Atletico-MG v Cruzeiro result

Full-time · Atletico-MG 2–1 Cruzeiro

Copa Do Brasil · · MRV Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Atletico-MG · Cruzeiro · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Atletico-MG 2–1 Cruzeiro — Atletico-MG won this Copa Do Brasil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.42 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1490 landed (95% range 73–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Atletico-MG beat Cruzeiro 2–1 at MRV Arena in Copa Do Brasil on Wednesday 2 September. Atletico-MG are unbeaten in their last 14 matches in all competitions. Cruzeiro are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

Atletico-MG came from behind: Cruzeiro led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Cruzeiro: Kaio Jorge (30’ pen); Atletico-MG: Victor Hugo (77’, assisted by Fred) and Fred (88’, assisted by Victor Hugo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Fred’s goal on 88 minutes.

Discipline

R. Claus showed six yellow cards and one red — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (all competitions).

What it changes

Cruzeiro have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Fred (Atletico-MG) 11.9, Victor Hugo (Atletico-MG) 7.3 and Bernard (Atletico-MG) 6.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Atletico-MG or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1122 of 1490).

Next up

Atletico-MG next travel to Atletico Torque on 21 October 2026.

Cruzeiro next travel to Gremio on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Atletico-MG: Atletico Torque v Atletico-MG, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Cruzeiro: Gremio v Cruzeiro, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Atletico-MG 2–1 Cruzeiro · Copa Do Brasil
  • Venue: MRV Arena · Belo Horizonte
  • Referee: R. Claus
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Atletico-MG 1 · draws 3 · Cruzeiro 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Atletico-MG 2W 3D 0L · Cruzeiro 2W 1D 2L

Atletico-MG 2–1 Cruzeiro (Copa Do Brasil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 15 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.63
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
4.25 / 5.13
Corners
against 5.75 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAtletico-MG for / againstLineCruzeiro for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.25our book
1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 15.63 against n 8
19.5standard
15.88 for · 14.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.75 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: R. Claus.

Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Borbas n 828.4
2.85/1
2.83/1
—
Igor Gomes n 830
2.65/1
0.82/0
—
K. Castaño n 841.1
2.55/4
1.12/2
—
A. Preciado n 856.8
2.24/4
12/1
—
Fred n 867.9
1.87/3
2.87/5
—
Atletico-MG — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Borbas n 828.4
2.44/2
0.82/0
A. Minda n 840.1
1.74/2
1.13/1
Renan Lodi n 887.5
1.57/3
0.64/1
Cuello n 875.4
1.56/2
0.73/2
Victor Hugo n 872.1
1.46/3
0.53/0
Atletico-MG — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Igor Gomes n 830
0.41/0
0.82/0
Cuello n 875.4
0.63/1
0.11/0
Reinier n 852.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
A. Minda n 840.1
0.31/0
0.31/0
Fred n 867.9
0.52/1
00/0
Atletico-MG — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Castaño n 841.1
2.75/2
T. Perez n 877.1
2.56/5
A. Preciado n 856.8
2.44/3
Fred n 867.9
2.28/5
T. Borbas n 828.4
22/2
Atletico-MG — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Everson n 891.5
3.16/4
Gabriel Delfim n 490
2.34/1
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Felipe Morais n 533
3.32/2
1.63/0
—
João Gabriel e Costa Cesco n 839.4
2.67/1
0.62/0
—
Wesley Gassova n 841
2.56/2
2.55/2
—
Lucas Romero n 881.4
2.17/4
1.44/3
—
Lucas Silva n 826.3
2.15/0
1.74/0
—
Cruzeiro — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Felipe Morais n 533
2.73/2
0.51/0
Néiser Villarreal n 824.5
2.33/1
0.51/0
Keny Arroyo n 873.6
2.17/3
0.84/1
L. Rodríguez n 852.4
2.18/1
1.35/1
Wanderson n 822.4
23/1
1.53/0
Cruzeiro — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lucas Villalba n 860
00/0
0.63/0
Bruno Rodrigues n 837.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
Keny Arroyo n 873.6
0.53/0
00/0
Matheus Pereira n 873
0.21/0
0.32/0
Felipe Morais n 533
0.51/0
00/0
Cruzeiro — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Fagner n 876
2.77/6
Wanderson n 822.4
2.52/2
Lucas Romero n 881.4
2.47/5
William Furtado n 859.5
2.33/3
Zé Lucas n 859.4
2.34/3
Cruzeiro — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Otávio Costa n 890.9
3.77/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Atletico-MGCruzeiro
62%Possession38%
28Shots12
8Shots on target4
12Shots off target5
8Blocked shots3
20Shots inside the box7
8Corners2
1Offsides1
15Fouls13
1Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
3Saves5
520Passes335

Atletico-MG player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Everson9000000006.6
Vitor Hugo9000100106.9
Renan Lodi9000200106.2
K. Castaño9000002206.4
Cuello9000603107.1
Fred9011535309
Natanael72000001Y6
A. Franco6500002306.6
Bernard6500415206.5
Reinier4500102006.8
M. Cassierra4500212007
A. Minda2500110106.7
Victor Hugo2511311007.9
Gustavo Scarpa1800212006.7
Ruan Tressoldi1700000006.3

Cruzeiro player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Otávio Costa90000000Y6.6
Fagner9000001506.1
Fabrício Bruno90000002Y5.6
Lucas Romero90000035Y6.6
Keny Arroyo90003200Y5.5
Gerson6500100105.9
Matheus Pereira6500202106.3
Kaio Jorge65102120Y6.7
Lucas Villalba61002011R5.4
Wesley Gassova5800111106.3
João Marcelo5400000006.2
Jonathan Jesus3600000005.8
Kaique Kenji3200000106.4
Gabriel Rojas2500100106.2
Néiser Villarreal2500000006
Matheus Henrique2500000006.1

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Atletico-MG v Cruzeiro — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Atletico-MGWDDDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
CruzeiroWLWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Atletico-MG 1 · 3 draws · Cruzeiro 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-08-26 Cruzeiro 1–1 Atletico-MG
  • 2026-05-03 Cruzeiro 1–3 Atletico-MG
  • 2025-10-16 Atletico-MG 1–1 Cruzeiro
  • 2025-09-11 Cruzeiro 2–0 Atletico-MG
  • 2025-08-27 Atletico-MG 0–2 Cruzeiro
  • 2025-05-18 Cruzeiro 0–0 Atletico-MG
Goals per game
Atletico-MG scored1.6
Cruzeiro scored1.4
Atletico-MG conceded0.8
Cruzeiro conceded1.6

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Atletico-MG v Cruzeiro?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atletico-MG v Cruzeiro was Home or Draw (best price 1.42 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Atletico-MG and Cruzeiro?
In their last 6 meetings, Atletico-MG won 1, Cruzeiro won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atletico-MG and Cruzeiro?
Recent form — Atletico-MG 2W 3D 0L; Cruzeiro 2W 1D 2L.

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