Aalesund v Sandefjord prediction

Eliteserien · · Color Line Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Aalesund · Sandefjord · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Aalesund v Sandefjord, Eliteserien on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 470 of 717 times (65.6%), against an average rating of 68.1%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Aalesund host Sandefjord in the Eliteserien on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Sandefjord have scored 22 goals, the fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Aalesund have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Sandefjord are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Aalesund’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 13 of Aalesund’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%). At home, Aalesund have one win, four draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 2.86. Aalesund have scored 40 goals, the seventh-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Aalesund have conceded 53 goals, the second-most of the 16 clubs.

Eight of Sandefjord’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Sandefjord’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Sandefjord have one win, one draw and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.75. Sandefjord have conceded 31 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Aalesund (14th) and Sandefjord (13th) are level on points, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Aalesund the stronger side, 35 rating points above Sandefjord (Aalesund 1519, Sandefjord 1484, after at least 146 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Sandefjord are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Aalesund. The most recent meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Sandefjord 1–0 Aalesund.

Team news

Predicted Aalesund XI (5-3-2): L. Podlech, K. Nessø, C. Diop, U. Charles, M. Andresen, Ó. Guðmundsson, E. Hagen, M. Christensen, S. Kartum, I. Skotheim, H. M. Reed — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mathias Christensen (5.8 per match over 23 appearances, 10 goals and four assists) and Uba Charles (5.2 per match over 23 appearances, one goal and four assists) have been Aalesund’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Aalesund (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Mathias Christensen averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1912 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Uba Charles averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 1799 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Sandefjord XI (4-3-3): E. Hadaya, R. Holten, X. Lambrix, F. Pedersen, G. Højbjerg, S. Mörk, E. Pettersen, T. Børkeeiet, O. Kapskarmo, J. Dunsby, S. Mathisen — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Zinedin Smajlović (4.3 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) and Evangelos Patoulidis (3.5 per match over 24 appearances, four goals) have been Sandefjord’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Sandefjord (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Zinedin Smajlović averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 1262 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last 10 appearances. Evangelos Patoulidis averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 1571 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eliteserien · Color Line Stadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Aalesund 1 · draws 1 · Sandefjord 4 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Aalesund 3W 0D 2L · Sandefjord 1W 1D 3L

Aalesund v Sandefjord (Eliteserien): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.71 / 4.14
Corners
against 9.43 / 5.29 · 4 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6 / 3.86
Shots on target
against 6 / 5.14 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.86 / 2.29
Cards
against 1.43 / 2.43 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAalesund for / againstLineSandefjord for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5our book
1 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.71 for · 9.43 against n 7
9.5standard
4.14 for · 5.29 against n 7
Shots
15.86 for · 19.71 against n 7
19.5standard
15.43 for · 15.57 against n 7
Shots on target
6 for · 6 against n 7
8.5standard
3.86 for · 5.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
13 for · 11 against n 7
21.5standard
14.43 for · 14.29 against n 7
Cards shown
2.86 for · 1.43 against n 7
3.5standard
2.29 for · 2.43 against n 7

Aalesund

Aalesund Goalkeeper

Aalesund — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Kristoffer Klaesson1190990 min413.7 /90201.8 /9010.1 /90
Luca Podlech1190990 min433.9 /90161.5 /9010.1 /90
Tor Erik Larsen290180 min126 /9084 /9000 /90
Aalesund — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aalesund before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Kristoffer Klaesson n 890
48/7
Luca Podlech n 890
3.98/6

Aalesund Defensive

Aalesund — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Uba Charles23781799 min603 /90160.8 /9060.3 /901557.8 /90271.4 /9010.1 /90
K. Nessø23621419 min231.5 /90100.6 /9060.4 /90674.2 /90110.7 /9000 /90
Ólafur Guðmundsson20801595 min352 /90211.2 /9080.5 /90814.6 /90211.2 /9040.2 /90
Marius Andresen1566984 min272.5 /90161.5 /9040.4 /90908.2 /90201.8 /9050.5 /90
Aleksander Kjelsen14841176 min171.3 /90171.3 /90141.1 /90554.2 /90151.1 /9030.2 /90
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Aalesund — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aalesund before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mathias Christensen n 890
2.38/5
0.53/1
—
Uba Charles n 881.3
1.14/3
0.63/1
—
K. Nessø n 881
0.42/1
1.78/4
—
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen n 890
0.42/1
0.53/1
—
Ólafur Guðmundsson n 881.1
1.26/3
0.32/0
—
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Aalesund — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aalesund before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mathias Christensen n 890
1.35/3
Uba Charles n 881.3
3.38/7
K. Nessø n 881
1.45/3
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen n 890
1.58/3
Ólafur Guðmundsson n 881.1
1.55/3
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Aalesund Attacking

