West BromBurnley

West Brom v Burnley result

Full-time · West Brom 3–1 Burnley

Championship · · The Hawthorns

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: West Brom · Burnley · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

West Brom 3–1 Burnley — West Brom won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1731 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

West Brom beat Burnley 3–1 at The Hawthorns in the Championship on Sunday 23 August. Burnley are unbeaten in the last six meetings with West Brom, every meeting checked.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — West Brom: an own goal by Callum Styles (8’), Harry Whitwell (18’, assisted by J. Morgan) and Isaac Price (46’, 65’ pen).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: West Brom 1.63, Burnley 1.18, from 11 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Anthony Backhouse, England showed three yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — West Brom: George Campbell (33’); Burnley: Oliver Sonne (26’) and Marcus Edwards (70’).

What it changes

West Brom have won their last three matches in all competitions. Burnley are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Isaac Price (West Brom) 11.4, Harry Whitwell (West Brom) 7.6 and Jimmy Morgan (West Brom) 6.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, West Brom or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1325 of 1731).

Next up

West Brom next travel to Swansea on 21 November 2026.

Burnley next host Blackburn on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for West Brom: Swansea v West Brom, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Burnley: Burnley v Blackburn, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: West Brom 3–1 Burnley · Championship
  • Venue: The Hawthorns · West Bromwich
  • Referee: Anthony Backhouse, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): West Brom 0 · draws 5 · Burnley 1 · 1.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: West Brom 3W 1D 1L · Burnley 0W 4D 1L

West Brom 3–1 Burnley (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1
Goals
against 0.5 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 3.43
Corners
against 5 / 6.29 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.75 / 3.86
Shots on target
against 3 / 5.29 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.63 / 1.71
Cards
against 2 / 1.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4 yellows
Referee · Anthony Backhouse, England
20.1 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWest Brom for / againstLineBurnley for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5our book
1 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.43 for · 6.29 against n 7
Shots
12 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
10.86 for · 16.29 against n 7
Shots on target
4.75 for · 3 against n 8
8.5standard
3.86 for · 5.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
9.13 for · 12.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.86 for · 9.57 against n 7
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.71 for · 1.71 against n 7

Referee: Anthony Backhouse, England — 4 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.1 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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West Brom

West Brom Goalkeeper

West Brom — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. O’Leary292184 min83.9 /9021 /9000 /90
West Brom — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Brom before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. O’Leary n 890.5
2.65/5

West Brom Defensive

West Brom — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Campbell292184 min42 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9062.9 /9010.5 /9000 /90
N. Phillips292184 min42 /9021 /9062.9 /90125.9 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
N. Galves292183 min21 /9042 /9000 /9083.9 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Styles282163 min42.2 /9010.6 /9000 /90116.1 /9000 /9000 /90
I. Price292184 min52.4 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9094.4 /9010.5 /9000 /90
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West Brom — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Brom before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Phillips n 890.5
0.63/1
0.42/1
—
G. Campbell n 890.5
0.54/0
0.73/1
—
I. Price n 889.1
0.32/0
15/2
—
M. O’Leary n 890.5
00/0
0.42/1
—
O. Diakité n 890.3
1.16/3
1.26/3
—
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West Brom — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Brom before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Price n 889.1
2.16/5
N. Phillips n 890.5
1.27/2
G. Campbell n 890.5
14/3
O. Diakité n 890.3
26/5
C. Styles n 887.9
1.97/6
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West Brom Attacking

West Brom — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Heggebø282163 min10.6 /9000 /9042.2 /9010.6 /9000 /9021.1 /90
Jimmy Morgan277154 min31.8 /9010.6 /9063.5 /9052.9 /9042.3 /9021.2 /90
B. Stewart12121 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9014.3 /9000 /90
I. Price292184 min00 /9000 /9042 /9031.5 /9000 /9021 /90
O. Diakité292183 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9031.5 /90
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West Brom — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Brom before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Price n 889.1
1.47/2
0.84/2
N. Phillips n 890.5
0.62/2
0.11/0
G. Campbell n 890.5
0.22/0
00/0
M. O’Leary n 890.5
00/0
00/0
O. Diakité n 890.3
0.54/0
0.11/0
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West Brom — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Brom before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. O’Leary n 890.5
00/0
0.11/0
I. Price n 889.1
0.11/0
00/0
G. Campbell n 890.5
00/0
00/0
N. Phillips n 890.5
00/0
00/0
O. Diakité n 890.3
00/0
00/0
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Burnley

