Wrexham v Watford result
The model’s pre-match pick
Wrexham 1–1 Watford — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Wrexham and Watford drew 1–1 at Racecourse Ground in the Championship on Saturday 22 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Wrexham out-shot Watford 12 to 10 and created the better chances, 1.92 xG to 0.65 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Watford: Luca Kjerrumgaard (14’, assisted by Omar Traoré); Wrexham: Daniel Edward Peter Imray (22’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Daniel Edward Peter Imray’s goal on 22 minutes.
Discipline
John Busby, England showed two yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Wrexham: Nathan Broadhead (20’) and Benjamin Whiteman (72’).
What it changes
Wrexham move down from 13th to 14th (shared) (two league matches played).
Watford move down from third to sixth (two league matches played).
Wrexham are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Watford are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Daniel Edward Peter Imray (Wrexham) 6.6, K. Keben (Watford) 5.5 and L. O'Brien (Wrexham) 5.4 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Wrexham or Watford (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).
Next up
Wrexham next travel to Lincoln on 21 November 2026.
Watford next travel to Sheffield Utd on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Wrexham: Lincoln v Wrexham, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Watford: Sheffield Utd v Watford, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Wrexham 1–1 Watford · Championship
- Venue: Racecourse Ground · Wrexham
- Referee: John Busby, England
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Wrexham 0 · draws 1 · Watford 1 · 4 goals/game
- Recent form: Wrexham 1W 2D 2L · Watford 2W 0D 3L
Wrexham 1–1 Watford (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Wrexham for / against | Line | Watford for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 0.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.38 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.5 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.13 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 17.75 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.75 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.5 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.38 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.63 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: John Busby, England — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 21.5 fouls over 10 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
Wrexham
Wrexham Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Patterson | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| D. Ward | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Ward n 8 | 89.9 | 2.5 |
Wrexham Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Doyle | 2 | 90180 min | 52.5 /90 | 31.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 84 /90 | 31.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 |
| D. Hyam | 2 | 90180 min | 42 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 115.5 /90 | 42 /90 | 21 /90 |
| G. Thomason | 2 | 90180 min | 31.5 /90 | 21 /90 | 00 /90 | 73.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Z. Vyner | 2 | 90180 min | 21 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 52.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Daniel Edward Peter Imray | 2 | 70140 min | 10.6 /90 | 21.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 74.5 /90 | 21.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+ | ||||||||
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hyam n 8 | 90 | 1.6 | 0.9 | K. Keben |
| C. Doyle n 8 | 90 | 1.5 | 0.8 | M. Pollock |
| L. O'Brien n 8 | 64.6 | 1.2 | 1.9 | Hector Kyprianou |
| G. Thomason n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.5 | E. Bove |
| Z. Vyner n 7 | 80.3 | 0.3 | 0 | K. Keben |
| See more players · Pro | ||||
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. O'Brien n 8 | 64.6 | 2.6 |
| G. Thomason n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
| C. Doyle n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
| Z. Vyner n 7 | 80.3 | 1.4 |
| D. Hyam n 8 | 90 | 1.3 |
| See more players · Pro | ||
Wrexham Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Moore | 2 | 4590 min | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 33 /90 | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 |
| S. Smith | 2 | 4590 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 55 /90 | 33 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| B. Cadamarteri | 1 | 1818 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 15 /90 |
| D. Keillor-Dunn | 1 | 1818 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 15 /90 | 00 /90 |
| L. O'Brien | 2 | 90180 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 21 /90 | 00 /90 |
| See more players · Pro | ||||||||
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Doyle n 8 | 90 | 1 | 0.6 |
| D. Hyam n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| G. Thomason n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Z. Vyner n 7 | 80.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| L. O'Brien n 8 | 64.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. O'Brien n 8 | 64.6 | 0 | 0.3 |
| G. Thomason n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| D. Hyam n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Doyle n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Z. Vyner n 7 | 80.3 | 0 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
Watford
Watford Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ravaglia | 2 | 96192 min | 52.3 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
