Rosenborg v Start prediction

Eliteserien · · Lerkendal Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rosenborg · Start · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Rosenborg v Start, Eliteserien on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 254 landed (95% range 73.7–83.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 161 of 243 times (66.3%), against an average rating of 68.2%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Rosenborg host Start in the Eliteserien on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Rosenborg to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Start have conceded 54 goals, the most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Rosenborg have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Rosenborg are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Start, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

13 of Rosenborg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in seven of Rosenborg’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Rosenborg have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.86 and conceding 1.00. Rosenborg have scored 46 goals, the fourth-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Rosenborg have conceded 31 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.

10 of Start’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in seven of Start’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Start have one win, no draws and five defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.83 and conceding 2.67. Start have scored 26 goals, the third-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far).

Rosenborg (fourth) and Start (16th) are 21 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rosenborg the stronger side, 475 rating points above Start (Rosenborg 1880, Start 1405, after at least 84 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 July 2026, finished Start 0–3 Rosenborg.

Team news

Predicted Rosenborg XI (4-4-2): L. Wahlstedt, M. Ceide, T. Nemčík, A. Witry, A. Pereira, M. Bomholt, O. Selnaes, N. Sahsah, J. Svensson, E. Ceide, A. Chiakha — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Amin Chiakha (6.1 per match over 24 appearances, 17 goals and four assists) and Ole Selnaes (4.8 per match over 21 appearances, one goal and eight assists) have been Rosenborg’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Rosenborg (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Amin Chiakha averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 2041 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Ole Selnaes averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1589 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Start XI (5-3-2): M. Sjøeng, E. Reitan, G. Aske, J. Norheim, D. Dashaev, O. Toure, S. Mvoué, M. Ugland, E. Segberg, J. Cornelius, N. Koutsakos — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Tom Strannegård (4.1 per match over 17 appearances, two goals and three assists) and Mikael Ugland (3.8 per match over 22 appearances, two assists) have been Start’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Start (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Tom Strannegård averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 2080 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Mikael Ugland averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1602 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eliteserien · Lerkendal Stadion
  • Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Rosenborg 4 · draws 1 · Start 0 · 1.4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rosenborg 3W 1D 1L · Start 2W 0D 3L

Rosenborg v Start (Eliteserien): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.88 / 1.25
Goals
against 0.88 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 5.88
Corners
against 3.86 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
7.71 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 4.57 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.14 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.14 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
242
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRosenborg for / againstLineStart for / against
Goals scored
2.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 3.86 against n 7
9.5standard
5.88 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
18.86 for · 11.71 against n 7
19.5standard
16.25 for · 16.88 against n 8
Shots on target
7.71 for · 4.57 against n 7
8.5standard
3.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.86 for · 14 against n 7
21.5standard
10.63 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.14 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8

Rosenborg

Rosenborg Goalkeeper

Rosenborg — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Leopold Wahlstedt25902250 min803.2 /90241 /9000 /90
Rosenborg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rosenborg before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Leopold Wahlstedt n 890
3.57/6

Rosenborg Defensive

Rosenborg — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Tomáš Nemčík21891869 min381.8 /90190.9 /9090.4 /90823.9 /90231.1 /9040.2 /90
Aslak Witry20641275 min201.4 /90211.5 /9010.1 /90483.4 /90120.8 /9050.4 /90
Adrian Nilsen Pereira18641158 min262 /90221.7 /9020.2 /90776 /90282.2 /9020.2 /90
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide17891517 min211.2 /90201.2 /90130.8 /90563.3 /9080.5 /9010.1 /90
J. Svensson1661982 min363.3 /90161.5 /9030.3 /90676.1 /90211.9 /9030.3 /90
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Rosenborg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rosenborg before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Leopold Wahlstedt n 890
0.32/0
0.41/1
—
Mads Bomholt n 889.6
1.35/3
15/2
—
Emil Konradsen Ceide n 886.8
0.53/1
1.77/4
—
Amin Chiakha n 887.3
2.88/6
2.18/5
—
Tomáš Nemčík n 888.5
1.35/4
0.42/1
—
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Rosenborg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rosenborg before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mads Bomholt n 889.6
1.47/3
Emil Konradsen Ceide n 886.8
0.96/1
Amin Chiakha n 887.3
1.76/6
Tomáš Nemčík n 888.5
1.76/2
Ole Selnaes n 886.4
3.18/7
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Rosenborg Attacking

