Brann v Molde prediction

Eliteserien · · Brann Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Brann v Molde, Eliteserien on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 13:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 466 of 713 times (65.4%), against an average rating of 68.1%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Brann host Molde in the Eliteserien on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 13:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

14 of Molde’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (93%).

Brann have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Molde have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Molde are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Brann’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Brann’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Brann have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.29. Brann have scored 42 goals, the sixth-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Brann have conceded 40 goals, the seventh-most of the 16 clubs.

Both teams scored in 14 of Molde’s last 15 results in all competitions (93%). Away from home, Molde have three wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.83 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 2.00. Molde have scored 57 goals, the third-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Molde have conceded 36 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 16 clubs.

Brann (ninth) and Molde (third) are 14 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Molde the stronger side, 255 rating points above Brann (Molde 1737, Brann 1481, after at least 265 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished Molde 1–2 Brann.

Team news

Predicted Brann XI (4-3-3): S. Nilsen, F. Knudsen, J. Soltvedt, N. Kasanwirjo, T. Pedersen, E. Guðmundsson, K. Ingason, J. Sørensen, N. Castro, S. Magnusson, N. Holm — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Niklas Castro (5.0 per match over 13 appearances, five goals and two assists) and Denzel De Roeve (4.5 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Brann’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Brann (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Niklas Castro averages 2.1 shots per 90 over 1009 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Denzel De Roeve averages 3.5 tackles per 90 over 1295 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Molde XI (4-2-3-1): A. Posiadała, M. Linnes, F. Dahl, M. Løvik, E. Haugan, S. Granaas, D. Daga, C. Zady Sery, E. Breivik, S. Kilen, K. Lonebu — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kristian Lonebu (7.6 per match over five appearances, seven goals and one assist) and E. Breivik (6.0 per match over 24 appearances, 10 goals and 10 assists) have been Molde’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Molde (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Kristian Lonebu averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 1530 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. E. Breivik averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 2154 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eliteserien · Brann Stadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Brann 2 · draws 0 · Molde 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Brann 3W 0D 2L · Molde 3W 1D 1L

Brann v Molde (Eliteserien): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 3.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
8.57 / 5.57
Corners
against 4.14 / 5.86 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.71 / 9
Shots on target
against 5.57 / 4.14 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.86 / 1.71
Cards
against 2 / 1.57 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBrann for / againstLineMolde for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5our book
3.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
8.57 for · 4.14 against n 7
9.5standard
5.57 for · 5.86 against n 7
Shots
17.86 for · 15.14 against n 7
19.5standard
19.57 for · 13 against n 7
Shots on target
5.71 for · 5.57 against n 7
8.5standard
9 for · 4.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.57 for · 12.43 against n 7
21.5standard
10.14 for · 10 against n 7
Cards shown
1.86 for · 2 against n 7
3.5standard
1.71 for · 1.57 against n 7

Brann

Brann Goalkeeper

Brann — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Dyngeland14901260 min473.4 /90221.6 /9000 /90
Simen Vidtun Nilsen13901170 min403.1 /90141.1 /9000 /90
Brann — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brann before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dyngeland n 890
47/5
Simen Vidtun Nilsen n 890
3.57/4

Brann Defensive

Brann — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen25842106 min512.2 /90210.9 /90220.9 /901616.9 /90210.9 /9020.1 /90
Joachim Soltvedt25802007 min321.4 /90210.9 /9050.2 /90833.7 /90190.9 /9030.1 /90
Thore Pedersen25681703 min241.3 /90211.1 /9080.4 /90754 /9080.4 /9020.1 /90
Vetle Dragsnes20701406 min241.5 /9080.5 /9070.4 /90553.5 /9060.4 /9010.1 /90
Denzel De Roeve13801036 min443.8 /90121 /9020.2 /90645.6 /90100.9 /9010.1 /90
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Brann — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brann before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen n 884.4
1.15/2
0.53/1
—
Joachim Soltvedt n 870
1.36/2
0.62/2
—
Noah Jean Holm n 869.5
1.95/4
3.17/6
—
Thore Pedersen n 860.4
0.42/0
0.93/2
—
Kristian Eriksen n 856.9
2.46/4
0.21/0
—
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Brann — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brann before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen n 884.4
2.45/5
Joachim Soltvedt n 870
1.66/3
Noah Jean Holm n 869.5
1.14/3
Thore Pedersen n 860.4
0.74/0
Kristian Eriksen n 856.9
26/2
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Brann Attacking

