Swansea v Cardiff prediction

Championship · · Swansea.com Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Swansea v Cardiff, Championship on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Swansea host Cardiff in the Championship on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Swansea have conceded eight goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Both teams scored in 13 of Cardiff’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%).

Form and the table

Eight of Swansea’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Swansea’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Swansea have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 0.63. Swansea have scored 16 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

11 of Cardiff’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Away from home, Cardiff have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.29 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.29. Cardiff have scored 18 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Cardiff have conceded 17 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs.

Swansea (first) and Cardiff (19th) are 12 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Swansea the stronger side, 246 rating points above Cardiff (Swansea 1669, Cardiff 1423, after at least 335 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 January 2025, finished Cardiff 3–0 Swansea.

Team news

Predicted Swansea XI (4-3-3): L. Vigouroux, J. Tymon, S. Welsh, B. Cabango, F. Lissah, M. Stamenić, S. Eustaquio, J. Fulton, M. Yeo, A. Idah, Z. Vipotnik — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Moussa Yeo (4.7 per match over 12 appearances, three goals) and Filip Lissah (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, one assist) have been Swansea’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Swansea (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Moussa Yeo averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 830 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances. Filip Lissah averages 2.8 tackles per 90 over 848 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Cardiff XI (4-2-3-1): N. Trott, G. Osho, J. Bagan, P. Ng, K. Bielik, A. Robertson, O. Tanner, J. Moylan, C. Willock, J. Colwill, Y. Salech — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Moylan (5.0 per match over 13 appearances, seven goals and three assists) and Yousef Salech (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, five goals and two assists) have been Cardiff’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cardiff (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Moylan averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1355 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Yousef Salech averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 813 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship · Swansea.com Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Swansea 3 · draws 1 · Cardiff 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Swansea 4W 0D 1L · Cardiff 2W 1D 2L

Swansea v Cardiff (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.63
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 6.25
Corners
against 4.75 / 4.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSwansea for / againstLineCardiff for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 11.63 against n 8
19.5standard
16.88 for · 15.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.25 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Swansea
Swansea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Joseph Opoku n 853
3.87/4
0.84/0
—
Joseph Opoku n 853
3.87/4
0.84/0
—
S. Eustaquio n 864.3
1.65/1
0.73/1
—
Gonçalo Franco n 855.1
1.65/2
1.84/3
—
M. Widell n 853
1.35/1
1.33/3
—
Swansea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ross Stewart n 832.6
2.84/2
0.72/0
A. Idah n 861
2.46/4
1.14/1
Z. Vipotnik n 847.5
2.14/3
0.73/0
Ronald n 849.5
1.87/1
0.73/0
Joseph Opoku n 853
1.76/2
1.14/1
Swansea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Eom Ji-Sung n 842.5
0.52/0
0.52/0
A. Idah n 861
0.63/0
0.21/0
Ronald n 849.5
0.52/0
0.21/0
Ross Stewart n 832.6
0.72/0
00/0
M. Yeo n 871.9
0.53/0
00/0
Swansea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Yeo n 871.9
4.18/5
Gonçalo Franco n 855.1
3.96/4
F. Lissah n 879.8
37/4
J. Fulton n 853.3
2.55/4
M. Widell n 853
2.56/4
Swansea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Vigouroux n 883.5
3.88/7
Cardiff
Cardiff — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Colwill n 859.1
2.36/5
3.66/5
—
R. Colwill n 859.1
1.96/3
1.36/1
—
I. Davies n 818
1.92/1
0.61/0
—
P. Ng n 890
1.56/3
27/5
—
O. Tanner n 884.1
1.55/5
0.43/0
—
Cardiff — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Salech n 879.1
3.38/6
27/4
O. Tanner n 884.1
2.77/6
0.75/0
C. Robinson n 834
2.66/1
1.75/0
J. Moylan n 872.9
2.55/3
1.54/3
D. Turnbull n 838.1
2.15/2
0.62/0
Cardiff — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Moylan n 872.9
0.94/2
0.64/0
C. Robinson n 834
13/0
0.31/0
R. Colwill n 859.1
0.21/0
0.63/0
O. Tanner n 884.1
0.32/0
0.43/0
Y. Salech n 879.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
Cardiff — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Joel Bagan n 866.4
2.45/3
P. Ng n 890
28/4
D. Turnbull n 838.1
1.83/2
R. Kpakio n 847
1.73/3
C. Scanlon n 814.4
1.62/0
Cardiff — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Trott n 890
3.88/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Swansea v Cardiff — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SwanseaWWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
CardiffLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Swansea 3 · 1 draw · Cardiff 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-01-18 Cardiff 3–0 Swansea
  • 2024-08-25 Swansea 1–1 Cardiff
  • 2024-03-16 Swansea 2–0 Cardiff
  • 2023-09-16 Cardiff 2–0 Swansea
  • 2023-04-01 Cardiff 2–3 Swansea
  • 2022-10-23 Swansea 2–0 Cardiff
League standing · 2026/27
Swansea#1 pos23 pts11 pl+8 GD
Cardiff#19 pos11 pts11 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Swansea scored1.45
Cardiff scored1.64
Swansea conceded0.73
Cardiff conceded1.55

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Swansea and Cardiff?
In their last 6 meetings, Swansea won 3, Cardiff won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Swansea and Cardiff?
Recent form — Swansea 4W 0D 1L; Cardiff 2W 1D 2L.

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