Rosenborg — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Emil Konradsen Ceide25832087 min60.3 /9070.3 /90391.7 /90220.9 /90492.1 /90341.5 /90
Amin Chiakha24852041 min170.7 /9040.2 /90622.7 /90321.4 /90200.9 /90271.2 /90
Dino Islamović1054539 min20.3 /9000 /90132.2 /9061 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
J. Reitan-Sunde625149 min00 /9000 /9053 /9010.6 /9021.2 /9021.2 /90
Maciej Soboczynski334101 min00 /9000 /9054.5 /9010.9 /9000 /9021.8 /90
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Rosenborg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rosenborg before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Leopold Wahlstedt n 890
00/0
00/0
Mads Bomholt n 889.6
1.67/4
0.85/1
Emil Konradsen Ceide n 886.8
1.96/4
16/2
Amin Chiakha n 887.3
4.38/8
1.97/4
Tomáš Nemčík n 888.5
0.53/1
00/0
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Rosenborg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rosenborg before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Leopold Wahlstedt n 890
00/0
00/0
Mads Bomholt n 889.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
Emil Konradsen Ceide n 886.8
0.43/0
0.54/0
Amin Chiakha n 887.3
1.27/2
0.43/0
Tomáš Nemčík n 888.5
00/0
00/0
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Start

Start Goalkeeper

Start — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jacob Pryts16901440 min392.4 /90372.3 /9010.1 /90
F. Manojlovic490360 min164 /9041 /9000 /90
Magnus Smelhus Sjøeng490360 min112.8 /90133.3 /9000 /90
Start — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Start before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jacob Pryts n 890
26/2
F. Manojlovic n 490
43/2

Start Defensive

Start — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Erlend Dahl Reitan23861969 min301.4 /90140.6 /90150.7 /90964.4 /90170.8 /9070.3 /90
Ousmane Diallo Toure20691379 min513.3 /90140.9 /9030.2 /90915.9 /90161 /9050.3 /90
Tom Strannegård17891509 min311.8 /90140.8 /9020.1 /90764.5 /90150.9 /9000 /90
John Olav Norheim17871485 min281.7 /90211.3 /90201.2 /901187.2 /90181.1 /9020.1 /90
Omar Jebali1082818 min171.9 /90121.3 /9050.6 /90374.1 /90111.2 /9010.1 /90
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Start — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Start before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Hakon Lorentzen n 865.8
0.53/0
0.73/1
—
Erlend Dahl Reitan n 879.1
1.15/2
26/5
—
Jesper Cornelius n 875.5
0.94/2
0.73/1
—
Erlend Segberg n 890
16/2
1.16/2
—
Mikael Ugland n 863
1.36/1
1.15/1
—
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Start — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Start before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Hakon Lorentzen n 865.8
2.25/3
Erlend Dahl Reitan n 879.1
1.46/3
Jesper Cornelius n 875.5
0.74/1
Erlend Segberg n 890
1.66/6
Mikael Ugland n 863
4.38/8
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Start Attacking

Start — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Hakon Lorentzen24681626 min40.2 /9030.2 /90291.6 /90130.7 /90211.2 /9070.4 /90
Jesper Cornelius23781783 min50.3 /9020.1 /90472.4 /90150.8 /90170.9 /90221.1 /90
James Ampofo1248579 min00 /9000 /90203.1 /9060.9 /9060.9 /9071.1 /90
N. Koutsakos752366 min00 /9000 /90133.2 /9041 /9020.5 /9061.5 /90
Alexander Gurendal31853 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.7 /90
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Start — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Start before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Hakon Lorentzen n 865.8
1.76/3
15/1
Erlend Dahl Reitan n 879.1
0.74/1
0.43/0
Jesper Cornelius n 875.5
3.38/6
0.73/2
Erlend Segberg n 890
0.95/1
0.53/1
Mikael Ugland n 863
1.13/3
0.21/0
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Start — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Start before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Hakon Lorentzen n 865.8
0.32/0
00/0
Erlend Dahl Reitan n 879.1
0.11/0
00/0
Jesper Cornelius n 875.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
Erlend Segberg n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
Mikael Ugland n 863
00/0
0.21/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rosenborg v Start — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RosenborgDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
StartWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Rosenborg 4 · 1 draw · Start 0 · 1.4 goals/game
  • 2026-07-18 Start 0–3 Rosenborg
  • 2020-11-01 Rosenborg 1–0 Start
  • 2020-07-16 Start 0–0 Rosenborg
  • 2018-11-11 Start 0–1 Rosenborg
  • 2018-04-22 Rosenborg 2–0 Start
League standing · 2026
Rosenborg#4 pos40 pts24 pl+15 GD
Start#16 pos19 pts24 pl-28 GD
Goals per game
Rosenborg scored1.92
Start scored1.08
Rosenborg conceded1.29
Start conceded2.25

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Rosenborg v Start?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rosenborg v Start is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Rosenborg and Start?
In their last 5 meetings, Rosenborg won 4, Start won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rosenborg and Start?
Recent form — Rosenborg 3W 1D 1L; Start 2W 0D 3L.

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