WrexhamWatford

Wrexham v Watford result

Full-time · Wrexham 1–1 Watford

Championship · · Racecourse Ground

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Wrexham 1–1 Watford — this Championship match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Wrexham and Watford drew 1–1 at Racecourse Ground in the Championship on Saturday 22 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Wrexham out-shot Watford 12 to 10 and created the better chances, 1.92 xG to 0.65 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Watford: Luca Kjerrumgaard (14’, assisted by Omar Traoré); Wrexham: Daniel Edward Peter Imray (22’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Daniel Edward Peter Imray’s goal on 22 minutes.

Discipline

John Busby, England showed two yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Wrexham: Nathan Broadhead (20’) and Benjamin Whiteman (72’).

What it changes

Wrexham move down from 13th to 14th (shared) (two league matches played).

Watford move down from third to sixth (two league matches played).

Wrexham are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Watford are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Daniel Edward Peter Imray (Wrexham) 6.6, K. Keben (Watford) 5.5 and L. O'Brien (Wrexham) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Wrexham or Watford (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Wrexham next travel to Lincoln on 21 November 2026.

Watford next travel to Sheffield Utd on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wrexham: Lincoln v Wrexham, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Watford: Sheffield Utd v Watford, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Wrexham 1–1 Watford · Championship
  • Venue: Racecourse Ground · Wrexham
  • Referee: John Busby, England
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Wrexham 0 · draws 1 · Watford 1 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wrexham 1W 2D 2L · Watford 2W 0D 3L

Wrexham 1–1 Watford (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 6.5
Corners
against 6.13 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 5
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.63
Cards
against 1.38 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · John Busby, England
21.5 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWrexham for / againstLineWatford for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5our book
0.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 6.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
12.13 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
17.75 for · 14.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 8.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 9.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: John Busby, England — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 21.5 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Wrexham

Wrexham Goalkeeper

Wrexham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Patterson19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90
D. Ward19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /90
Wrexham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Ward n 889.9
2.57/3

Wrexham Defensive

Wrexham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Doyle290180 min52.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9084 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
D. Hyam290180 min42 /9010.5 /9000 /90115.5 /9042 /9021 /90
G. Thomason290180 min31.5 /9021 /9000 /9073.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Z. Vyner290180 min21 /9010.5 /9000 /9052.5 /9000 /9000 /90
Daniel Edward Peter Imray270140 min10.6 /9021.3 /9000 /9074.5 /9021.3 /9000 /90
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Wrexham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Hyam n 890
1.67/4
0.95/2
K. Keben
C. Doyle n 890
1.58/3
0.82/2
M. Pollock
L. O'Brien n 864.6
1.24/2
1.97/4
Hector Kyprianou
G. Thomason n 890
1.16/3
0.54/0
E. Bove
Z. Vyner n 780.3
0.32/0
00/0
K. Keben
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Wrexham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. O'Brien n 864.6
2.67/5
G. Thomason n 890
2.57/6
C. Doyle n 890
1.86/5
Z. Vyner n 780.3
1.44/4
D. Hyam n 890
1.37/3
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Wrexham Attacking

Wrexham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Moore24590 min11 /9000 /9033 /9022 /9011 /9011 /90
S. Smith24590 min00 /9000 /9055 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Cadamarteri11818 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9015 /90
D. Keillor-Dunn11818 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9015 /9000 /90
L. O'Brien290180 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021 /9000 /90
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Wrexham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Doyle n 890
14/2
0.63/1
D. Hyam n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
G. Thomason n 890
0.53/1
0.31/1
Z. Vyner n 780.3
0.32/0
00/0
L. O'Brien n 864.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Wrexham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wrexham before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. O'Brien n 864.6
00/0
0.31/1
G. Thomason n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. Hyam n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Doyle n 890
00/0
00/0
Z. Vyner n 780.3
00/0
00/0
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Watford

Watford Goalkeeper

Watford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Ravaglia296192 min52.3 /9010.5 /9000 /90

