Lech Poznan v Raków Częstochowa result

Full-time · Lech Poznan 1–0 Raków Częstochowa

Ekstraklasa · Sun, 06 Sep 2026 16:30 BST · Enea Poznań

Updated 20 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lech Poznan · Raków Częstochowa · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lech Poznan 1–0 Raków Częstochowa — Lech Poznan won this Ekstraklasa match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.57 at Unibet

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 641 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Lech Poznan beat Raków Częstochowa 1–0 at Enea Poznań in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 6 September. Lech Poznan are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions. Raków Częstochowa are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Lech Poznan: L. Bengtsson (71’, assisted by Pablo Rodríguez).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Bengtsson’s goal on 71 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Lech Poznan 2.84, Raków Częstochowa 0.40, from 27 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Damian Kos, Poland showed six yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lech Poznan: Mateusz Skrzypczak (25’), Michał Gurgul (32’) and Wojciech Mońka (90+3’); Raków Częstochowa: Fran Tudor (9’), Tomasz Pieńko (40’) and Mahir Emreli (90+4’).

What it changes

Lech Poznan stay first after this result (six league matches played).

Raków Częstochowa stay 18th after this result (six league matches played).

Lech Poznan have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pablo Rodríguez (Lech Poznan) 6.2, Joel Pereira (Lech Poznan) 6.1 and J. C. Silva (Raków Częstochowa) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.7% of the time in the last 90 days (421 of 641).

Next up

Lech Poznan next host Sunderland on 22 October 2026.

Raków Częstochowa next travel to Wisla Krakow on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lech Poznan: Lech Poznan v Sunderland, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Raków Częstochowa: Wisla Krakow v Raków Częstochowa, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Lech Poznan 1–0 Raków Częstochowa · Ekstraklasa
Venue: Enea Poznań · Poznan
Referee: Damian Kos, Poland
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Lech Poznan 2 · draws 2 · Raków Częstochowa 2 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Lech Poznan 4W 1D 0L · Raków Częstochowa 0W 1D 4L

Lech Poznan 1–0 Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

3.13 / 1.25

Goals

against 0.75 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

6.13 / 4

Corners

against 4.13 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

7.25 / 4

Shots on target

against 3.13 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.5 / 1.88

Cards

against 2.38 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.6 yellows

Referee · Damian Kos, Poland

2 home / 1.6 away

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Lech Poznan for / against	Line	Raków Częstochowa for / against
Goals scored	3.13 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.13 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.13 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	9.63 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	7.25 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.5 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.5 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Damian Kos, Poland — 3.6 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 17 fouls over 5 matches (2 to the home side, 1.6 to the away side).

Home 2Away 1.6

Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Murawski n 8	63.9	2.8 6/5	2.1 6/4	K. Struski
R. Gumny n 8	32.5	2.4 4/2	1 2/1	—
João Moutinho n 8	57.1	1.8 6/3	1 3/1	—
Pablo Rodríguez n 8	71.8	1.7 6/3	2.5 8/5	K. Struski
Allahyar Sayyad n 8	58.5	1.5 7/1	1.9 7/2	—

Lech Poznan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Agnero n 8	41.4	3 7/1	1.9 5/1
M. Ishak n 8	68.5	2.6 7/5	1 5/1
L. Palma n 8	61.5	2.6 8/4	1.1 5/1
Allahyar Sayyad n 8	58.5	2.3 7/4	1.5 7/1
L. Bengtsson n 8	59.4	2.1 5/4	0.8 3/1

Lech Poznan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Ishak n 8	68.5	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0
P. Wålemark n 8	75.3	0.4 2/1	0.3 1/1
L. Palma n 8	61.5	0.2 1/0	0.5 3/0
Allahyar Sayyad n 8	58.5	0.6 3/0	0 0/0
Pablo Rodríguez n 8	71.8	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0

Lech Poznan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Pablo Rodríguez n 8	71.8	2.5 7/4
Joel Pereira n 8	74.3	2.4 6/5
R. Murawski n 8	63.9	2.3 7/3
Allahyar Sayyad n 8	58.5	1.9 5/5
João Moutinho n 8	57.1	1.8 4/3

Lech Poznan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Lis n 8	93.8	2.5 5/3

Raków Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Didí Gaucho n 8	63.9	2.5 6/5	1.1 4/2	—
M. Perović n 8	29.4	1.9 4/1	0.8 2/0	—
A. Brorsson n 8	43.6	1.8 4/2	0.5 2/0	—
K. Struski n 8	59.3	1.7 5/3	2.1 5/4	Pablo Rodríguez
M. Emreli n 8	70	1.6 6/3	0.6 3/1	—

Raków Częstochowa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Emreli n 8	70	2.9 6/5	1.3 5/3
L. Diaby-Fadiga n 8	46.3	2.7 6/4	0.5 2/0
P. Makuch n 8	83.4	2 6/6	0.8 4/2
O. Kwiatkowski n 3	22.3	1.3 1/0	0 0/0
Tomasz Pieńko n 8	72.1	1.2 5/3	0.5 3/0

Raków Częstochowa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Abraham Emmanuel Ojo n 3	24.3	0 0/0	1.2 1/0
L. Diaby-Fadiga n 8	46.3	0.5 2/0	0.5 2/0
M. Emreli n 8	70	0.6 4/0	0.2 1/0
J. C. Silva n 8	76.3	0.3 2/0	0.4 3/0
P. Makuch n 8	83.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0

Raków Częstochowa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
O. Kwiatkowski n 3	22.3	6.7 3/2
M. Perović n 8	29.4	3.4 5/3
Didí Gaucho n 8	63.9	2.5 6/5
Abraham Emmanuel Ojo n 3	24.3	2.5 2/0
F. Tudor n 8	85.4	2.2 5/4

Raków Częstochowa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Trelowski n 8	93.8	3.5 6/5

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Lech Poznan		Raków Częstochowa
52%	Possession	48%
2.84	Expected goals (xG)	0.40
27	Shots	8
6	Shots on target	1
11	Shots off target	5
10	Blocked shots	2
20	Shots inside the box	6
8	Corners	2
1	Offsides	0
15	Fouls	10
3	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	5
438	Passes	400
83%	Pass accuracy	84%

Lech Poznan player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Lis	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
Pablo Rodríguez	90	0	1	1	0	3	2	0	7.9
M. Gurgul	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.9
W. Mońka	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	Y	7.2
R. Murawski	90	0	0	1	0	2	2	0	7.2
Joel Pereira	90	0	0	1	0	7	3	0	10
F. Jagiełło	75	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
Allahyar Sayyad	68	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	7
Y. Agnero	54	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	5.9
M. Skrzypczak	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.6
L. Palma	45	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	6.9
T. Yegbe sub	45	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.3
P. Wålemark sub	45	0	0	2	2	3	0	0	7.6
M. Ishak sub	36	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	6.9
L. Bengtsson sub	22	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	8
Gustav Berggren sub	15	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	6.7

Raków Częstochowa player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
K. Struski	90	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
J. C. Silva	90	0	0	1	3	0	7.3
O. Repka	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Bogdan Racovitan	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
M. Emreli	90	2	0	2	0	Y	6.3
K. Trelowski	90	0	0	0	0	0	8.2
F. Tudor	79	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7
Tomasz Pieńko	79	0	0	0	1	Y	6.2
P. Makuch	79	2	1	1	2	0	7.2
S. Svarnas	76	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Adam Basse	45	1	0	0	1	0	6.9
Á. Molnár	11	0	0	1	0	0	6.4
A. Molnar	11	0	0	1	0	0	6.4
V. Kochergin sub	45	1	0	0	1	0	6.5
I. Brusberg sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
M. Perović sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
J. Jendryka sub	11	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
Adin Molnar sub	11	0	0	1	0	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lech Poznan v Raków Częstochowa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Lech PoznanWWDWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3.8 scored / 1 conceded per game

Raków CzęstochowaLDLLL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1.6 scored / 2.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Lech Poznan 2 · 2 draws · Raków Częstochowa 2 · 3.5 goals/game

2026-03-01 Lech Poznan 4–3 Raków Częstochowa
2025-09-24 Raków Częstochowa 2–2 Lech Poznan
2025-02-14 Lech Poznan 0–1 Raków Częstochowa
2024-08-09 Raków Częstochowa 0–0 Lech Poznan
2024-03-03 Raków Częstochowa 4–0 Lech Poznan
2023-09-28 Lech Poznan 4–1 Raków Częstochowa

League standing · 2026/27

Lech Poznan#2 pos25 pts10 pl+18 GD

Raków Częstochowa#18 pos6 pts11 pl-11 GD

Goals per game

Lech Poznan scored2.7

Raków Częstochowa scored1.36

Lech Poznan conceded0.9

Raków Częstochowa conceded2.36

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Lech Poznan v Raków Częstochowa?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Lech Poznan v Raków Częstochowa was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Lech Poznan and Raków Częstochowa?: In their last 6 meetings, Lech Poznan won 2, Raków Częstochowa won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lech Poznan and Raków Częstochowa?: Recent form — Lech Poznan 4W 1D 0L; Raków Częstochowa 0W 1D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 20 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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