Watford Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Keben | 2 | 96192 min | 41.9 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 83.8 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Pollock | 2 | 96192 min | 31.4 /90 | 20.9 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 94.2 /90 | 31.4 /90 | 10.5 /90 |
| O. Traoré | 2 | 96192 min | 20.9 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 52.3 /90 | 31.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Bola | 2 | 63126 min | 32.1 /90 | 21.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 85.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Zemura | 1 | 6666 min | 11.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 45.5 /90 | 22.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| See more players · Pro | ||||||||
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pollock n 8 | 91.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | C. Doyle |
| Hector Kyprianou n 8 | 90.3 | 0.7 | 1.2 | L. O'Brien |
| K. Keben n 8 | 78.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | Z. Vyner |
| O. Maamma n 8 | 57.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | — |
| E. Bove n 8 | 42.5 | 2.4 | 1.6 | G. Thomason |
| See more players · Pro | ||||
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Keben n 8 | 78.3 | 1.7 |
| Hector Kyprianou n 8 | 90.3 | 1.5 |
| M. Pollock n 8 | 91.5 | 1.1 |
| O. Maamma n 8 | 57.1 | 1.4 |
| E. Bove n 8 | 42.5 | 3.2 |
| See more players · Pro | ||
Watford Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Doumbia | 2 | 62124 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.5 /90 | 10.7 /90 | 21.5 /90 | 21.5 /90 |
| L. Kjerrumgaard | 1 | 6868 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 45.3 /90 | 11.3 /90 | 22.6 /90 | 11.3 /90 |
| M. Adu-Poku | 1 | 2929 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 13.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Rocco Vata | 1 | 2525 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 27.2 /90 | 13.6 /90 | 13.6 /90 | 13.6 /90 |
| Hector Kyprianou | 2 | 96192 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 31.4 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 41.9 /90 | 20.9 /90 |
| See more players · Pro | ||||||||
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pollock n 8 | 91.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Hector Kyprianou n 8 | 90.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| K. Keben n 8 | 78.3 | 0 | 0 |
| O. Maamma n 8 | 57.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| E. Bove n 8 | 42.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Keben n 8 | 78.3 | 0 | 0.1 |
| M. Pollock n 8 | 91.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Hector Kyprianou n 8 | 90.3 | 0 | 0 |
| O. Maamma n 8 | 57.1 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Bove n 8 | 42.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Wrexham | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| 59% | Possession | 41% |
| 1.92 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.65 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 5 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 477 | Passes | 341 |
| 82% | Pass accuracy | 72% |
Wrexham Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Patterson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Z. Vyner | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| D. Hyam | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Doyle | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| B. Whiteman | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.6 |
| L. O'Brien | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| G. Thomason | 89 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Daniel Edward Peter Imray | 78 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| N. Broadhead | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 7.3 |
| O. Rathbone | 69 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| K. Moore | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Smith sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| B. Cadamarteri sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| R. Longman sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| M. James sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| M. Cleworth sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Watford Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ravaglia | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Pollock | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| K. Keben | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| J. Zemura | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Hector Kyprianou | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Iker Bravo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| E. Bove | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| Amin Nabizada | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| L. Kjerrumgaard | 67 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| O. Maamma | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| O. Traoré | 44 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Albert Eames sub | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Payero sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| E. Kayembe sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Doumbia sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Rocco Vata sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Wrexham v Watford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-17 Watford 3–1 Wrexham
- 2025-12-13 Wrexham 2–2 Watford
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Wrexham v Watford?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Wrexham v Watford was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Wrexham and Watford?
- In their last 2 meetings, Wrexham won 0, Watford won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Wrexham and Watford?
- Recent form — Wrexham 1W 2D 2L; Watford 2W 0D 3L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.