Santos v Atletico-MG result

Full-time · Santos 2–0 Atletico-MG

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Wed, 09 Sep 2026 23:00 BST · Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Updated 23 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Santos · Atletico-MG · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Santos 2–0 Atletico-MG — Santos won this CONMEBOL Sudamericana match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.55 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.6% of 171 landed (95% range 45.2–60%); it had given them 77.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Santos beat Atletico-MG 2–0 at Estadio Urbano Caldeira in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wednesday 9 September. Santos are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Santos led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Santos: Willian Arão (31’, assisted by Gabriel Barbosa) and Christian Oliva (68’, assisted by Gabriel Barbosa).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Willian Arão’s goal on 31 minutes.

Discipline

A. Herrera showed no yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gabriel Barbosa (Santos) 7.9, Christian Oliva (Santos) 7.3 and Willian Arão (Santos) 6.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Santos next host Bahia on 25 October 2026.

Atletico-MG next travel to Atletico Torque on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Santos: Santos v Bahia, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Atletico-MG: Atletico Torque v Atletico-MG, Wednesday 21 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Santos 2–0 Atletico-MG · CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Venue: Estadio Urbano Caldeira · Santos
Referee: A. Herrera
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Santos 2 · draws 2 · Atletico-MG 2 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Santos 2W 2D 1L · Atletico-MG 2W 2D 1L

Santos 2–0 Atletico-MG (CONMEBOL Sudamericana): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 23 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.38

Goals

against 0.88 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2

over 8 matches

3.88 / 4.75

Corners

against 5.13 / 7 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4 / 4.38

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 1.63

Cards

against 3.38 / 2.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Santos for / against	Line	Atletico-MG for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2our book	1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.75 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.38 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.25 for · 16.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.38 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.5 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.75 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: A. Herrera.

Santos

Santos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Rafael Gonzaga n 5	39.6	2.7 4/2	0.5 1/0	—
Rony n 8	42	2.4 6/2	2.7 7/2	—
Christian Oliva n 8	71.4	2 8/4	1.3 5/1	—
Neymar n 8	74.1	1.7 5/3	3.5 6/6	—
Luan Peres n 8	91	1.5 6/3	0.9 6/1	A. Preciado

Santos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Neymar n 8	74.1	2.9 7/5	1.5 5/4
Gabriel Barbosa n 8	77.4	2.2 6/6	1 5/2
Miguelito n 8	55.1	2 5/3	1.4 5/2
Álvaro Barreal n 8	74.6	1.5 7/2	0.8 4/1
Christian Oliva n 8	71.4	1.3 3/2	0.3 2/0

Santos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Gabriel Menino n 8	59	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
Miguelito n 8	55.1	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
Gabriel Barbosa n 8	77.4	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
Neymar n 8	74.1	0 0/0	0.6 3/1
Benjamín Rollheiser n 8	45.4	0 0/0	0.5 2/0

Santos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Gustavo Henrique Pereira n 8	66.3	4.6 7/7
Rafael Gonzaga n 5	39.6	3.2 4/2
Christian Oliva n 8	71.4	2.8 6/5
Gabriel Bontempo n 8	63.4	2.8 7/6
Igor Vinícius n 8	66.5	2.5 7/3

Santos — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Gabriel Brazão n 8	91	2.7 7/4

Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Borbas n 8	28.4	2.8 5/1	2.8 3/1	—
A. Preciado n 8	56.8	2.2 4/4	1 2/1	Luan Peres
Fred n 8	63.1	2.1 7/4	3.2 6/5	—
Bernard n 8	58.6	2.1 7/4	1.2 4/2	—
Alexsander n 8	47	1.9 6/2	2.6 6/2	—

Atletico-MG — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Borbas n 8	28.4	2.4 4/2	0.8 2/0
Cuello n 8	83.4	2 6/3	0.7 3/2
Victor Hugo n 8	68.6	1.5 5/3	0.5 3/0
Bernard n 8	58.6	1.5 5/1	0.6 3/0
A. Minda n 8	37.3	1.5 4/1	1.2 3/1

Atletico-MG — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Reinier n 8	60.4	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
Cuello n 8	83.4	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
Victor Hugo n 8	68.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Fred n 8	63.1	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
T. Borbas n 8	28.4	0.4 1/0	0 0/0

Atletico-MG — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Alexsander n 8	47	2.6 6/4
T. Perez n 8	77.1	2.5 6/5
A. Preciado n 8	56.8	2.4 4/3
Fred n 8	63.1	2.1 7/4
A. Franco n 8	74	2 6/4

Atletico-MG — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Everson n 8	91.5	3.2 6/5
Gabriel Delfim n 5	91.4	2.4 5/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Santos		Atletico-MG
42%	Possession	58%
14	Shots	9
7	Shots on target	3
5	Shots off target	3
2	Blocked shots	3
10	Shots inside the box	5
6	Corners	2
1	Offsides	3
9	Fouls	8
0	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	5
416	Passes	571

Santos player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Gabriel Brazão	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.8
Willian Arão	90	1	0	1	1	0	2	7.7
Luan Peres	90	0	0	1	1	0	3	6.4
Gonzalo Escobar	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.7
Gustavo Henrique Pereira	90	0	0	1	1	0	4	6.3
Gabriel Bontempo	90	0	0	3	1	1	0	6.9
Rodinei	87	0	0	1	0	1	0	7
Gabriel Barbosa	87	0	2	2	1	3	2	8
Christian Oliva	83	1	0	2	1	0	2	8.1
Benjamín Rollheiser	82	0	0	2	1	2	2	6.7
Thaciano	63	0	0	1	0	2	0	6.4
Arthur	27	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
G. Caballero	8	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.6
João Schmidt	7	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.6
Igor Vinícius	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Lima	3	0	0	0	0	0	3	6.6

Atletico-MG player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Gabriel Delfim	90	0	0	0	0	7
Lyanco	90	0	0	0	0	6
A. Franco	90	0	0	0	1	6.1
Vitor Hugo	90	0	0	0	1	6.6
Maycon	90	0	0	0	0	6.5
Renan Lodi	90	2	1	0	5	6.7
Fred	90	3	2	3	1	6.6
K. Castaño	79	0	0	0	2	6.5
M. Cassierra	79	0	0	0	1	6.2
A. Preciado	59	0	0	0	5	6.4
Bernard	59	1	0	0	2	6.3
Victor Hugo	31	1	0	0	0	6
A. Minda	31	0	0	1	0	6.3
Reinier	11	0	0	1	2	6.2
Gustavo Scarpa	11	2	0	1	0	6.1

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Santos v Atletico-MG — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SantosDLWDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Atletico-MGDDWWL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Santos 2 · 2 draws · Atletico-MG 2 · 1.67 goals/game

2026-04-11 Santos 1–0 Atletico-MG
2025-09-14 Atletico-MG 1–1 Santos
2025-04-17 Santos 2–0 Atletico-MG
2023-08-27 Atletico-MG 2–0 Santos
2023-04-23 Santos 0–0 Atletico-MG
2022-10-06 Santos 1–2 Atletico-MG

League standing · 2026

Santos#2 pos7 pts6 pl+2 GD

Atletico-MG#1 pos10 pts6 pl+2 GD

Goals per game

Santos scored1.33

Atletico-MG scored1.33

Santos conceded1

Atletico-MG conceded1

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Santos v Atletico-MG?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Santos v Atletico-MG was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.55 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Santos and Atletico-MG?: In their last 6 meetings, Santos won 2, Atletico-MG won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Santos and Atletico-MG?: Recent form — Santos 2W 2D 1L; Atletico-MG 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 23 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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