Brann — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Noah Jean Holm25741853 min100.5 /9030.1 /90572.8 /90251.2 /90150.7 /90150.7 /90
Ulrik Mathisen1755934 min10.1 /9040.4 /90111.1 /9040.4 /90121.2 /90121.2 /90
Bård Finne1546690 min30.4 /9020.3 /90192.5 /90121.6 /90121.6 /9030.4 /90
N. Castro13781009 min50.4 /9020.2 /90242.1 /90161.4 /90332.9 /90121.1 /90
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson1269833 min20.2 /9010.1 /9080.9 /9050.5 /90141.5 /90111.2 /90
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Brann — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brann before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen n 884.4
1.15/3
0.32/0
Joachim Soltvedt n 870
1.37/1
00/0
Noah Jean Holm n 869.5
3.28/6
1.34/3
Thore Pedersen n 860.4
00/0
00/0
Kristian Eriksen n 856.9
2.85/3
0.82/1
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Brann — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brann before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Joachim Soltvedt n 870
00/0
0.32/0
Noah Jean Holm n 869.5
0.62/1
0.21/0
Thore Pedersen n 860.4
00/0
00/0
Kristian Eriksen n 856.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
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Molde

Molde Goalkeeper

Molde — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Posiadała20861727 min532.8 /90231.2 /9010.1 /90
M. Kikkenborg486343 min61.6 /9061.6 /9000 /90
P. Lervik19090 min00 /9022 /9000 /90
Molde — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Molde before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Posiadała n 890
2.46/3

Molde Defensive

Molde — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Risa20741478 min140.9 /90110.7 /90130.8 /90623.8 /90100.6 /9010.1 /90
S. Hansen18861556 min291.7 /90271.6 /9090.5 /901247.2 /90191.1 /9020.1 /90
S. Kabini17791335 min342.3 /90191.3 /9070.5 /90704.7 /90171.1 /9040.3 /90
M. Linnes17631071 min332.8 /90131.1 /9040.3 /90736.1 /90110.9 /9020.2 /90
H. Stenevik12901079 min322.7 /90110.9 /9080.7 /90625.2 /90151.3 /9010.1 /90
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Molde — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Molde before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Breivik n 890
0.83/2
0.53/1
—
A. Posiadała n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
B. Risa n 872.5
0.31/1
0.83/2
—
S. Granaas n 886.8
0.64/1
1.27/2
—
S. Hansen n 882
1.46/3
0.43/0
—
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Molde — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Molde before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Breivik n 890
1.66/4
B. Risa n 872.5
1.26/2
S. Granaas n 886.8
1.96/5
S. Hansen n 882
15/2
S. Kabini n 872.9
2.37/4
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Molde Attacking

Molde — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Abdulai16631015 min30.3 /9030.3 /90312.7 /90121.1 /90121.1 /9070.6 /90
Trent Toure Kone Doherty1442582 min60.9 /9010.2 /90203.1 /90152.3 /90111.7 /9030.5 /90
F. Gulbrandsen1154590 min40.6 /9000 /90121.8 /9060.9 /9071.1 /9071.1 /90
Kristian Lonebu552258 min72.4 /9010.3 /90134.5 /90103.5 /9031 /9020.7 /90
I. F. Gosik23365 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.4 /9000 /90
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Molde — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Molde before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Breivik n 890
1.56/3
0.54/0
A. Posiadała n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Risa n 872.5
0.31/1
00/0
S. Granaas n 886.8
1.97/6
0.95/2
S. Hansen n 882
0.43/0
0.11/0
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Molde — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Molde before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Breivik n 890
0.43/0
0.65/0
A. Posiadała n 890
00/0
0.11/0
B. Risa n 872.5
00/0
00/0
S. Granaas n 886.8
0.11/0
0.32/0
S. Hansen n 882
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Brann v Molde — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BrannWLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
MoldeLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Brann 2 · 0 draws · Molde 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-07-18 Molde 1–2 Brann
  • 2025-11-22 Molde 4–0 Brann
  • 2025-05-29 Brann 0–3 Molde
  • 2024-11-23 Molde 2–1 Brann
  • 2024-05-26 Brann 1–3 Molde
  • 2023-10-21 Brann 3–2 Molde
League standing · 2026
Brann#9 pos29 pts24 pl+2 GD
Molde#3 pos43 pts24 pl+21 GD
Goals per game
Brann scored1.75
Molde scored2.38
Brann conceded1.67
Molde conceded1.5

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Brann v Molde?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Brann v Molde is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Brann and Molde?
In their last 6 meetings, Brann won 2, Molde won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brann and Molde?
Recent form — Brann 3W 0D 2L; Molde 3W 1D 1L.

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