Stoke City v Millwall prediction

Championship · Wed, 25 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · Bet365 Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Stoke City · Millwall · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Stoke City v Millwall, Championship on Wed, 25 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Stoke City host Millwall in the Championship on Wednesday 25 November (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

Stoke City are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Millwall are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Stoke City, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Nine of Stoke City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Stoke City’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Stoke City have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.71. Stoke City have scored 24 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Stoke City have conceded 18 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

11 of Millwall’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in seven of Millwall’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Millwall have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 2.25. Millwall have scored 23 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Millwall have conceded 27 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Stoke City (third) and Millwall (16th) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Stoke City the stronger side, 190 rating points above Millwall (Stoke City 1616, Millwall 1426, after at least 383 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Stoke City 1–3 Millwall.

Team news

Predicted Stoke City XI (3-4-3): V. Johansson, B. Wilmot, L. Graham, B. Lawal, B. Johnson, E. Soumaré, E. Galbraith, L. Bombino, J. McGlynn, J. Devenny, R. Boženík — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ethan Galbraith (4.2 per match over 16 appearances, three goals and four assists) and Jack McGlynn (3.9 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and two assists) have been Stoke City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Stoke City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ethan Galbraith averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1737 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Jack McGlynn averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 2187 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Millwall XI (4-2-3-1): M. Crocombe, J. Cooper, C. Taylor, Z. Sturge, J. Osei-Tutu, C. Neghli, D. Mazou-Sacko, J. Metcalfe, K. Lisbie, L. Cundle, L. Dykes — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Caleb Taylor (4.6 per match over 17 appearances, two goals and two assists) and Jenson Metcalfe (3.8 per match over 17 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Millwall’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Millwall (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Caleb Taylor averages 1.2 tackles per 90 over 1535 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Jenson Metcalfe averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1312 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Wed, 25 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · Championship · Bet365 Stadium
Head-to-head (last 6): Stoke City 0 · draws 2 · Millwall 4 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Stoke City 4W 1D 0L · Millwall 1W 1D 3L

Stoke City v Millwall (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.25

Goals

against 0.88 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 5.88

Corners

against 5.75 / 5.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 3.25 / 4.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 2.5

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Stoke City for / against	Line	Millwall for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.63 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.63 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.25 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

Stoke City

Stoke City Goalkeeper

Stoke City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
V. Johansson	16	901447 min	472.9 /90	161 /90	00 /90

Stoke City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
V. Johansson n 8	90	2.5 6/3

Stoke City Defensive

Stoke City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. Wilmot	16	881402 min	161 /90	251.6 /90	140.9 /90	613.9 /90	171.1 /90	10.1 /90
Luke Graham	14	911267 min	251.8 /90	181.3 /90	100.7 /90	906.4 /90	151.1 /90	30.2 /90
B. Lawal	8	74593 min	81.2 /90	30.5 /90	00 /90	263.9 /90	101.5 /90	20.3 /90
Bosun Lawal	8	68547 min	71.2 /90	40.7 /90	91.5 /90	264.3 /90	91.5 /90	30.5 /90
M. Talovierov	8	57454 min	40.8 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90	234.6 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90
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Stoke City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
V. Johansson n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
B. Wilmot n 8	90	1 6/2	0.6 3/1	—
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	75	1.7 6/4	1.7 6/4	—
E. Galbraith n 8	90	0.6 5/0	1.1 5/4	—
Luke Graham n 8	90	1.3 6/3	1.5 5/4	—
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Stoke City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Wilmot n 8	90	0.9 5/1
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	75	2.4 6/5
E. Galbraith n 8	90	1.5 7/2
Luke Graham n 8	90	1.8 6/4
Ben Johnson n 8	90	1.3 5/2
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Stoke City Attacking

