Wolves v Derby prediction

Championship · Tue, 24 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · Molineux Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Wolves v Derby, Championship on Tue, 24 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Wolves host Derby in the Championship on Tuesday 24 November (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

Wolves have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Wolves are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Derby are winless in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Wolves’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Wolves’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Wolves have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.17 points per game, scoring 1.83 and conceding 0.83. Wolves have scored 25 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Wolves have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Derby have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.14. Derby have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games). Derby have conceded 29 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs.

Wolves (second) and Derby (23rd) are 20 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Wolves the stronger side, 377 rating points above Derby (Wolves 1634, Derby 1256, after at least 60 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 April 2018, finished Wolves 2–0 Derby.

Team news

Predicted Wolves XI (4-2-3-1): J. Sá, H. Bueno, L. Krejčí, K. Trippier, Y. Mosquera, André, M. Munetsi, F. López, J. Bellegarde, R. Saïd, A. Armstrong — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Fer López (5.0 per match over 15 appearances, seven goals and three assists) and André (4.0 per match over 15 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Wolves’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Wolves (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Fer López averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1104 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. André averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1280 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Derby XI (4-2-3-1): J. Widell Zetterström, R. Nyambe, D. Sanderson, R. Hedges, M. Johnston, B. Clark, S. Szmodics, D. Ozoh, A. Mowatt, R. Brewster, C. Morris — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Bobby Clark (4.0 per match over 15 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Carlton Morris (3.4 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Derby’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Derby (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bobby Clark averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1275 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Carlton Morris averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 948 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 24 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT · Championship · Molineux Stadium
Head-to-head (last 2): Wolves 2 · draws 0 · Derby 0 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Wolves 4W 1D 0L · Derby 0W 1D 4L

Wolves v Derby (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 0.75

Goals

against 0.88 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

7.13 / 5.25

Corners

against 3.5 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 4 / 6.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.38 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Wolves for / against	Line	Derby for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.13 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.25 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16.88 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.38 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.75 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Wolves

Wolves Goalkeeper

Wolves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
José Sá	14	901260 min	362.6 /90	141 /90	00 /90
D. Bentley	2	90180 min	63 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
João Virgínia	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Wolves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
José Sá n 8	90	2.9 5/4
D. Bentley n 8	90	2.6 6/5

Wolves Defensive

Wolves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Hugo Bueno	14	841172 min	231.8 /90	141.1 /90	30.2 /90	564.3 /90	80.6 /90	10.1 /90
N. Djiga	13	801034 min	90.8 /90	151.3 /90	80.7 /90	433.7 /90	30.3 /90	10.1 /90
Toti Gomes	10	81811 min	30.3 /90	101.1 /90	00 /90	343.8 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90
K. Trippier	10	73733 min	182.2 /90	81 /90	20.2 /90	354.3 /90	81 /90	30.4 /90
J. Tchatchoua	9	79707 min	121.5 /90	70.9 /90	20.3 /90	283.6 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
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Wolves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Mane n 8	45.3	2 5/3	2.5 5/3	—
André n 8	86.5	1.2 6/1	0.4 2/1	—
A. Armstrong n 8	81.1	1.2 7/2	0.1 1/0	—
M. Munetsi n 8	71.5	1.9 7/2	0.5 2/1	—
José Sá n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
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Wolves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Mane n 8	45.3	2.2 5/2
André n 8	86.5	3.1 8/6
A. Armstrong n 8	81.1	0.7 3/1
M. Munetsi n 8	71.5	2.2 7/5
Hugo Bueno n 8	88.6	2 7/5
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Wolves Attacking

Wolves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Mane	16	56903 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	181.8 /90	60.6 /90	252.5 /90	202 /90
A. Armstrong	15	721076 min	40.3 /90	00 /90	211.8 /90	110.9 /90	80.7 /90	50.4 /90
R. Jiménez	9	48435 min	30.6 /90	10.2 /90	163.3 /90	51 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90
S. Neave	4	56224 min	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	52 /90	20.8 /90	41.6 /90	20.8 /90
T. Chirewa	4	50199 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	52.3 /90	31.4 /90	10.5 /90	52.3 /90
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Wolves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Mane n 8	45.3	1.7 5/1	0.5 2/0
André n 8	86.5	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
A. Armstrong n 8	81.1	1.9 6/4	1.1 6/1
M. Munetsi n 8	71.5	1.7 6/2	0.6 3/1
José Sá n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Wolves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Mane n 8	45.3	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
André n 8	86.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Armstrong n 8	81.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Munetsi n 8	71.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
José Sá n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Derby

Derby Goalkeeper

Derby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Widell Zetterström	11	90995 min	494.4 /90	161.4 /90	00 /90
J. Vickers	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	71.8 /90	00 /90

Derby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	5.1 7/7
J. Vickers n 8	89.5	2 6/3

Derby Defensive

Derby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Sanderson	13	821061 min	131.1 /90	131.1 /90	110.9 /90	554.7 /90	121 /90	40.3 /90
S. Langås	10	91905 min	171.7 /90	60.6 /90	50.5 /90	414.1 /90	70.7 /90	40.4 /90
J. Ward	10	80800 min	161.8 /90	171.9 /90	20.2 /90	353.9 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90
C. Taylor	9	86774 min	161.9 /90	80.9 /90	80.9 /90	354.1 /90	101.2 /90	10.1 /90
M. Johnston	8	50396 min	81.8 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	92 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90
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Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Clark n 8	88.9	0.6 4/1	1.3 6/2	—
S. Szmodics n 8	78	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0	—
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0	—
R. Hedges n 8	72.4	0.6 4/0	1.2 4/3	—
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
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Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	2 6/4
S. Szmodics n 8	78	1.6 6/2
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	1.2 5/3
R. Hedges n 8	72.4	2.5 7/5
C. Morris n 8	84.4	0.8 5/1
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Derby Attacking

Derby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Morris	11	86948 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	171.6 /90	60.6 /90	111 /90	50.5 /90
R. Brewster	10	39391 min	00 /90	00 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90	40.9 /90	20.5 /90
H. Meister	9	47426 min	00 /90	00 /90	102.1 /90	30.6 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90
L. Salvesen	7	33230 min	20.8 /90	00 /90	114.3 /90	52 /90	31.2 /90	20.8 /90
B. Clark	15	851275 min	30.2 /90	20.1 /90	201.4 /90	90.6 /90	231.6 /90	181.3 /90
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Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	1.5 7/3	0.9 5/2
S. Szmodics n 8	78	2 6/5	0.9 4/2
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
R. Hedges n 8	72.4	0.8 3/2	0.5 3/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Derby before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Clark n 8	88.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
S. Szmodics n 8	78	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
D. Sanderson n 8	81.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Hedges n 8	72.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Widell Zetterström n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Wolves v Derby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

WolvesWDWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

DerbyLLDLL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Wolves 2 · 0 draws · Derby 0 · 2 goals/game

2018-04-11 Wolves 2–0 Derby
2017-08-12 Derby 0–2 Wolves

League standing · 2026/27

Wolves#2 pos27 pts14 pl+8 GD

Derby#23 pos7 pts14 pl-18 GD

Goals per game

Wolves scored1.79

Derby scored0.79

Wolves conceded1.21

Derby conceded2.07

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Wolves and Derby?: In their last 2 meetings, Wolves won 2, Derby won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wolves and Derby?: Recent form — Wolves 4W 1D 0L; Derby 0W 1D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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