Southampton v Watford prediction
Team pages: Southampton · Watford · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Southampton v Watford, Championship on Sat, 06 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Southampton host Watford in the Championship on Saturday 6 March (kick-off 15:00 UK).
Form and the table
Eight of Southampton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Southampton’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Southampton have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.38 and conceding 1.13. Southampton have scored 21 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Southampton have conceded 10 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Eight of Watford’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Watford’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Watford have no wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.17 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 2.50. Watford have scored 10 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Watford have conceded 19 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Southampton are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Southampton have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. Southampton (eighth) and Watford (20th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Southampton the stronger side, 436 rating points above Watford (Southampton 1717, Watford 1281, after at least 108 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished Watford 2–1 Southampton.
Team news
Predicted Southampton XI (4-2-3-1): D. Peretz, K. Schlotterbeck, J. Bree, R. Manning, N. Wood, J. Ward-Prowse, F. Azaz, F. Downes, L. Scienza, K. Matsuki, C. Larin — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Finn Azaz (4.1 per match over 13 appearances, three goals and six assists) and Keven Schlotterbeck (4.0 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Southampton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Southampton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Finn Azaz averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1204 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Keven Schlotterbeck averages 1.1 tackles per 90 over 897 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Watford XI (4-2-3-1): F. Ravaglia, M. Pollock, K. Keben, S. Coulibaly, J. Zemura, H. Kyprianou, E. Kayembe, I. Bravo, O. Maamma, M. Payero, M. Doumbia — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Hector Kyprianou (3.5 per match over 13 appearances, one goal) and Marc Bola (3.4 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Watford’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Watford (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Hector Kyprianou averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 1411 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Championship
- Head-to-head (last 6): Southampton 3 · draws 2 · Watford 1 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Southampton 3W 1D 1L · Watford 1W 0D 4L
Southampton v Watford (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Southampton for / against | Line | Watford for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.38 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.75 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.88 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.63 for · 16.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.25 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.63 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.38 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Southampton
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyle Larin n 8 | 60.3 | 2.6 | 1.1 | — |
| Caspar Jander n 8 | 73 | 2.3 | 1.1 | — |
| Z. Abbott n 8 | 71.3 | 2.1 | 0.2 | — |
| D. Mubama n 8 | 24.8 | 1.8 | 2.7 | — |
| K. Matsuki n 8 | 62 | 1.5 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mubama n 8 | 24.8 | 3.6 | 0.5 |
| Cyle Larin n 8 | 60.3 | 3.2 | 1.1 |
| Samuel Edozie n 8 | 27.5 | 2 | 1.6 |
| Leo Scienza n 8 | 70.1 | 1.8 | 1 |
| K. Matsuki n 8 | 62 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cyle Larin n 8 | 60.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Finn Azaz n 8 | 89.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| K. Matsuki n 8 | 62 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Leo Scienza n 8 | 70.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| D. Mubama n 8 | 24.8 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Caspar Jander n 8 | 73 | 5.2 |
| F. Downes n 8 | 70.3 | 2.7 |
| Welington n 8 | 55.9 | 2.2 |
| Nathan Wood n 8 | 80 | 1.5 |
| K. Matsuki n 8 | 62 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Peretz n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
Watford
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Doumbia n 8 | 57.9 | 2.3 | 0 | — |
| M. Payero n 8 | 47 | 1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| Rocco Vata n 8 | 28 | 1.6 | 0.4 | — |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 84.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | — |
| E. Bove n 8 | 59.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payero n 8 | 47 | 3.1 | 0.7 |
| M. Boadu n 8 | 27 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| M. Doumbia n 8 | 57.9 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Rocco Vata n 8 | 28 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 84.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amin Nabizada n 8 | 45.1 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Rocco Vata n 8 | 28 | 0 | 0.4 |
| M. Boadu n 8 | 27 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Iker Bravo n 8 | 65.1 | 0 | 0.3 |
| E. Kayembe n 8 | 84.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Bove n 8 | 59.1 | 2.7 |
| Albert Eames n 5 | 44.8 | 2.4 |
| K. Diatta n 8 | 82.6 | 2.3 |
| O. Maamma n 8 | 57.5 | 2.3 |
| M. Payero n 8 | 47 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Ravaglia n 8 | 90 | 4.6 |
The day’s free picks, by email
Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Southampton v Watford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-08-16 Watford 2–1 Southampton
- 2026-02-07 Southampton 1–0 Watford
- 2025-08-30 Watford 2–2 Southampton
- 2024-04-13 Southampton 3–2 Watford
- 2024-02-06 Southampton 3–0 Watford
- 2024-01-28 Watford 1–1 Southampton
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Southampton and Watford?
- In their last 6 meetings, Southampton won 3, Watford won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Southampton and Watford?
- Recent form — Southampton 3W 1D 1L; Watford 1W 0D 4L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.