Fredrikstad v Brann prediction

Eliteserien · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 18:15 GMT · Nye Fredrikstad Stadion

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 10:43 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fredrikstad · Brann · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Fredrikstad v Brann, Eliteserien on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 18:15 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.53 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Fredrikstad host Brann in the Eliteserien on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 18:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Brann have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Fredrikstad’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Fredrikstad’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Fredrikstad have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 1.29. Fredrikstad have scored 29 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far, after 25 games). Fredrikstad have conceded 44 goals, the sixth-most of the 16 clubs.

Nine of Brann’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Brann’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Brann have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.38. Brann have scored 45 goals, the fifth-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far, after 25 games). Brann have conceded 42 goals, the seventh-most of the 16 clubs.

Brann are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Fredrikstad (11th) and Brann (seventh) are three points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Brann the stronger side, 32 rating points above Fredrikstad (Brann 1549, Fredrikstad 1517, after at least 85 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Brann 3–1 Fredrikstad.

Team news

Predicted Fredrikstad XI (3-4-3): M. Borsheim, I. Amundsen, S. Owusu, F. Holmé, S. Holm, M. Nilsson, D. Eid, S. Sørløkk, H. Skogvold, B. Fiabema, L. West — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (4.4 per match over 16 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Rocco Robert Shein (4.0 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Fredrikstad’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Fredrikstad (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Oskar Øhlenschlaeger averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 1465 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Rocco Robert Shein averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 1508 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Brann XI (4-3-3): S. Nilsen, F. Knudsen, J. Soltvedt, J. Torsvik, N. Kasanwirjo, K. Ingason, N. Wassberg, E. Guðmundsson, N. Holm, N. Castro, S. Magnusson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Niklas Castro (4.7 per match over 15 appearances, five goals and two assists) and Denzel De Roeve (4.5 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Brann’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Brann (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Niklas Castro averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 1161 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Denzel De Roeve averages 3.4 tackles per 90 over 1336 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 18:15 GMT · Eliteserien · Nye Fredrikstad Stadion
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Fredrikstad 2 · draws 0 · Brann 4 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: Fredrikstad 1W 1D 3L · Brann 3W 1D 1L

Fredrikstad v Brann (Eliteserien): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.88

Goals

against 2.25 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5.14 / 8.71

Corners

against 4.86 / 3.57 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.71 / 6.29

Shots on target

against 4.71 / 4.86 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.86 / 2

Cards

against 1.86 / 2.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Fredrikstad for / against	Line	Brann for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.14 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	8.71 for · 3.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	13.43 for · 14.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	18.29 for · 14.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.71 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	6.29 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.43 for · 10.43 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.14 for · 12.43 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.86 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5

Fredrikstad

Fredrikstad Goalkeeper

Fredrikstad — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Martin Borsheim	25	902250 min	803.2 /90	361.4 /90	00 /90

Fredrikstad — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fredrikstad before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Martin Borsheim n 8	90	2.6 5/4

Fredrikstad Defensive

Fredrikstad — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Fredrik Holmé	22	861886 min	241.1 /90	271.3 /90	231.1 /90	844 /90	170.8 /90	30.1 /90
Ulrik Fredriksen	21	811691 min	251.3 /90	150.8 /90	281.5 /90	794.2 /90	90.5 /90	10.1 /90
Simen Rafn	15	61916 min	111.1 /90	70.7 /90	50.5 /90	383.7 /90	101 /90	30.3 /90
S. Owusu	14	61848 min	121.3 /90	121.3 /90	30.3 /90	333.5 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem	13	49642 min	172.4 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90	415.7 /90	91.3 /90	20.3 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Fredrikstad — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fredrikstad before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Martin Borsheim n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Henrik Langaas Skogvold n 8	73.9	1.1 4/2	0.9 6/0	—
Daniel Eid n 8	89.1	0.8 6/0	0.8 4/2	—
Fredrik Holmé n 8	90	0.6 3/1	0.5 2/1	—
Ulrik Fredriksen n 8	67.4	0.3 2/0	0.8 3/2	—
See more players · Pro

Fredrikstad — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fredrikstad before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Henrik Langaas Skogvold n 8	73.9	2 6/5
Daniel Eid n 8	89.1	1.8 7/4
Fredrik Holmé n 8	90	0.8 3/2
Ulrik Fredriksen n 8	67.4	1.7 6/3
Samuel Leach Holm n 8	75.8	2.1 5/5
See more players · Pro

Fredrikstad Attacking

Fredrikstad — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Henrik Langaas Skogvold	25	731818 min	00 /90	20.1 /90	321.6 /90	120.6 /90	190.9 /90	140.7 /90
Benjamin Faraas	15	56842 min	30.3 /90	00 /90	171.8 /90	60.6 /90	80.9 /90	171.8 /90
J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez	10	40398 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	71.6 /90	51.1 /90	51.1 /90	00 /90
B. Fiabema	7	68475 min	30.6 /90	00 /90	71.3 /90	30.6 /90	101.9 /90	30.6 /90
L. West	6	61363 min	00 /90	00 /90	71.7 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	61.5 /90
See more players · Pro

