DijonOrleans

Dijon v Orleans prediction

Coupe de France ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Dijon v Orleans, Coupe de France on Fri, 13 Nov 2026 19:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Dijon host Orleans in the Coupe de France on Friday 13 November (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 13 of Dijon’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%).

Dijon have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Orleans have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Dijon’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). At home, Dijon have two wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 5 home matches in all competitions — 1.20 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 2.00.

10 of Orleans’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Orleans’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Orleans have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.57.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Orleans the stronger side, 54 rating points above Dijon (Orleans 1916, Dijon 1862, after at least 19 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Dijon XI (4-1-3-2): P. Delecroix, L. Lacroix, Q. Bernard, W. Diouf, M. Faty, A. Lembezat, B. Ndezi, J. Marié, P. Bellon, A. Lago, J. Tavares — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Lembezat (4.7 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and two assists) and I. Bouleghcha (4.4 per match over four appearances) have been Dijon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Dijon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Lembezat averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 665 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. I. Bouleghcha averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 360 minutes.

Predicted Orleans XI (4-4-2): F. Faham, J. Giraudon, E. Mouton, M. Baudry, S. Luyambula, G. Khous, J. Morel, F. Da Silva, M. Sylla Diallo, F. El Khoumisti, P. Bâ — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Coupe de France
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Dijon 3W 0D 2L · Orleans 3W 1D 1L

Dijon v Orleans (Coupe de France): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 2
Goals
against 2 / 1.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.5
Corners
against 5.13 / 5.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 4 matches
5 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 6.13 / 6.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 4 matches
1.25 / 0.75
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 4 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameDijon for / againstLineOrleans for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 5.5 against n 4
Shots
13.5 for · 15.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 12.25 against n 4
Shots on target
5 for · 6.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 6.25 against n 4
Fouls committed
16 for · 15.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 11.75 against n 4
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
0.75 for · 1.5 against n 4

Dijon

Dijon Goalkeeper

Dijon — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Delecroix1090900 min363.6 /9060.6 /9000 /90
I. Marie-Rose19090 min44 /9011 /9000 /90
Dijon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dijon before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Delecroix n 890
4.17/5

Dijon Defensive

Dijon — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Lacroix1190990 min171.5 /90171.5 /90141.3 /90524.7 /90121.1 /9030.3 /90
Q. Bernard1084843 min91 /90151.6 /9080.9 /90313.3 /9060.6 /9000 /90
M. Faty757398 min102.3 /9051.1 /9020.5 /90163.6 /9020.5 /9000 /90
B. Hamada577386 min143.3 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90337.7 /9071.6 /9010.2 /90
W. Diouf577385 min51.2 /9071.6 /9010.2 /90266.1 /9061.4 /9030.7 /90
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Dijon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dijon before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Lacroix n 890
1.15/1
0.53/1
—
B. Ndezi n 872.3
2.68/6
2.26/5
—
J. Marié n 865.3
1.76/3
0.53/0
—
A. Lembezat n 867.3
2.26/4
3.87/7
—
P. Delecroix n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
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Dijon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dijon before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Lacroix n 890
1.86/5
B. Ndezi n 872.3
37/5
J. Marié n 865.3
2.14/3
A. Lembezat n 867.3
2.38/4
Q. Bernard n 882.9
14/1
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Dijon Attacking

Dijon — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Dong850398 min10.2 /9010.2 /9071.6 /9040.9 /9081.8 /9020.5 /90
Júlio Tavares849389 min51.2 /9010.2 /90112.5 /9092.1 /9061.4 /9040.9 /90
A. Lago770490 min20.4 /9010.2 /90152.8 /9071.3 /9030.6 /9020.4 /90
A. Ntamack752366 min00 /9000 /90102.5 /9020.5 /9041 /9041 /90
Y. Barka556278 min10.3 /9000 /9092.9 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9031 /90
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Dijon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dijon before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Lacroix n 890
0.83/2
00/0
B. Ndezi n 872.3
0.64/0
0.53/0
J. Marié n 865.3
0.53/0
0.21/0
A. Lembezat n 867.3
27/3
0.74/0
P. Delecroix n 890
00/0
00/0
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Dijon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dijon before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Lacroix n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Ndezi n 872.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Marié n 865.3
00/0
0.32/0
A. Lembezat n 867.3
0.21/0
0.32/0
P. Delecroix n 890
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Dijon v Orleans — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DijonWWLLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
OrleansDWWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Goals per game
Dijon scored2.4
Orleans scored2
Dijon conceded2
Orleans conceded1

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Dijon v Orleans?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Dijon v Orleans is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Dijon and Orleans?
Recent form — Dijon 3W 0D 2L; Orleans 3W 1D 1L.

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