Watford v Swansea prediction

Championship · · Vicarage Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Watford v Swansea, Championship on Wed, 21 Apr 2027 19:45 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Watford host Swansea in the Championship on Wednesday 21 April (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

Swansea have conceded eight goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

Eight of Watford’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Watford’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Watford have four wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.11 and conceding 2.00. Watford have scored 10 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Watford have conceded 19 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Eight of Swansea’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Swansea’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Swansea have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.00. Swansea have scored 16 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Watford (20th) and Swansea (first) are 12 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Swansea the stronger side, 388 rating points above Watford (Swansea 1669, Watford 1281, after at least 241 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Swansea are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Watford. The most recent meeting, on 1 September 2026, finished Swansea 2–0 Watford.

Team news

Predicted Watford XI (4-2-3-1): F. Ravaglia, M. Pollock, K. Keben, S. Coulibaly, J. Zemura, H. Kyprianou, E. Kayembe, I. Bravo, O. Maamma, M. Payero, M. Doumbia — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Hector Kyprianou (3.5 per match over 13 appearances, one goal) and Marc Bola (3.4 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Watford’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Watford (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Hector Kyprianou averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 1411 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Swansea XI (4-3-3): L. Vigouroux, J. Tymon, S. Welsh, B. Cabango, F. Lissah, M. Stamenić, S. Eustaquio, J. Fulton, M. Yeo, A. Idah, Z. Vipotnik — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Moussa Yeo (4.7 per match over 12 appearances, three goals) and Filip Lissah (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, one assist) have been Swansea’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Swansea (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Moussa Yeo averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 830 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances. Filip Lissah averages 2.8 tackles per 90 over 848 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship · Vicarage Road
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Watford 1 · draws 2 · Swansea 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Watford 1W 0D 4L · Swansea 4W 0D 1L

Watford v Swansea (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 2 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 3.38
Corners
against 4.38 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 6.5 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 1.25
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameWatford for / againstLineSwansea for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.38 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
12.63 for · 16.63 against n 8
19.5standard
11.75 for · 11.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 6.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.25 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Watford
Watford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Doumbia n 857.9
2.38/3
00/0
—
M. Payero n 847
1.75/2
1.74/2
—
Rocco Vata n 828
1.63/1
0.41/0
—
E. Kayembe n 884.4
1.56/5
1.16/2
—
E. Bove n 859.1
1.55/2
1.54/3
—
Watford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Payero n 847
3.16/3
0.73/0
M. Boadu n 827
2.54/1
0.82/0
M. Doumbia n 857.9
1.95/4
1.24/2
Rocco Vata n 828
1.63/1
0.82/0
E. Kayembe n 884.4
1.55/3
0.52/2
Watford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Amin Nabizada n 845.1
0.52/0
00/0
Rocco Vata n 828
00/0
0.41/0
M. Boadu n 827
0.41/0
00/0
Iker Bravo n 865.1
00/0
0.32/0
E. Kayembe n 884.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
Watford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Bove n 859.1
2.78/4
Albert Eames n 544.8
2.44/2
K. Diatta n 882.6
2.37/4
O. Maamma n 857.5
2.37/4
M. Payero n 847
2.27/2
Watford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Ravaglia n 890
4.68/8
Swansea
Swansea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Joseph Opoku n 853
3.87/4
0.84/0
—
Joseph Opoku n 853
3.87/4
0.84/0
—
S. Eustaquio n 864.3
1.65/1
0.73/1
—
Gonçalo Franco n 855.1
1.65/2
1.84/3
—
M. Widell n 853
1.35/1
1.33/3
—
Swansea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ross Stewart n 832.6
2.84/2
0.72/0
A. Idah n 861
2.46/4
1.14/1
Z. Vipotnik n 847.5
2.14/3
0.73/0
Ronald n 849.5
1.87/1
0.73/0
Joseph Opoku n 853
1.76/2
1.14/1
Swansea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Eom Ji-Sung n 842.5
0.52/0
0.52/0
A. Idah n 861
0.63/0
0.21/0
Ronald n 849.5
0.52/0
0.21/0
Ross Stewart n 832.6
0.72/0
00/0
M. Yeo n 871.9
0.53/0
00/0
Swansea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Yeo n 871.9
4.18/5
Gonçalo Franco n 855.1
3.96/4
F. Lissah n 879.8
37/4
J. Fulton n 853.3
2.55/4
M. Widell n 853
2.56/4
Swansea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Vigouroux n 883.5
3.88/7

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Watford v Swansea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WatfordLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
SwanseaWWWWL
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Watford 1 · 2 draws · Swansea 3 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2026-09-01 Swansea 2–0 Watford
  • 2026-01-31 Watford 0–2 Swansea
  • 2025-08-23 Swansea 1–1 Watford
  • 2025-03-12 Watford 1–0 Swansea
  • 2024-11-05 Swansea 1–0 Watford
  • 2024-03-06 Watford 1–1 Swansea
League standing · 2026/27
Watford#20 pos11 pts11 pl-9 GD
Swansea#1 pos23 pts11 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
Watford scored0.91
Swansea scored1.45
Watford conceded1.73
Swansea conceded0.73

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Watford and Swansea?
In their last 6 meetings, Watford won 1, Swansea won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Watford and Swansea?
Recent form — Watford 1W 0D 4L; Swansea 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →