Fredrikstad v Rosenborg prediction

Eliteserien · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT · Fredrikstad Stadion

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 19:36 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fredrikstad · Rosenborg · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Fredrikstad v Rosenborg, Eliteserien on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.67 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 462 of 707 times (65.3%), against an average rating of 68.2%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Fredrikstad host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

13 of Rosenborg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Fredrikstad have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions. Rosenborg have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Rosenborg are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Fredrikstad.

Form and the table

Seven of Fredrikstad’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Fredrikstad’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Fredrikstad have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00. Fredrikstad have scored 29 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Fredrikstad have conceded 41 goals, the sixth-most of the 16 clubs.

Both teams scored in eight of Rosenborg’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Rosenborg have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 2.57 and conceding 1.14. Rosenborg have scored 46 goals, the fourth-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Rosenborg have conceded 31 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Fredrikstad (11th) and Rosenborg (fourth) are 11 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rosenborg the stronger side, 337 rating points above Fredrikstad (Rosenborg 1880, Fredrikstad 1543, after at least 84 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 27 July 2026, finished Rosenborg 4–0 Fredrikstad.

Team news

Predicted Fredrikstad XI (3-4-3): M. Borsheim, F. Holmé, I. Amundsen, S. Owusu, S. Sørløkk, S. Holm, M. Nilsson, D. Eid, B. Fiabema, H. Skogvold, L. West — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Oskar Øhlenschlaeger (4.4 per match over 16 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Rocco Robert Shein (4.0 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Fredrikstad’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Fredrikstad (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Oskar Øhlenschlaeger averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1390 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Rocco Robert Shein averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 1508 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Rosenborg XI (4-4-2): L. Wahlstedt, M. Ceide, A. Pereira, A. Witry, T. Nemčík, M. Bomholt, O. Selnaes, N. Sahsah, M. Kjølø, E. Ceide, A. Chiakha — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Amin Chiakha (5.8 per match over 23 appearances, 15 goals and four assists) and Ole Selnaes (4.9 per match over 20 appearances, one goal and eight assists) have been Rosenborg’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Rosenborg (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Amin Chiakha averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 1948 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Ole Selnaes averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1499 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT · Eliteserien · Fredrikstad Stadion
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Fredrikstad 1 · draws 2 · Rosenborg 3 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Fredrikstad 1W 2D 2L · Rosenborg 3W 1D 1L

Fredrikstad v Rosenborg (Eliteserien): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 2.75

Goals

against 2 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

5 / 5.71

Corners

against 5.71 / 5 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.29 / 7.57

Shots on target

against 4.86 / 5.14 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.86 / 1.86

Cards

against 1.71 / 2.14 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Fredrikstad for / against	Line	Rosenborg for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.71 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	13.29 for · 14.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	17.86 for · 13.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.29 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	7.57 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.71 for · 10.43 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	15.29 for · 12.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.86 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.86 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5

Fredrikstad

Fredrikstad Goalkeeper

Fredrikstad — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Martin Borsheim	24	902160 min	793.3 /90	361.5 /90	00 /90

Fredrikstad — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fredrikstad before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Martin Borsheim n 8	90	2.9 6/5

Fredrikstad Defensive

Fredrikstad — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Fredrik Holmé	22	861886 min	241.1 /90	271.3 /90	231.1 /90	844 /90	170.8 /90	30.1 /90
Ulrik Fredriksen	20	801601 min	241.3 /90	150.8 /90	271.5 /90	764.3 /90	80.4 /90	10.1 /90
Simen Rafn	15	61916 min	111.1 /90	70.7 /90	50.5 /90	383.7 /90	101 /90	30.3 /90
S. Owusu	13	60778 min	111.3 /90	121.4 /90	30.3 /90	313.6 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem	13	49642 min	172.4 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90	415.7 /90	91.3 /90	20.3 /90

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Fredrikstad — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fredrikstad before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Martin Borsheim n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Henrik Langaas Skogvold n 8	73.9	0.9 3/2	1.1 6/1	—
Daniel Eid n 8	90	0.8 6/0	0.8 4/2	—
Fredrik Holmé n 8	90	0.6 3/1	0.5 2/1	—
Ulrik Fredriksen n 8	67.4	0.3 2/0	0.7 3/1	—

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Fredrikstad — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fredrikstad before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Henrik Langaas Skogvold n 8	73.9	1.7 5/4
Daniel Eid n 8	90	1.5 6/3
Fredrik Holmé n 8	90	0.8 3/2
Ulrik Fredriksen n 8	67.4	1.8 6/4
Samuel Leach Holm n 8	71.1	1.7 4/4

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Fredrikstad Attacking

Fredrikstad — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Henrik Langaas Skogvold	24	721728 min	00 /90	20.1 /90	311.6 /90	120.6 /90	180.9 /90	120.6 /90
Benjamin Faraas	14	57797 min	30.3 /90	00 /90	151.7 /90	50.6 /90	80.9 /90	171.9 /90
J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez	9	42378 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	71.7 /90	51.2 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
B. Fiabema	6	72430 min	30.6 /90	00 /90	81.7 /90	30.6 /90	81.7 /90	30.6 /90
L. West	5	62308 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.8 /90	30.9 /90	20.6 /90	61.8 /90

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Fredrikstad — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fredrikstad before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Martin Borsheim n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Henrik Langaas Skogvold n 8	73.9	1.4 6/3	0.5 3/0
Daniel Eid n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
Fredrik Holmé n 8	90	0.6 2/1	0.1 1/0
Ulrik Fredriksen n 8	67.4	0.7 4/0	0.3 2/0

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Fredrikstad — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fredrikstad before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Martin Borsheim n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Henrik Langaas Skogvold n 8	73.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Daniel Eid n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Fredrik Holmé n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Ulrik Fredriksen n 8	67.4	0 0/0	0 0/0

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Rosenborg

Rosenborg Goalkeeper

Rosenborg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Leopold Wahlstedt	24	902160 min	763.2 /90	241 /90	00 /90

Rosenborg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rosenborg before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Leopold Wahlstedt n 8	90	3 6/5

Rosenborg Defensive

Rosenborg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Tomáš Nemčík	20	891779 min	371.9 /90	191 /90	80.4 /90	804 /90	221.1 /90	40.2 /90
Aslak Witry	19	641219 min	171.3 /90	191.4 /90	10.1 /90	443.2 /90	100.7 /90	40.3 /90
Adrian Nilsen Pereira	18	641158 min	262 /90	221.7 /90	20.2 /90	765.9 /90	282.2 /90	20.2 /90
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide	16	891427 min	191.2 /90	191.2 /90	130.8 /90	523.3 /90	70.4 /90	10.1 /90
J. Svensson	15	59892 min	343.4 /90	161.6 /90	10.1 /90	636.4 /90	181.8 /90	30.3 /90

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Rosenborg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rosenborg before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Leopold Wahlstedt n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.4 1/1	—
Mads Bomholt n 8	89.6	1.5 6/4	0.6 4/1	—
Emil Konradsen Ceide n 8	85.4	0.5 3/1	1.7 7/4	—
Amin Chiakha n 8	86.9	3.4 8/6	2.1 8/5	—
Tomáš Nemčík n 8	88.5	1.4 5/5	0.5 3/1	—

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Rosenborg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rosenborg before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Mads Bomholt n 8	89.6	1.5 8/3
Emil Konradsen Ceide n 8	85.4	0.8 5/1
Amin Chiakha n 8	86.9	1.6 6/5
Tomáš Nemčík n 8	88.5	1.9 6/3
Ole Selnaes n 8	86.4	3.5 8/7

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Rosenborg Attacking

Rosenborg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Emil Konradsen Ceide	24	831997 min	60.3 /90	60.3 /90	391.8 /90	221 /90	462.1 /90	341.5 /90
Amin Chiakha	23	851948 min	150.7 /90	40.2 /90	572.6 /90	291.3 /90	190.9 /90	271.2 /90
Dino Islamović	10	54539 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	132.2 /90	61 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90
J. Reitan-Sunde	5	23115 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	21.6 /90	10.8 /90
Maciej Soboczynski	3	34101 min	00 /90	00 /90	54.5 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	21.8 /90

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Rosenborg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rosenborg before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Leopold Wahlstedt n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mads Bomholt n 8	89.6	1.9 7/5	1 5/2
Emil Konradsen Ceide n 8	85.4	2.2 7/5	1.3 7/3
Amin Chiakha n 8	86.9	4 8/8	1.8 7/4
Tomáš Nemčík n 8	88.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0

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Rosenborg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rosenborg before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Leopold Wahlstedt n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mads Bomholt n 8	89.6	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
Emil Konradsen Ceide n 8	85.4	0.5 4/0	0.4 3/0
Amin Chiakha n 8	86.9	1 7/1	0.5 4/0
Tomáš Nemčík n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0 0/0

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fredrikstad v Rosenborg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FredrikstadDDLLW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

RosenborgWDWWL

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Fredrikstad 1 · 2 draws · Rosenborg 3 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-07-27 Rosenborg 4–0 Fredrikstad
2025-05-28 Fredrikstad 0–2 Rosenborg
2025-04-05 Rosenborg 1–0 Fredrikstad
2024-07-27 Fredrikstad 2–2 Rosenborg
2024-06-02 Rosenborg 1–1 Fredrikstad
2024-05-01 Fredrikstad 1–0 Rosenborg

League standing · 2026

Fredrikstad#11 pos29 pts24 pl-12 GD

Rosenborg#4 pos40 pts24 pl+15 GD

Goals per game

Fredrikstad scored1.21

Rosenborg scored1.92

Fredrikstad conceded1.71

Rosenborg conceded1.29

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Fredrikstad v Rosenborg?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Fredrikstad v Rosenborg is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.67 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Fredrikstad and Rosenborg?: In their last 6 meetings, Fredrikstad won 1, Rosenborg won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fredrikstad and Rosenborg?: Recent form — Fredrikstad 1W 2D 2L; Rosenborg 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 28 Oct 2026, 19:36 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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