Rot-Weiß Essen v Borussia Dortmund result

Full-time · Rot-Weiß Essen 0–1 Borussia Dortmund

DFB Pokal ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Rot-Weiß Essen 0–1 Borussia Dortmund — Borussia Dortmund won this DFB Pokal match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Borussia Dortmund won 1–0 at Rot-Weiß Essen in the DFB Pokal on Monday 18 August. Borussia Dortmund have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Borussia Dortmund: Serhou Guirassy (79’, assisted by R. Bensebaïni).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Serhou Guirassy’s goal on 79 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Rot-Weiß Essen 0.00, Borussia Dortmund 0.00, from 12 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Rot-Weiß Essen: K. Meisel (90+5’); Borussia Dortmund: Daniel Svensson (76’).

What it changes

Rot-Weiß Essen have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Yan Couto (Borussia Dortmund) 6.7, Serhou Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund) 6.7 and Kaito Mizuta (Rot-Weiß Essen) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Rot-Weiß Essen next host RB Leipzig on 27 October 2026.

Borussia Dortmund next travel to Sabah FA on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rot-Weiß Essen: Rot-Weiß Essen v RB Leipzig, Tuesday 27 October — the preview. Next for Borussia Dortmund: Sabah FA v Borussia Dortmund, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Rot-Weiß Essen 0–1 Borussia Dortmund · DFB Pokal
  • Referee: F. Willenborg
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Rot-Weiß Essen 2W 0D 3L · Borussia Dortmund 3W 1D 1L

Rot-Weiß Essen 0–1 Borussia Dortmund (DFB Pokal): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

246
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Rot-Weiß EssenBorussia Dortmund
34%Possession66%
12Shots13
5Shots on target4
5Shots off target5
2Blocked shots4
3Shots inside the box8
2Corners6
2Offsides4
11Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves5
322Passes644
74%Pass accuracy88%

Rot-Weiß Essen player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jakob Golz9000000006.2
Michael Schultz9000000106.6
T. Kraulich9000003006.9
Jannik Hofmann9000100106.6
T. Moustier9000111006.9
Kaito Mizuta9000222206.5
Klaus Gjasula8700000006.2
José-Enrique Ríos Alonso8400000106.6
Ramien Safi8300220006.9
A. Arslan7600001006.9
Lucas Brumme7500100206.9
Franci Bouebari sub1600001106.2
Marvin Obuz sub1500100006.7
Torben Müsel sub1300100006.3
K. Meisel sub10000000Y6.3
D. Martinovic sub800100006.5

Borussia Dortmund player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Kobel9000000008.3
F. Mané9000000207.5
W. Anton9000200107.9
R. Bensebaïni9001001007.3
Yan Couto9000004507.7
F. Nmecha9000111106.7
D. Svensson90001011Y6.3
S. Guirassy9010322007.3
M. Sabitzer8900110206.7
P. Groß6400000006.9
M. Beier6400002006.3
J. Bellingham sub2700000006.6
J. Brandt sub2700100006.5
S. Özcan sub10000010–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rot-Weiß Essen v Borussia Dortmund — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Rot-Weiß EssenWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Borussia DortmundDWWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Goals per game
Rot-Weiß Essen scored1.8
Borussia Dortmund scored1.8
Rot-Weiß Essen conceded2.8
Borussia Dortmund conceded1.4

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Rot-Weiß Essen v Borussia Dortmund?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rot-Weiß Essen v Borussia Dortmund was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Rot-Weiß Essen and Borussia Dortmund?
Recent form — Rot-Weiß Essen 2W 0D 3L; Borussia Dortmund 3W 1D 1L.

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