Aalesund — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Kristian Lonebu16801272 min50.4 /9010.1 /90251.8 /90181.3 /90161.1 /90100.7 /90
H. M. Reed1373948 min60.6 /9040.4 /90323 /90151.4 /90201.9 /9090.9 /90
Elias Heggland Myrlid724170 min00 /9000 /9021.1 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
I. Skotheim668410 min10.2 /9000 /90112.4 /9061.3 /9040.9 /9030.7 /90
Ivan Djantou444174 min00 /9010.5 /9021 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9010.5 /90
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Aalesund — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aalesund before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mathias Christensen n 890
2.48/5
1.66/3
Uba Charles n 881.3
1.75/4
1.15/3
K. Nessø n 881
0.11/0
00/0
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen n 890
1.88/4
0.64/1
Ólafur Guðmundsson n 881.1
0.64/0
00/0
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Aalesund — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aalesund before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mathias Christensen n 890
0.85/1
0.31/1
Uba Charles n 881.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
K. Nessø n 881
00/0
00/0
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen n 890
0.53/1
00/0
Ólafur Guðmundsson n 881.1
00/0
00/0
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Sandefjord

Sandefjord Goalkeeper

Sandefjord — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Elias Hadaya24882101 min813.5 /90301.3 /9000 /90
Alf Grønneberg15959 min34.6 /9000 /9000 /90
Sandefjord — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sandefjord before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Elias Hadaya n 882.6
3.85/4

Sandefjord Defensive

Sandefjord — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Fredrik Carson Pedersen24832000 min351.6 /90251.1 /90110.5 /90663 /90120.5 /9020.1 /90
Xander Lambrix23892057 min241.1 /90231 /90160.7 /901024.5 /90371.6 /9040.2 /90
Vetle Walle Egeli22801764 min311.6 /90180.9 /9020.1 /90884.5 /90211.1 /9020.1 /90
Zinedin Smajlović1090897 min191.9 /90131.3 /90131.3 /90646.4 /9080.8 /9020.2 /90
Rasmus Holten985765 min131.5 /9091.1 /9080.9 /90424.9 /9080.9 /9010.1 /90
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Sandefjord — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sandefjord before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Sander Risan Mörk n 887.8
16/2
0.42/1
—
Elias Hadaya n 882.6
00/0
0.32/0
—
Fredrik Carson Pedersen n 872.6
0.53/0
0.32/0
—
Xander Lambrix n 888.5
2.26/6
0.96/1
—
Evangelos Patoulidis n 864.4
1.67/2
1.76/3
—
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Sandefjord — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sandefjord before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Sander Risan Mörk n 887.8
1.25/2
Fredrik Carson Pedersen n 872.6
1.25/3
Xander Lambrix n 888.5
28/6
Evangelos Patoulidis n 864.4
2.68/6
Vetle Walle Egeli n 867
1.86/4
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Sandefjord Attacking

Sandefjord — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Nikolaj Möller14761057 min30.3 /9000 /90191.6 /90131.1 /9080.7 /9010.1 /90
Sebastian Holm Mathisen935311 min20.6 /9000 /90113.2 /9061.7 /9030.9 /9020.6 /90
Foster Apetorgbor829232 min10.4 /9020.8 /9031.2 /9020.8 /9062.3 /9020.8 /90
O. Kapskarmo767468 min10.2 /9020.4 /90101.9 /9040.8 /9071.3 /9040.8 /90
Sebastian Holm Mathisen647284 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /9051.6 /9000 /90
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Sandefjord — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sandefjord before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Sander Risan Mörk n 887.8
13/2
0.41/1
Elias Hadaya n 882.6
00/0
00/0
Fredrik Carson Pedersen n 872.6
0.53/0
0.32/0
Xander Lambrix n 888.5
0.42/1
0.11/0
Evangelos Patoulidis n 864.4
1.66/3
0.73/1
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Sandefjord — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sandefjord before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sander Risan Mörk n 887.8
00/0
0.11/0
Elias Hadaya n 882.6
00/0
00/0
Fredrik Carson Pedersen n 872.6
00/0
00/0
Xander Lambrix n 888.5
00/0
00/0
Evangelos Patoulidis n 864.4
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Aalesund v Sandefjord — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AalesundWLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
SandefjordWDLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Aalesund 1 · 1 draw · Sandefjord 4 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-05-03 Sandefjord 1–0 Aalesund
  • 2023-11-06 Aalesund 0–3 Sandefjord
  • 2023-04-30 Sandefjord 4–0 Aalesund
  • 2022-10-23 Aalesund 1–0 Sandefjord
  • 2022-07-12 Sandefjord 2–2 Aalesund
  • 2020-12-02 Aalesund 0–1 Sandefjord
League standing · 2026
Aalesund#14 pos24 pts24 pl-13 GD
Sandefjord#13 pos24 pts24 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Aalesund scored1.67
Sandefjord scored0.92
Aalesund conceded2.21
Sandefjord conceded1.29

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Aalesund v Sandefjord?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Aalesund v Sandefjord is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Aalesund and Sandefjord?
In their last 6 meetings, Aalesund won 1, Sandefjord won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aalesund and Sandefjord?
Recent form — Aalesund 3W 0D 2L; Sandefjord 1W 1D 3L.

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