UCV v Santos result

Full-time · UCV 1–4 Santos

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · · Estadio Misael Delgado

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: UCV · Santos

The model’s pre-match pick

UCV 1–4 Santos — Santos won this CONMEBOL Sudamericana match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.18 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Santos won 4–1 at Estadio Misael Delgado in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wednesday 22 July. Santos have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Santos led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Santos: Gabriel Bontempo (35’), Gabriel Menino (57’, assisted by Christian Oliva), Thaciano (67’) and Rony (84’); UCV: Maicol Ruiz (87’, assisted by D. De Sousa).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Gabriel Bontempo’s goal on 35 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: UCV 0.40, Santos 2.41, from 8 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — UCV: Francisco Solé (22’) and Samuel Sosa (73’); Santos: Gabriel Menino (22’) and Gonzalo Escobar (86’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gabriel Menino (Santos) 7.3, Christian Oliva (Santos) 6.5 and Maicol Ruiz (UCV) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Santos next host Bahia on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Santos: Santos v Bahia, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: UCV 1–4 Santos · CONMEBOL Sudamericana
  • Venue: Estadio Misael Delgado · Valencia
  • Referee: Gery Vargas, Bolivia
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: UCV 2W 0D 3L · Santos 2W 1D 2L

UCV 1–4 Santos (CONMEBOL Sudamericana): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
1.71 / 3.5
Corners
against 7 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.86 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 6.43 / 4.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3 / 3.38
Cards
against 1.86 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameUCV for / againstLineSantos for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.25our book
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
1.71 for · 7 against n 7
9.5standard
3.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
10.43 for · 20.14 against n 7
19.5standard
11.38 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.86 for · 6.43 against n 7
8.5standard
4.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.43 for · 9 against n 7
21.5standard
14.25 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
3.38 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: Gery Vargas, Bolivia.

UCV
UCV — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Geremías Meléndez n 429
2.32/1
00/0
—
Yohan Cumana n 554.6
22/2
0.31/0
Gabriel Menino
Samuel Sosa n 844.6
1.53/3
24/2
—
Francisco Solé n 786.3
1.25/2
0.74/1
—
Juan Camilo Zapata n 780.4
1.16/1
1.14/2
—
UCV — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Yeiber Murillo n 826.9
2.15/0
0.82/0
Juan Manuel Cuesta n 881.8
1.96/5
14/2
Jovanny Bolívar n 876
1.95/4
0.73/2
C. Ortiz n 750.1
1.53/2
0.82/1
Juan Camilo Zapata n 780.4
1.36/2
0.63/1
UCV — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Juan Manuel Cuesta n 881.8
0.64/0
0.11/0
D. De Sousa n 345.7
00/0
0.71/0
C. Ortiz n 750.1
0.51/1
00/0
Francisco Solé n 786.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
Juan Camilo Zapata n 780.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
UCV — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Vicente Rodríguez n 846.8
3.64/4
Williams Velásquez n 392
2.63/2
D. De Sousa n 345.7
2.62/2
Francisco Solé n 786.3
2.57/5
Kendrys Silva n 888.1
1.95/4
UCV — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Giancarlo Schiavone n 690
4.25/4
L. Morales n 884.8
1.54/1
Santos
Santos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Samuel Mendes n 421
4.33/1
00/0
—
João Schmidt n 853.8
3.17/4
0.83/1
—
Gabriel Menino n 838.8
2.35/2
24/1
Yohan Cumana
Gustavo Henrique Pereira n 851.6
2.26/3
2.26/3
—
Rony n 830.5
2.24/1
3.34/4
—
Santos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Robinho Júnior n 815.3
34/0
1.52/0
Neymar n 867.3
2.88/6
1.26/1
Thaciano n 823.5
2.44/1
0.51/0
Álvaro Barreal n 865.9
26/3
1.45/1
Gabriel Barbosa n 857.5
26/3
14/1
Santos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Gabriel Barbosa n 857.5
14/1
0.42/0
Gabriel Bontempo n 872.6
0.53/0
0.32/0
Neymar n 867.3
0.53/0
0.21/0
Miguelito n 858.5
0.21/0
0.42/0
Benjamín Rollheiser n 869.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Santos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
João Paulo Ananias n 461
3.33/3
Gonzalo Escobar n 889.8
38/7
Willian Arão n 875.5
36/5
Robinho Júnior n 815.3
34/0
Álvaro Barreal n 865.9
2.96/4
Santos — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Gabriel Brazão n 890.9
3.26/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
UCVSantos
39%Possession61%
0.40Expected goals (xG)2.41
8Shots17
4Shots on target7
3Shots off target7
1Blocked shots3
4Shots inside the box14
2Corners6
3Offsides1
9Fouls6
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves3
338Passes534
79%Pass accuracy88%

UCV player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Giancarlo Schiavone9000000006.2
Edwin Peraza9000000105.5
G. Mottes9000000206.2
Alexander Gonzalez9000102106.2
E. Mosquera9000111006.2
Juan Camilo Zapata9000211106.9
Yohan Cumana7200102106
Francisco Solé72000001Y6.5
Alexander Granko7200000006.2
W. Lugo6400000006.2
Kendrys Silva4500110006.7
Maicol Ruiz sub4510110107
Samuel Sosa sub26000000Y6.3
D. Carrillo sub1800000006.2
Vicente Rodríguez sub1800000006.3
D. De Sousa sub1801001006.5

Santos player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gabriel Brazão9000000007
Gabriel Menino90101112Y8.3
João Paulo Ananias9000001207.2
Gonzalo Escobar90000021Y6.3
Christian Oliva9001101308.2
Álvaro Barreal9000105207.2
Lucas Veríssimo7900000007.2
Miguelito7700001106.3
Benjamín Rollheiser7700211006.6
Thaciano7710420206.3
Gabriel Bontempo7010210007.3
Samuel Mendes sub2000000307
Rony sub1310210007.5
Robinho Júnior sub1300110106.7
Moisés sub1300000005.9
Adonis Frías sub1100000106.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind UCV v Santos — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
UCVLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
SantosDLWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026
UCVNot in this league table
Santos#2 pos7 pts6 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
UCV scored0.8
Santos scored1.33
UCV conceded2
Santos conceded1

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for UCV v Santos?
TACTIX’s free model pick for UCV v Santos was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.18 at Betano).
What is the recent form of UCV and Santos?
Recent form — UCV 2W 0D 3L; Santos 2W 1D 2L.

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