Stoke City v Birmingham prediction

Championship · · Bet365 Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Stoke City · Birmingham · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Stoke City v Birmingham, Championship on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Stoke City host Birmingham in the Championship on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Stoke City have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions. Birmingham have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. Birmingham are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Stoke City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Stoke City’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Stoke City have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.25. Stoke City have scored 18 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Stoke City have conceded 16 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

10 of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Birmingham’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Birmingham have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 0.71. Birmingham have scored 20 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Birmingham have conceded 11 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. Stoke City (sixth) and Birmingham (fourth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Birmingham the stronger side, 146 rating points above Stoke City (Birmingham 1674, Stoke City 1528, after at least 379 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 January 2026, finished Birmingham 1–1 Stoke City.

Team news

Predicted Stoke City XI (3-4-3): V. Johansson, L. Graham, B. Wilmot, M. Talovierov, E. Galbraith, E. Soumaré, B. Johnson, E. Bocat, L. Cissé, J. McGlynn, G. Hirst — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ethan Galbraith (4.0 per match over 13 appearances, three goals and three assists) and Eric-Junior Bocat (3.6 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Stoke City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Stoke City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ethan Galbraith averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1467 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Eric-Junior Bocat averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 936 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Birmingham XI (4-2-3-1): J. Beadle, P. Neumann, C. Klarer, B. Osayi-Samuel, A. Cochrane, T. Iwata, J. Stansfield, L. Millar, C. Vicente, J. Solis, A. Priske — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Liam Millar (5.9 per match over seven appearances, four goals and three assists) and Phil Neumann (4.2 per match over 13 appearances, two goals) have been Birmingham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Birmingham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liam Millar averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1001 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Phil Neumann averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 1101 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship · Bet365 Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Stoke City 2 · draws 2 · Birmingham 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Stoke City 4W 0D 1L · Birmingham 4W 1D 0L

Stoke City v Birmingham (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 2
Goals
against 0.88 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 5.25
Corners
against 5 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameStoke City for / againstLineBirmingham for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 17 against n 8
19.5standard
15.5 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 9.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
Stoke City
Stoke City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Boženík n 836.3
4.76/4
1.63/2
—
S. Gallagher n 852.8
2.86/5
0.63/0
—
B. Lawal n 749.1
2.15/2
0.52/0
—
Luca Bombino n 840.3
25/2
2.85/3
—
George Hirst n 839.4
26/1
0.31/0
—
Stoke City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Boženík n 836.3
2.55/3
0.62/0
S. Gallagher n 852.8
1.95/2
1.13/1
L. Cissé n 860.5
1.75/2
0.42/0
George Hirst n 839.4
1.74/2
0.92/1
J. McGlynn n 865.6
1.26/1
0.74/0
Stoke City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Gallagher n 852.8
0.42/0
0.21/0
George Hirst n 839.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
R. Boženík n 836.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
E. Bocat n 872.3
0.21/0
0.31/1
J. McGlynn n 865.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
Stoke City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Luca Bombino n 840.3
8.77/7
B. Pearson n 841.5
3.36/3
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 881
2.98/6
S. Gallagher n 852.8
2.16/2
Luke Graham n 880
1.76/4
Stoke City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Johansson n 890
3.46/5
Birmingham
Birmingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Laird n 816.5
2.73/1
22/1
—
L. Vázquez n 824
2.35/0
1.92/2
—
C. Klarer n 890
28/4
0.11/0
—
A. Priske n 881.1
1.76/4
16/1
—
J. Stansfield n 886.1
1.65/3
0.11/0
—
Birmingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Gray n 830.8
2.95/1
2.25/1
A. Priske n 881.1
2.57/5
1.26/2
L. Millar n 871.1
1.76/3
1.13/2
J. Stansfield n 886.1
1.66/5
15/3
Carlos Vicente n 862
1.65/2
0.73/1
Birmingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Gray n 830.8
1.54/0
00/0
L. Millar n 871.1
0.63/1
0.52/1
A. Priske n 881.1
0.63/1
0.11/0
P. Roberts n 849
00/0
0.73/0
L. Vázquez n 824
00/0
0.51/0
Birmingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Laird n 816.5
2.73/1
Carlos Vicente n 862
2.46/5
J. Solis n 856.1
2.27/4
B. Osayi-Samuel n 886.5
2.16/4
T. Gardner-Hickman n 852.9
1.96/3
Birmingham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Beadle n 890
2.56/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Stoke City v Birmingham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Stoke CityWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BirminghamWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Stoke City 2 · 2 draws · Birmingham 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-01-24 Birmingham 1–1 Stoke City
  • 2025-09-13 Stoke City 1–0 Birmingham
  • 2024-01-20 Stoke City 1–2 Birmingham
  • 2023-12-26 Birmingham 1–3 Stoke City
  • 2023-04-10 Birmingham 0–0 Stoke City
  • 2022-11-05 Stoke City 1–2 Birmingham
League standing · 2026/27
Stoke City#6 pos19 pts11 pl+2 GD
Birmingham#4 pos20 pts11 pl+9 GD
Goals per game
Stoke City scored1.64
Birmingham scored1.82
Stoke City conceded1.45
Birmingham conceded1

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Stoke City and Birmingham?
In their last 6 meetings, Stoke City won 2, Birmingham won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stoke City and Birmingham?
Recent form — Stoke City 4W 0D 1L; Birmingham 4W 1D 0L.

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