Burnley Goalkeeper

Burnley — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Weiß19090 min–22 /9000 /90

Burnley Defensive

Burnley — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Walker19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9033 /9011 /9000 /90
Max Alleyne19090 min00 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
O. Sonne19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
B. Humphreys17676 min11.2 /9000 /9011.2 /9044.7 /9011.2 /9000 /90
Marcus Edwards19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
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Burnley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Z. Flemming n 884.5
2.78/5
1.55/4
—
O. Sonne n 863.3
1.46/2
0.21/0
—
K. Walker n 889.6
0.86/0
0.84/2
—
Marcus Edwards n 856.9
0.42/0
26/3
—
M. Weiß n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
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Burnley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Walker n 889.6
1.97/5
O. Sonne n 863.3
1.85/3
Marcus Edwards n 856.9
13/1
Z. Flemming n 884.5
0.93/2
J. Bruun Larsen n 848.8
0.52/0
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Burnley Attacking

Burnley — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Z. Flemming19090 min22 /9000 /9099 /9044 /9011 /9011 /90
Zeki Amdouni13333 min00 /9000 /9012.7 /9000 /9000 /9012.7 /90
Marcus Edwards19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9044 /9011 /90
J. Bruun Larsen18282 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9033.3 /9011.1 /90
A. Ramsey17676 min00 /9000 /9033.6 /9011.2 /9000 /9011.2 /90
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Burnley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Z. Flemming n 884.5
2.56/4
1.25/2
Marcus Edwards n 856.9
14/1
0.42/0
O. Sonne n 863.3
0.74/0
0.21/0
M. Weiß n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Walker n 889.6
00/0
00/0
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Burnley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Z. Flemming n 884.5
0.74/1
00/0
O. Sonne n 863.3
0.21/0
00/0
Marcus Edwards n 856.9
00/0
0.21/0
M. Weiß n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Walker n 889.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
West BromBurnley
51%Possession49%
1.63Expected goals (xG)1.18
11Shots11
7Shots on target3
2Shots off target3
2Blocked shots5
8Shots inside the box6
3Corners5
8Offsides0
8Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves4
509Passes480
88%Pass accuracy85%

West Brom Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. O’Leary9000000007.9
N. Galves9000000406.9
N. Phillips9000000006.9
G. Campbell90001001Y6.9
C. Styles9000110006.2
O. Diakité9000210206.9
I. Price9020442008.6
Felix Horn Myhre9000001106.7
J. Molumby8900000007
Harry Whitwell8110112008.9
Jimmy Morgan7801001406.9
B. Stewart sub1200000006.6
R. Nzingoula sub900000006.3
C. Mepham sub10000000–

Burnley Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Weiß9000000107.9
K. Walker9000002206.7
Max Alleyne9000000106.2
Marcus Edwards90000031Y6.2
A. Ramsey9000100106.2
J. Bruun Larsen9000103106.7
B. Humphreys7800000105.2
J. Laurent5700000006.6
H. Mejbri5700000006
A. Broja5700110106.9
O. Sonne45001001Y6
Connor Roberts sub4500000106
U. Raghouber sub3300110106.9
Zeki Amdouni sub3300110006.3
D. Satpaev sub3300000106.6
Lucas Pires sub1200001006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind West Brom v Burnley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
West BromWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
BurnleyDLDDD
Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
West Brom 0 · 5 draws · Burnley 1 · 1.17 goals/game
  • 2025-03-11 Burnley 1–1 West Brom
  • 2024-11-07 West Brom 0–0 Burnley
  • 2023-01-20 Burnley 2–1 West Brom
  • 2022-09-02 West Brom 1–1 Burnley
  • 2021-02-20 Burnley 0–0 West Brom
  • 2020-10-19 West Brom 0–0 Burnley
League standing · 2026/27
West Brom#5 pos28 pts15 pl+8 GD
Burnley#22 pos10 pts15 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
West Brom scored1.53
Burnley scored1.47
West Brom conceded1
Burnley conceded2.07

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for West Brom v Burnley?
TACTIX’s free model pick for West Brom v Burnley was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between West Brom and Burnley?
In their last 6 meetings, West Brom won 0, Burnley won 1 and there were 5 draws, averaging 1.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of West Brom and Burnley?
Recent form — West Brom 3W 1D 1L; Burnley 0W 4D 1L.

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