Watford Defensive

Watford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Keben296192 min41.9 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9083.8 /9010.5 /9000 /90
M. Pollock296192 min31.4 /9020.9 /9010.5 /9094.2 /9031.4 /9010.5 /90
O. Traoré296192 min20.9 /9010.5 /9000 /9052.3 /9031.4 /9000 /90
M. Bola263126 min32.1 /9021.4 /9000 /9085.7 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Zemura16666 min11.4 /9000 /9000 /9045.5 /9022.7 /9000 /90
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Watford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Pollock n 891.5
1.17/2
0.43/0
C. Doyle
Hector Kyprianou n 890.3
0.75/1
1.27/1
L. O'Brien
K. Keben n 878.3
0.63/1
0.73/2
Z. Vyner
O. Maamma n 857.1
0.82/1
0.82/1
—
E. Bove n 842.5
2.44/2
1.63/3
G. Thomason
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Watford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Keben n 878.3
1.77/4
Hector Kyprianou n 890.3
1.55/4
M. Pollock n 891.5
1.17/2
O. Maamma n 857.1
1.44/2
E. Bove n 842.5
3.27/4
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Watford Attacking

Watford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Doumbia262124 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.7 /9021.5 /9021.5 /90
L. Kjerrumgaard16868 min00 /9000 /9045.3 /9011.3 /9022.6 /9011.3 /90
M. Adu-Poku12929 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.1 /9000 /90
Rocco Vata12525 min00 /9000 /9027.2 /9013.6 /9013.6 /9013.6 /90
Hector Kyprianou296192 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9041.9 /9020.9 /90
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Watford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Pollock n 891.5
0.53/1
0.22/0
Hector Kyprianou n 890.3
0.53/1
0.22/0
K. Keben n 878.3
00/0
00/0
O. Maamma n 857.1
1.44/3
0.83/1
E. Bove n 842.5
0.83/0
0.52/0
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Watford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Keben n 878.3
00/0
0.11/0
M. Pollock n 891.5
00/0
00/0
Hector Kyprianou n 890.3
00/0
00/0
O. Maamma n 857.1
00/0
00/0
E. Bove n 842.5
0.31/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WrexhamWatford
59%Possession41%
1.92Expected goals (xG)0.65
12Shots10
2Shots on target6
6Shots off target3
4Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box5
10Corners3
1Offsides0
13Fouls11
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
5Saves1
477Passes341
82%Pass accuracy72%

Wrexham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Patterson9000000007
Z. Vyner9000001206.9
D. Hyam9000000106.3
C. Doyle9000100107
B. Whiteman90000003Y6.6
L. O'Brien9000102307
G. Thomason8900201206.9
Daniel Edward Peter Imray7810321107.2
N. Broadhead78000012Y7.3
O. Rathbone6900102107.5
K. Moore6300001106.9
S. Smith sub2700000006.7
B. Cadamarteri sub2100000006.5
R. Longman sub1200000006.7
M. James sub1200000007.5
M. Cleworth sub10000000–

Watford Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Ravaglia9000000006.5
M. Pollock9000110306.7
K. Keben9000000507
J. Zemura9000111306.3
Hector Kyprianou9000000107.2
Iker Bravo9000111107.3
E. Bove6700001207
Amin Nabizada6700111006.5
L. Kjerrumgaard6710210007.3
O. Maamma5800001006.3
O. Traoré4401001106.6
Albert Eames sub4600000206.6
M. Payero sub3200210206.3
E. Kayembe sub2300000006.6
M. Doumbia sub2300000006.3
Rocco Vata sub2300100006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Wrexham v Watford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WrexhamWLDLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
WatfordLLLWW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Wrexham 0 · 1 draw · Watford 1 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-03-17 Watford 3–1 Wrexham
  • 2025-12-13 Wrexham 2–2 Watford
League standing · 2026/27
Wrexham#15 pos18 pts15 pl-2 GD
Watford#20 pos15 pts15 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Wrexham scored1.2
Watford scored0.87
Wrexham conceded1.33
Watford conceded1.53

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Wrexham v Watford?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wrexham v Watford was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Wrexham and Watford?
In their last 2 meetings, Wrexham won 0, Watford won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wrexham and Watford?
Recent form — Wrexham 1W 2D 2L; Watford 2W 0D 3L.

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