field n 8 | 84.4 | 2 |
| P. Nardi n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| S. Cook n 8 | 81.8 | 0.8 |
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QPR Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Smyth n 8 | 78.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| J. Dunne n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| S. Field n 8 | 84.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| P. Nardi n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Cook n 8 | 81.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Smyth n 8 | 78.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| J. Dunne n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| S. Field n 8 | 84.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| P. Nardi n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Cook n 8 | 81.8 | 0 | 0 |
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Watford
Watford Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pollock n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.8 | J. Dunne |
| G. Chakvetadze n 8 | 85.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 | P. Smyth |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 61.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | — |
| V. Bayo n 8 | 82.3 | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| K. Baah n 8 | 66 | 2.2 | 2 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Pollock n 8 | 90 | 0.8 |
| G. Chakvetadze n 8 | 85.8 | 0.8 |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 61.4 | 0.5 |
| V. Bayo n 8 | 82.3 | 0.3 |
| K. Baah n 8 | 66 | 1.4 |
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Watford Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pollock n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| G. Chakvetadze n 8 | 85.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 61.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| V. Bayo n 8 | 82.3 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| K. Baah n 8 | 66 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pollock n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| G. Chakvetadze n 8 | 85.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 61.4 | 0.2 | 0 |
| V. Bayo n 8 | 82.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| K. Baah n 8 | 66 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| QPR | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| 45% | Possession | 55% |
| 1.28 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.67 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 2 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 7 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 293 | Passes | 354 |
| 77% | Pass accuracy | 79% |
QPR Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Nardi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| H. Ashby | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Dunne | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| K. Paal | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Varane | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.6 |
| P. Smyth | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Y | 8 |
| S. Field | 89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | Y | 7.2 |
| Kieran Morgan | 77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| I. Chair | 77 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| M. Frey | 63 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Y | 7.5 |
| M. Fox | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| J. Clarke-Salter sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Rayan Jawad Kolli sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| N. Madsen sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Saito sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Colback sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Watford Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bachmann | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| R. Porteous | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| F. Sierralta | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Pollock | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Ngakia | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| K. Baah | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| G. Chakvetadze | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | Y | 7.9 |
| V. Bayo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.2 |
| M. Sissoko | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| T. Ince | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Y. Larouci | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| F. Ebosele sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| E. Kayembe sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Y | 6.6 |
| Rocco Vata sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind QPR v Watford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-11-30 Watford 0–0 QPR
- 2024-01-14 QPR 1–2 Watford
- 2023-08-05 Watford 4–0 QPR
- 2023-03-11 QPR 1–0 Watford
- 2022-08-27 Watford 2–3 QPR
- 2021-02-01 Watford 1–2 QPR
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between QPR and Watford?
- In their last 6 meetings, QPR won 3, Watford won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of QPR and Watford?
- Recent form — QPR 2W 2D 1L; Watford 2W 1D 2L.
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