Jagiellonia v Korona Kielce result

Full-time · Jagiellonia 1–0 Korona Kielce

Ekstraklasa · · Chorten Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Jagiellonia · Korona Kielce · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Jagiellonia 1–0 Korona Kielce — Jagiellonia won this Ekstraklasa match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Jagiellonia beat Korona Kielce 1–0 at Chorten Arena in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday 25 July. Jagiellonia have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Jagiellonia: Nik Prelec (88’, assisted by Sergio Lozano).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nik Prelec’s goal on 88 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Jagiellonia 1.08, Korona Kielce 0.71, from 11 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

K. Arys showed one yellow card — against 1.1 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Korona Kielce: P. Hellebrand (64’).

What it changes

Jagiellonia are second (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Korona Kielce are 17th (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Jagiellonia are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia (Jagiellonia) 4.7, Taras Romanczuk (Jagiellonia) 4.7 and Nik Prelec (Jagiellonia) 4.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Jagiellonia or Korona Kielce (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Jagiellonia next host Anderlecht on 22 October 2026.

Korona Kielce next host GKS Katowice on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Jagiellonia: Jagiellonia v Anderlecht, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Korona Kielce: Korona Kielce v GKS Katowice, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Jagiellonia 1–0 Korona Kielce · Ekstraklasa
  • Venue: Chorten Arena · Bialystok
  • Referee: K. Arys
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Jagiellonia 3 · draws 2 · Korona Kielce 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Jagiellonia 3W 1D 1L · Korona Kielce 1W 3D 1L

Jagiellonia 1–0 Korona Kielce (Ekstraklasa): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 0.88
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4
Corners
against 3.5 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
1.07 yellows
Referee · K. Arys
0.57 home / 0.5 away
over 14 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 May 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameJagiellonia for / againstLineKorona Kielce for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.75our book
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
14.5 for · 16 against n 8
19.5standard
14.13 for · 13.38 against n 8
Shots on target
6.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.25 for · 13.13 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8

Referee: K. Arys — 1.07 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 15.86 fouls over 14 matches (0.57 to the home side, 0.5 to the away side).

Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Zachary Zalewski n 411.8
3.81/1
00/0
—
D. Drachal n 838.4
3.56/4
1.85/1
W. Długosz
Dimitris Rallis n 820
3.46/0
00/0
—
Afimico Pululu n 880.5
2.96/4
4.37/7
—
Eryk Kozlowski n 631.3
1.92/2
11/1
—
Jagiellonia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jesús Imaz n 882.5
2.78/6
1.68/3
Sergio Lozano n 838
2.45/1
1.53/1
Samed Baždar n 824.3
2.33/2
1.93/1
Afimico Pululu n 880.5
1.87/3
1.56/3
K. Szmyt n 883.6
1.37/3
0.85/1
Jagiellonia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Afimico Pululu n 880.5
0.75/0
0.31/1
Sergio Lozano n 838
0.31/0
0.62/0
Samed Baždar n 824.3
0.51/0
00/0
Jesús Imaz n 882.5
0.31/1
0.11/0
Nahuel Leiva n 828.4
00/0
0.41/0
Jagiellonia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Wojtuszek n 880.6
47/5
A. Konstantopoulos n 825.8
3.94/3
L. Flach n 849
3.25/4
D. Drachal n 838.4
3.27/3
K. Jozwiak n 848.9
36/3
Jagiellonia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sławomir Abramowicz n 890.5
3.57/7
Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Nikolov n 813.5
3.33/1
00/0
—
Nono n 837.4
2.14/2
2.44/3
—
W. Długosz n 877.3
27/5
15/1
D. Drachal
M. Remacle n 876.6
1.96/3
1.98/2
—
K. Sotiriou n 872.3
1.95/3
0.32/0
—
Korona Kielce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Davidović n 836.5
2.55/2
1.23/1
Antoñín Cortés n 838.9
1.74/2
0.62/0
M. Stępiński n 879.4
1.65/4
0.73/2
M. Cebula n 841.3
1.65/1
0.83/0
M. Remacle n 876.6
1.55/3
0.63/1
Korona Kielce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Błanik n 871
0.53/0
0.21/0
M. Stępiński n 879.4
0.31/1
00/0
Pau Resta n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Remacle n 876.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
S. Rubežić n 868.5
00/0
0.21/0
Korona Kielce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Smolarczyk n 871.6
37/6
Hubert Zwoźny n 862.3
2.26/3
Simon Gustafson n 848.5
2.16/2
K. Sotiriou n 872.3
24/3
W. Długosz n 877.3
1.97/5
Korona Kielce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
X. Dziekoński n 890
37/6

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
JagielloniaKorona Kielce
62%Possession38%
1.08Expected goals (xG)0.71
11Shots16
4Shots on target1
3Shots off target8
4Blocked shots7
8Shots inside the box8
3Corners6
11Fouls19
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves4
462Passes278
85%Pass accuracy77%

Jagiellonia player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Wojtuszek9000210007.3
Sławomir Abramowicz9000000007.3
Y. Kobayashi9000000007.2
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia9000002407.9
T. Romanczuk9000000307.9
Bernardo Vital9000000107.9
K. Szmyt8700110006.6
Jesús Imaz8600001006.9
D. Drachal7400100206.7
K. Jozwiak6100000207.2
Y. Sylla6100000106.9
Nik Prelec sub2910111008.2
Rodrigo Conceição sub2900000206.6
Sergio Lozano sub1601212006.6
Dimitris Rallis sub900001106.9
Jeremy Agbonifo sub800000006.5

Korona Kielce player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Hubert Zwoźny9000001306.3
K. Sotiriou9000000106.6
M. Pięczek9000102306.7
A. Mosor9000101006.9
X. Dziekoński9000000006.9
W. Długosz9000310106.3
P. Hellebrand89001012Y7.3
T. Svetlin8400100006.3
D. Błanik8400102206.2
M. Stępiński6700001006.3
Simon Gustafson6700100206.7
M. Remacle sub2300000106.2
Daniel Bak sub2300000106.2
Kamil Jakubczyk sub1100000006.3
K. Ciszek sub1100000006.2
M. Faßbender sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Jagiellonia v Korona Kielce — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
JagielloniaLWWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Korona KielceDDLWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Jagiellonia 3 · 2 draws · Korona Kielce 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-10 Korona Kielce 1–1 Jagiellonia
  • 2025-10-05 Jagiellonia 3–1 Korona Kielce
  • 2025-04-27 Korona Kielce 3–1 Jagiellonia
  • 2024-10-27 Jagiellonia 3–1 Korona Kielce
  • 2024-05-11 Jagiellonia 3–0 Korona Kielce
  • 2023-11-11 Korona Kielce 2–2 Jagiellonia
League standing · 2026/27
Jagiellonia#12 pos12 pts10 pl-4 GD
Korona Kielce#9 pos15 pts11 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Jagiellonia scored1.3
Korona Kielce scored1.18
Jagiellonia conceded1.7
Korona Kielce conceded1.64

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Jagiellonia v Korona Kielce?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Jagiellonia v Korona Kielce was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Jagiellonia and Korona Kielce?
In their last 6 meetings, Jagiellonia won 3, Korona Kielce won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Jagiellonia and Korona Kielce?
Recent form — Jagiellonia 3W 1D 1L; Korona Kielce 1W 3D 1L.

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