Widzew Łódź v Gornik Zabrze prediction

Ekstraklasa ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Widzew Łódź v Gornik Zabrze, Ekstraklasa on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 19:30 BST.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Widzew Łódź host Gornik Zabrze in the Ekstraklasa on Friday 23 October (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Gornik Zabrze, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Widzew Łódź are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. Gornik Zabrze are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Widzew Łódź’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Widzew Łódź’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Widzew Łódź have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.38. Widzew Łódź have scored 14 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Widzew Łódź have conceded 15 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Eight of Gornik Zabrze’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Gornik Zabrze’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Gornik Zabrze have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.00. Gornik Zabrze have scored 20 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Gornik Zabrze have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Widzew Łódź (14th) and Gornik Zabrze (first) are 16 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gornik Zabrze the stronger side, 276 rating points above Widzew Łódź (Gornik Zabrze 1805, Widzew Łódź 1529, after at least 147 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Gornik Zabrze are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Widzew Łódź. The most recent meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Widzew Łódź 0–0 Gornik Zabrze.

Team news

Predicted Widzew Łódź XI (4-1-4-1): B. Drągowski, S. Kapuadi, M. García, P. Wiśniewski, M. Krajewski, F. Álvarez, E. Kornvig, M. Fornalczyk, G. Papanikolaou, S. Biuk, K. Świderski — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mario García (4.7 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) and J. Shehu (3.7 per match over seven appearances, one assist) have been Widzew Łódź’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Widzew Łódź (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mario García averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 737 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last nine appearances. J. Shehu averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 688 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Gornik Zabrze XI (4-3-3): P. Schulze, R. Janicki, Josema, E. Janža, M. Sacek, K. Urbański, P. Bernardo, J. Kubicki, M. Khlan, J. Antiste, E. Prekop — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Michal Sacek (4.3 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) and K. Urbański (4.1 per match over 15 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Gornik Zabrze’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Gornik Zabrze (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Michal Sacek averages 3.3 tackles per 90 over 1137 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. K. Urbański averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 1185 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ekstraklasa
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Widzew Łódź 1 · draws 3 · Gornik Zabrze 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Widzew Łódź 0W 4D 1L · Gornik Zabrze 3W 2D 0L

Widzew Łódź v Gornik Zabrze (Ekstraklasa): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7.38 / 5.63
Corners
against 5.5 / 3.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5
Shots on target
against 5 / 2.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameWidzew Łódź for / againstLineGornik Zabrze for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
7.38 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
14.38 for · 16.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15.13 for · 10 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 13.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12.75 for · 12.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Bergier n 843.4
3.15/4
2.15/2
—
A. Klukowski n 79.1
2.81/1
00/0
—
Ioan Vermeșan n 816.9
2.72/1
0.71/0
—
G. Papanikolaou n 857.3
2.47/3
1.65/3
—
Dani Silva n 828.5
2.42/2
0.41/0
—
Widzew Łódź — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ioan Vermeșan n 816.9
2.72/2
0.71/0
D. Males n 835.8
2.54/2
1.32/1
M. Fornalczyk n 863.9
2.14/4
0.41/1
G. Papanikolaou n 857.3
24/3
0.42/0
Ángel Baena n 866.1
1.95/5
14/2
Widzew Łódź — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ángel Baena n 866.1
0.73/1
00/0
Mario García n 889.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
Jusuf Gazibegović n 854.8
00/0
0.63/0
S. Bergier n 843.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
D. Males n 835.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
Widzew Łódź — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Selahi n 843.8
3.37/4
G. Papanikolaou n 857.3
2.86/5
S. Akere n 846
2.46/3
Jusuf Gazibegović n 854.8
2.36/4
J. Shehu n 848.8
2.36/2
Widzew Łódź — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Drągowski n 890
3.47/6
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kubicki n 866.3
2.45/4
13/2
—
Sondre Liseth n 847.3
2.44/4
3.67/4
—
Z. Inoussa n 828.8
2.35/1
1.63/1
—
B. Donio n 518
22/0
22/0
—
B. Durdov n 615.3
22/0
00/0
—
Gornik Zabrze — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Maksym Khlan n 872.4
2.87/5
1.46/2
E. Prekop n 825.6
2.63/2
1.32/1
Y. Ikia Dimi n 840
2.34/2
0.31/0
Sondre Liseth n 847.3
1.95/2
1.25/0
Peter n 862.3
1.65/3
0.52/1
Gornik Zabrze — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sondre Liseth n 847.3
0.52/0
0.52/0
E. Prekop n 825.6
0.91/1
00/0
R. Janicki n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
J. Antiste n 842.8
0.52/0
00/0
J. Kubicki n 866.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Gornik Zabrze — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Donio n 518
52/1
B. Durdov n 615.3
3.93/1
M. Sacek n 886
2.67/6
Y. Ikia Dimi n 840
2.34/2
Paulo Bernardo n 870.4
1.86/4
Gornik Zabrze — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Schulze n 890
2.16/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Widzew Łódź v Gornik Zabrze — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Widzew ŁódźDDDLD
Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Gornik ZabrzeWWDWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Widzew Łódź 1 · 3 draws · Gornik Zabrze 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-03-22 Widzew Łódź 0–0 Gornik Zabrze
  • 2025-09-21 Gornik Zabrze 3–2 Widzew Łódź
  • 2025-04-27 Gornik Zabrze 0–0 Widzew Łódź
  • 2024-10-27 Widzew Łódź 0–2 Gornik Zabrze
  • 2024-02-25 Widzew Łódź 3–1 Gornik Zabrze
  • 2023-08-18 Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Widzew Łódź
League standing · 2026/27
Widzew Łódź#14 pos10 pts11 pl-1 GD
Gornik Zabrze#1 pos26 pts11 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Widzew Łódź scored1.27
Gornik Zabrze scored1.82
Widzew Łódź conceded1.36
Gornik Zabrze conceded0.91

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Widzew Łódź v Gornik Zabrze?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Widzew Łódź v Gornik Zabrze is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Widzew Łódź and Gornik Zabrze?
In their last 6 meetings, Widzew Łódź won 1, Gornik Zabrze won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Widzew Łódź and Gornik Zabrze?
Recent form — Widzew Łódź 0W 4D 1L; Gornik Zabrze 3W 2D 0L.

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