Stoke City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
George Hirst	13	44570 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	81.3 /90	30.5 /90	20.3 /90	30.5 /90
J. McGlynn	11	72796 min	50.6 /90	20.2 /90	121.4 /90	80.9 /90	131.5 /90	30.3 /90
R. Boženík	11	44485 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	142.6 /90	40.7 /90	71.3 /90	10.2 /90
J. Devenny	10	70700 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	101.3 /90	50.6 /90	111.4 /90	70.9 /90
L. Cissé	9	56505 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	101.8 /90	20.4 /90	71.2 /90	101.8 /90
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Stoke City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
V. Johansson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Wilmot n 8	90	1.1 5/4	0.5 4/0
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	75	0.9 5/1	0.2 1/0
E. Galbraith n 8	90	1.3 7/3	0.5 4/0
Luke Graham n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
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Stoke City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
V. Johansson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Wilmot n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	75	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Galbraith n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0
Luke Graham n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Millwall

Millwall Goalkeeper

Millwall — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
M. Crocombe	11	86945 min	282.7 /90	151.4 /90
F. Marschall	5	81405 min	112.4 /90	30.7 /90
L. Jensen	2	90180 min	21 /90	00 /90

Millwall — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Crocombe n 8	84.4	3.2 5/5
F. Marschall n 5	81	2.4 2/2

Millwall Defensive

Millwall — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Cooper	17	901522 min	150.9 /90	191.1 /90	140.8 /90	995.9 /90	191.1 /90	20.1 /90
C. Taylor	16	901440 min	171.1 /90	402.5 /90	120.8 /90	1016.3 /90	90.6 /90	00 /90
Zak Norton Sturge	16	801280 min	221.5 /90	191.3 /90	90.6 /90	694.9 /90	211.5 /90	40.3 /90
J. Osei-Tutu	10	71707 min	91.1 /90	70.9 /90	20.3 /90	344.3 /90	70.9 /90	10.1 /90
E. Baggott	6	53317 min	41.1 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90	185.1 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
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Millwall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Cooper n 8	90	1.8 6/5	0.8 4/2	—
C. Neghli n 8	87.9	1.2 5/3	0.4 3/0	—
C. Taylor n 8	90	0.6 3/1	0.5 3/1	—
Zak Norton Sturge n 8	82.9	1.4 6/4	1.4 5/5	—
Jenson Metcalfe n 8	81.1	1.4 6/2	1.9 7/5	—
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Millwall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Cooper n 8	90	1 4/2
C. Neghli n 8	87.9	1.5 7/4
C. Taylor n 8	90	1.1 6/3
Zak Norton Sturge n 8	82.9	1 4/2
Jenson Metcalfe n 8	81.1	3.5 8/7
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Millwall Attacking

Millwall — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Dykes	14	791106 min	40.3 /90	20.2 /90	242 /90	80.7 /90	151.2 /90	40.3 /90
T. Arconte	9	69619 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	111.6 /90	40.6 /90	50.7 /90	60.9 /90
J. Coburn	6	63377 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	92.1 /90	51.2 /90	71.7 /90	10.2 /90
Z. Lovelace	6	35212 min	00 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
Y. Issoufou	4	31123 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
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Millwall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Cooper n 8	90	1 5/3	0.5 4/0
C. Neghli n 8	87.9	1.4 7/3	0.4 2/1
C. Taylor n 8	90	1 6/2	0.4 3/0
Zak Norton Sturge n 8	82.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Jenson Metcalfe n 8	81.1	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
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Millwall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Cooper n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
C. Neghli n 8	87.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
C. Taylor n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Zak Norton Sturge n 8	82.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jenson Metcalfe n 8	81.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Stoke City v Millwall — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Stoke CityWDWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

MillwallDLWLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Stoke City 0 · 2 draws · Millwall 4 · 1.67 goals/game

2026-04-21 Stoke City 1–3 Millwall
2025-10-21 Millwall 2–0 Stoke City
2025-03-15 Millwall 1–0 Stoke City
2024-11-09 Stoke City 1–1 Millwall
2023-12-23 Stoke City 0–0 Millwall
2023-08-26 Millwall 1–0 Stoke City

League standing · 2026/27

Stoke City#3 pos29 pts15 pl+6 GD

Millwall#16 pos18 pts15 pl-4 GD

Goals per game

Stoke City scored1.6

Millwall scored1.53

Stoke City conceded1.2

Millwall conceded1.8

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Stoke City and Millwall?: In their last 6 meetings, Stoke City won 0, Millwall won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stoke City and Millwall?: Recent form — Stoke City 4W 1D 0L; Millwall 1W 1D 3L.

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