Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznan prediction
Team pages: Legia Warszawa · Lech Poznan · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznan, Ekstraklasa on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT.
The match
Legia Warszawa host Lech Poznan in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 16:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
13 of Lech Poznan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).
Legia Warszawa are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Legia Warszawa have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Six of Legia Warszawa’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Legia Warszawa’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Legia Warszawa have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 0.43. Legia Warszawa have scored 22 goals, the most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Legia Warszawa have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Both teams scored in seven of Lech Poznan’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Lech Poznan have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 1.71. Lech Poznan have scored 21 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lech Poznan have conceded eight goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.
Legia Warszawa (second) and Lech Poznan (third) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lech Poznan the stronger side, 45 rating points above Legia Warszawa (Lech Poznan 1828, Legia Warszawa 1783, after at least 283 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Lech Poznan are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Legia Warszawa. The most recent meeting, on 26 April 2026, finished Lech Poznan 4–0 Legia Warszawa.
Team news
Predicted Legia Warszawa XI (3-4-3): O. Hindrich, R. Augustyniak, K. Piątkowski, R. Deziel, B. Kapustka, P. Wszołek, R. Vinagre, W. Urbański, L. Zjawinski, R. Adamski, J. Kuchta — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, R. Augustyniak (5.9 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and two assists) and Rúben Vinagre (4.3 per match over nine appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Legia Warszawa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Legia Warszawa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Augustyniak averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 996 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Rúben Vinagre averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 768 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.
Predicted Lech Poznan XI (4-4-2): M. Lis, W. Mońka, J. Pereira, M. Gurgul, M. Skrzypczak, R. Murawski, P. Wålemark, P. Rodríguez, A. Sayyad, Y. Agnero, M. Ishak — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pablo Rodríguez (5.2 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and three assists) and P. Wålemark (4.5 per match over 13 appearances, six goals and three assists) have been Lech Poznan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lech Poznan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pablo Rodríguez averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 956 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. P. Wålemark averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 970 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Ekstraklasa · Stadion Wojska Polskiego
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Legia Warszawa 1 · draws 2 · Lech Poznan 3 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Legia Warszawa 3W 2D 0L · Lech Poznan 2W 0D 3L
Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznan (Ekstraklasa): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Legia Warszawa for / against | Line | Lech Poznan for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.38 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.13 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.38 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 17 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.63 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.75 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.5 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Legia Warszawa
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Urbański n 8 | 59.8 | 2.6 | 1.9 | — |
| M. Ševčík n 8 | 54.1 | 2.5 | 1.7 | — |
| B. Viunnyk n 8 | 53.8 | 2.1 | 1.7 | — |
| R. Adamski n 8 | 53 | 1.9 | 3.2 | — |
| K. Chodyna n 8 | 70.4 | 1.8 | 0.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Adamski n 8 | 53 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| M. Rajović n 8 | 17 | 2 | 1.3 |
| L. Zjawinski n 8 | 66.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| J. Kuchta n 8 | 52 | 1.7 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Żewłakow n 8 | 27.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| R. Augustyniak n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| P. Wszołek n 8 | 78.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| M. Rajović n 8 | 17 | 0 | 0.7 |
| R. Adamski n 8 | 53 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Reca n 8 | 19 | 3.6 |
| B. Kapustka n 8 | 85.5 | 3 |
| M. Ševčík n 8 | 54.1 | 2.5 |
| J. Żewłakow n 8 | 27.1 | 2.5 |
| Henrique Arreiol n 8 | 33.3 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| O. Hindrich n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
Lech Poznan
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Gumny n 8 | 33.6 | 2.7 | 0.3 | — |
| R. Murawski n 8 | 82.8 | 2.6 | 1.8 | — |
| Allahyar Sayyad n 8 | 63.4 | 2.3 | 1.6 | — |
| L. Bengtsson n 8 | 37.9 | 1.8 | 0 | — |
| M. Ishak n 8 | 51.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ishak n 8 | 51.1 | 3.7 | 1.8 |
| Y. Agnero n 8 | 33.9 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| L. Palma n 8 | 55.8 | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| P. Wålemark n 8 | 57.3 | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| Pablo Rodríguez n 8 | 73.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Wålemark n 8 | 57.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Allahyar Sayyad n 8 | 63.4 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Pablo Rodríguez n 8 | 73.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| M. Ishak n 8 | 51.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| D. Håkans n 8 | 34.8 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Murawski n 8 | 82.8 | 2.6 |
| Joel Pereira n 8 | 86.4 | 2.1 |
| Pablo Rodríguez n 8 | 73.4 | 1.8 |
| Allahyar Sayyad n 8 | 63.4 | 1.8 |
| Gustav Berggren n 8 | 48.3 | 1.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Lis n 8 | 90 | 3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-26 Lech Poznan 4–0 Legia Warszawa
- 2025-10-26 Legia Warszawa 0–0 Lech Poznan
- 2025-05-11 Legia Warszawa 0–1 Lech Poznan
- 2024-11-10 Lech Poznan 5–2 Legia Warszawa
- 2024-05-12 Lech Poznan 1–2 Legia Warszawa
- 2023-11-12 Legia Warszawa 0–0 Lech Poznan
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznan?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznan is Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Legia Warszawa and Lech Poznan?
- In their last 6 meetings, Legia Warszawa won 1, Lech Poznan won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Legia Warszawa and Lech Poznan?
- Recent form — Legia Warszawa 3W 2D 0L; Lech Poznan 2W 0D 3L.
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