Boca Juniors v Sao Paulo result

Full-time · Boca Juniors 1–0 Sao Paulo

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Wed, 09 Sep 2026 01:30 BST · Estadio Alberto J. Armando

Updated 22 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Boca Juniors 1–0 Sao Paulo — Boca Juniors won this CONMEBOL Sudamericana match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

Best price: 1.20 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1490 landed (95% range 73–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Boca Juniors beat Sao Paulo 1–0 at Estadio Alberto J. Armando in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wednesday 9 September. Boca Juniors are unbeaten in their last 11 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Boca Juniors: Miguel Merentiel (52’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Miguel Merentiel’s goal on 52 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Boca Juniors 1.15, Sao Paulo 0.52, from 11 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

P. Maza showed two yellow cards — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Domingos Duarte (Sao Paulo) 5.7, Lucas Ramon (Sao Paulo) 5.3 and Miguel Merentiel (Boca Juniors) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Boca Juniors or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1122 of 1490).

Next up

Boca Juniors next travel to Vasco DA Gama on 21 October 2026.

Sao Paulo next travel to Mirassol on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Boca Juniors: Vasco DA Gama v Boca Juniors, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Sao Paulo: Mirassol v Sao Paulo, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Boca Juniors 1–0 Sao Paulo · CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Venue: Estadio Alberto J. Armando · Buenos Aires
Referee: P. Maza
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Boca Juniors 2W 3D 0L · Sao Paulo 3W 1D 1L

Boca Juniors 1–0 Sao Paulo (CONMEBOL Sudamericana): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.38

Goals

against 0.75 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2

over 8 matches

6.17 / 6.38

Corners

against 4.17 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

6.67 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 4.17 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.83 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.67 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Boca Juniors for / against	Line	Sao Paulo for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	2our book	1.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.17 for · 4.17 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	6.38 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	21.5 for · 11 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	15.75 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.67 for · 4.17 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.17 for · 11 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	14.75 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.83 for · 2.67 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: P. Maza.

Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Belmonte n 8	61.1	2.4 7/4	2.2 5/3	Pablo Maia
C. Palacios n 8	70.6	1.8 6/4	1.6 5/4	—
A. Velasco n 8	36.5	1.8 4/1	1.2 3/1	—
T. Aranda n 8	73.9	1.4 5/3	1.4 5/2	—
M. Delgado n 8	79.9	1.3 5/4	2 7/5	—

Boca Juniors — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Velasco n 8	36.5	4.6 6/3	1.5 4/1
K. Zenon n 8	29.8	3.8 5/2	2.3 3/2
L. Flores n 8	76.1	3.1 8/7	1.2 4/2
S. Ascacibar n 8	89	2.7 8/5	1 5/2
T. Aranda n 8	73.9	2.7 6/5	0.9 4/2

Boca Juniors — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Velasco n 8	36.5	0.9 3/0	0 0/0
Sebastián Villa n 8	47.1	0.2 1/0	0.7 2/1
K. Zenon n 8	29.8	0.4 1/0	0.4 1/0
S. Ascacibar n 8	89	0.6 5/0	0.1 1/0
Miguel Merentiel n 8	71.5	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0

Boca Juniors — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Facundo Herrera n 4	42.3	2.7 2/1
L. Paredes n 8	82.1	2.5 8/3
L. Di Lollo n 8	84	2.4 6/3
M. Delgado n 8	79.9	2.4 8/5
D. Gorosito n 7	79.7	2.3 6/5

Boca Juniors — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Montero n 8	92.8	2.8 7/4

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Djhordney Ferreira n 7	31.4	4.5 6/5	1.6 4/0	—
Pablo Maia n 8	57.8	2.1 5/3	1 4/1	T. Belmonte
Cauly n 8	48.6	1.9 4/2	0.9 4/0	—
Luis Osorio n 8	76.8	1.8 7/4	0.3 2/0	—
Lucas Ramon n 8	68	1.7 4/4	1.7 6/2	—

Sao Paulo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Santana n 4	46.3	3.4 3/3	1.9 2/2
Luciano n 8	84.1	2.3 7/5	0.7 4/1
Ferreirinha n 8	25	2.3 4/1	0.9 1/1
Artur n 8	80.5	2.1 8/4	0.8 4/2
Pablo Maia n 8	57.8	1.2 3/3	0 0/0

Sao Paulo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Artur n 8	80.5	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Luciano n 8	84.1	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
G. Santana n 4	46.3	0.5 1/0	0 0/0
Sabino n 8	74.9	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Iago Borduchi n 8	70.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0

Sao Paulo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Marcos Antônio n 8	83.3	2.4 8/4
Danielzinho n 8	56.6	2.2 4/3
D. Bobadilla n 8	58	2.1 4/4
Aurélio Buta n 8	47.3	2.1 4/2
Victor Sá n 8	38.9	2 3/3

Sao Paulo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Rafael n 8	91.8	2.2 5/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Boca Juniors		Sao Paulo
51%	Possession	49%
1.15	Expected goals (xG)	0.52
11	Shots	8
2	Shots on target	3
6	Shots off target	4
3	Blocked shots	1
6	Shots inside the box	7
4	Corners	2
6	Fouls	8
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	2
473	Passes	471
81%	Pass accuracy	78%

Boca Juniors player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
A. Montero	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
L. Lozano	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.9
L. Di Lollo	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
Facundo Herrera	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.3
L. Blanco	90	0	1	0	2	2	0	6.8
T. Belmonte	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.5
L. Paredes	90	0	1	0	3	3	0	7.2
S. Ascacibar	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.1
L. Flores	90	0	1	0	3	0	0	6.4
A. Velasco	85	0	4	0	1	1	0	6.2
Miguel Merentiel	79	1	2	2	0	0	0	7.6
Sebastián Villa	11	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
E. Valencia	5	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2

Sao Paulo player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Rafael	90	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
Domingos Duarte	90	1	1	0	4	0	7
R. Arboleda	90	1	0	0	3	0	7.1
Sabino	90	0	0	1	2	0	6.5
Lucas Ramon	90	0	0	0	5	0	6
Iago Borduchi	90	0	0	4	4	0	7.2
Pablo Maia	89	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Artur	89	0	0	1	2	0	6.6
Jonathan Calleri	82	3	1	0	0	Y	6.1
Marcos Antônio	81	0	0	2	1	0	6.4
Luciano	63	2	1	0	0	0	5.8
G. Santana	27	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
Danielzinho	9	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Ferreirinha	8	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Newton	1	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Andre Silva	1	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Boca Juniors v Sao Paulo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Boca JuniorsWDWDD

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Sao PauloDWLWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

League standing · 2024

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Boca Juniors#2 pos11 pts6 pl+4 GD

Sao Paulo#1 pos12 pts6 pl+5 GD

Goals per game

Boca Juniors scored1.67

Sao Paulo scored1

Boca Juniors conceded1

Sao Paulo conceded0.17

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Boca Juniors v Sao Paulo?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Boca Juniors v Sao Paulo was Home or Draw (best price 1.20 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Boca Juniors and Sao Paulo?: Recent form — Boca Juniors 2W 3D 0L; Sao Paulo 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 22 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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