Fredrikstad — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fredrikstad before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Martin Borsheim n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Henrik Langaas Skogvold n 8	73.9	1.5 7/3	0.5 3/0
Daniel Eid n 8	89.1	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0
Fredrik Holmé n 8	90	0.6 2/1	0.1 1/0
Ulrik Fredriksen n 8	67.4	0.8 5/0	0.3 2/0
See more players · Pro

Fredrikstad — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fredrikstad before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Martin Borsheim n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Henrik Langaas Skogvold n 8	73.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Daniel Eid n 8	89.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Fredrik Holmé n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Ulrik Fredriksen n 8	67.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Brann

Brann Goalkeeper

Brann — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Simen Vidtun Nilsen	15	901350 min	463.1 /90	151 /90	00 /90
M. Dyngeland	14	901260 min	473.4 /90	221.6 /90	00 /90

Brann — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brann before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Simen Vidtun Nilsen n 8	90	3.4 7/4
M. Dyngeland n 8	90	4 7/5

Brann Defensive

Brann — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen	27	852286 min	552.2 /90	240.9 /90	240.9 /90	1706.7 /90	220.9 /90	30.1 /90
Joachim Soltvedt	27	782113 min	331.4 /90	220.9 /90	50.2 /90	853.6 /90	200.9 /90	30.1 /90
Thore Pedersen	27	661793 min	251.3 /90	201 /90	80.4 /90	794 /90	90.5 /90	30.2 /90
Vetle Dragsnes	20	701406 min	241.5 /90	80.5 /90	70.4 /90	553.5 /90	60.4 /90	10.1 /90
Denzel De Roeve	13	801036 min	443.8 /90	121 /90	20.2 /90	645.6 /90	100.9 /90	10.1 /90
See more players · Pro

Brann — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brann before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen n 8	84.4	1.1 5/2	0.9 5/2	—
Joachim Soltvedt n 8	61.6	1.3 5/2	0.7 2/2	—
Noah Jean Holm n 8	72.9	1.7 5/3	2.6 7/7	—
Thore Pedersen n 8	54.8	0.4 2/0	1 3/2	—
Kristian Eriksen n 8	45.6	1.7 5/2	0.5 2/0	—
See more players · Pro

Brann — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brann before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen n 8	84.4	2.1 5/5
Joachim Soltvedt n 8	61.6	1.6 6/2
Noah Jean Holm n 8	72.9	1.1 5/2
Thore Pedersen n 8	54.8	0.8 4/0
Kristian Eriksen n 8	45.6	2.7 6/3
See more players · Pro

Brann Attacking

Brann — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Noah Jean Holm	27	752033 min	110.5 /90	30.1 /90	602.7 /90	261.2 /90	180.8 /90	180.8 /90
Ulrik Mathisen	19	551042 min	20.2 /90	50.4 /90	151.3 /90	60.5 /90	151.3 /90	151.3 /90
N. Castro	15	771161 min	50.4 /90	20.2 /90	262 /90	171.3 /90	352.7 /90	120.9 /90
Bård Finne	15	46690 min	30.4 /90	20.3 /90	192.5 /90	121.6 /90	121.6 /90	30.4 /90
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson	12	69833 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	80.9 /90	50.5 /90	141.5 /90	111.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Brann — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brann before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen n 8	84.4	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0
Joachim Soltvedt n 8	61.6	1.3 6/1	0 0/0
Noah Jean Holm n 8	72.9	2.9 7/6	1.1 4/2
Thore Pedersen n 8	54.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Kristian Eriksen n 8	45.6	3 4/2	1 2/1
See more players · Pro

Brann — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brann before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Joachim Soltvedt n 8	61.6	0 0/0	0.5 3/0
Noah Jean Holm n 8	72.9	0.8 3/1	0.2 1/0
Thore Pedersen n 8	54.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Kristian Eriksen n 8	45.6	0.5 2/0	0.5 2/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fredrikstad v Brann — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FredrikstadDLLWL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2.8 conceded per game

BrannWLWWD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Fredrikstad 2 · 0 draws · Brann 4 · 3.33 goals/game

2026-05-02 Brann 3–1 Fredrikstad
2025-09-28 Brann 1–0 Fredrikstad
2025-03-29 Fredrikstad 3–0 Brann
2024-08-18 Fredrikstad 0–4 Brann
2024-04-07 Brann 0–2 Fredrikstad
2022-06-30 Brann 6–0 Fredrikstad

League standing · 2026

Fredrikstad#11 pos29 pts25 pl-15 GD

Brann#7 pos32 pts25 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Fredrikstad scored1.16

Brann scored1.8

Fredrikstad conceded1.76

Brann conceded1.68

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Fredrikstad v Brann?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Fredrikstad v Brann is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.53 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Fredrikstad and Brann?: In their last 6 meetings, Fredrikstad won 2, Brann won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fredrikstad and Brann?: Recent form — Fredrikstad 1W 1D 3L; Brann 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 10:43 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.