Valerenga v Aalesund result

Full-time · Valerenga 6–1 Aalesund

Eliteserien · · Intility Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Valerenga · Aalesund · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Valerenga 6–1 Aalesund — Valerenga won this Eliteserien match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.46 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 394 of 600 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Valerenga beat Aalesund 6–1 at Intility Arena in the Eliteserien on Thursday 16 July. Aalesund have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Valerenga led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Valerenga: Lucas Haren (39’, assisted by Henrik Bjørdal; 42’, assisted by Filip Thorvaldsen), Filip Thorvaldsen (45’, assisted by Mathias Grundetjern; 53’, assisted by Henrik Bjørdal) and M. Ofkir (83’, assisted by Henrik Bjørdal; 89’, assisted by Kolbeinn Finnsson); Aalesund: Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (74’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lucas Haren’s goal on 39 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Valerenga 2.18, Aalesund 1.51, from 22 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Daniel Higraff, Norway showed no yellow cards — against 2.0 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Valerenga move up from 10th to eighth (13 league matches played).

Aalesund move down from 12th to 14th (13 league matches played).

Valerenga’s five-goal margin was the biggest of round 14, across eight matches. Aalesund are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Henrik Bjørdal (Valerenga) 15.3, Filip Thorvaldsen (Valerenga) 13.8 and Lucas Haren (Valerenga) 10.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Valerenga next travel to Bodo/Glimt on 24 October 2026.

Aalesund next travel to Sarpsborg 08 FF on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Valerenga: Bodo/Glimt v Valerenga, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Aalesund: Sarpsborg 08 FF v Aalesund, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Valerenga 6–1 Aalesund · Eliteserien
  • Venue: Intility Arena · Oslo
  • Referee: Daniel Higraff, Norway
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Valerenga 3 · draws 3 · Aalesund 0 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Valerenga 2W 0D 3L · Aalesund 2W 3D 0L

Valerenga 6–1 Aalesund (Eliteserien): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
7.63 / 5
Corners
against 3.38 / 7.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.88 / 4.71
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 5.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.13 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.25 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2 yellows
Referee · Daniel Higraff, Norway
0.5 home / 1.5 away
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameValerenga for / againstLineAalesund for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.25our book
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
7.63 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 7.29 against n 7
Shots
16.13 for · 13.63 against n 8
19.5standard
15.43 for · 16.29 against n 7
Shots on target
4.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.71 for · 5.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 8 against n 8
21.5standard
14 for · 10.14 against n 7
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Daniel Higraff, Norway — 2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 18.17 fouls over 6 matches (0.5 to the home side, 1.5 to the away side).

Valerenga
Valerenga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Gabriel Rajkovic n 611.7
3.93/0
1.31/0
—
Magnus Westergaard n 865.9
27/3
0.52/1
—
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad n 834.4
23/1
1.33/1
—
Ambina Fidèle Brice n 835.6
1.93/2
1.94/1
Mathias Christensen
Petter Strand n 829
1.63/1
0.41/0
—
Valerenga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gabriel Rajkovic n 611.7
5.13/1
1.31/0
Elias Sørensen n 848.1
2.15/2
1.23/1
Filip Thorvaldsen n 866
27/4
0.93/2
Mathias Grundetjern n 875.9
1.96/4
0.95/1
Henrik Bjørdal n 884.1
1.78/4
0.85/1
Valerenga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Ofkir n 876.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
Lucas Haren n 862.5
0.53/0
00/0
Mathias Grundetjern n 875.9
0.11/0
0.32/0
Petter Strand n 829
00/0
0.41/0
Henrik Bjørdal n 884.1
00/0
0.32/0
Valerenga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ambina Fidèle Brice n 835.6
3.85/3
Petter Strand n 829
3.54/2
Odin Thiago Holm n 825.5
3.13/1
Kolbeinn Finnsson n 890
2.67/7
Magnus Westergaard n 865.9
2.46/4
Valerenga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Oscar Hedvall n 890
3.27/5
Aalesund
Aalesund — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Elias Heggland Myrlid n 810.3
3.33/0
00/0
—
Mathias Christensen n 877
2.97/6
1.27/1
Ambina Fidèle Brice
Ulrik Syversen n 751.1
2.34/3
0.82/1
—
Uba Charles n 877.4
26/5
0.31/1
—
Emil Engqvist n 644.5
23/2
0.31/0
—
Aalesund — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. M. Reed n 567
2.43/2
1.12/2
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson n 853.3
2.35/3
0.63/0
Elias Heggland Myrlid n 810.3
2.22/0
1.11/0
Kristian Lonebu n 887.5
1.77/3
1.27/2
Ivan Djantou n 827.3
1.73/1
1.23/0
Aalesund — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ivan Djantou n 827.3
0.41/0
0.41/0
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch n 869.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
H. M. Reed n 567
0.52/0
00/0
Mathias Christensen n 877
0.43/0
00/0
Jakob Nyland Örsahl n 854.4
00/0
0.42/0
Aalesund — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Uba Charles n 877.4
3.57/6
Marius Andresen n 852.9
2.65/2
Jakob Nyland Örsahl n 854.4
2.55/4
Henrik Melland n 850.1
2.56/3
Ólafur Guðmundsson n 882.5
2.27/4
Aalesund — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Kristoffer Klaesson n 890
48/7

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ValerengaAalesund
46%Possession54%
2.18Expected goals (xG)1.51
22Shots18
10Shots on target6
9Shots off target8
3Blocked shots4
10Shots inside the box11
8Corners7
1Offsides0
7Fouls5
5Saves4
405Passes466
81%Pass accuracy80%

Valerenga player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Oscar Hedvall9000000007
Sebastian Jarl9000003207.3
Ivan Näsberg9000000006.6
Kolbeinn Finnsson9001101707.5
Henrik Bjørdal9003314308.6
Ambina Fidèle Brice9000101607.5
Carl Lange8400001206.6
Aaron Kiil Olsen7200000007.2
Filip Thorvaldsen72214321010
Mathias Grundetjern7201103107.2
Lucas Haren5820320408.9
Petter Strand sub3200113006.6
Kevin Tshiembe sub1800100006.3
M. Ofkir sub1820330008.6
Gabriel Rajkovic sub1800101006.7
Magnus Westergaard sub1000000006.7

Aalesund player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Tor Erik Larsen9000000005
Uba Charles9001104005.7
Ólafur Guðmundsson9000000506
K. Nessø9000212104.3
Henrik Melland9000101005.3
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch9010325008.2
Mathias Christensen8400420206.6
Simen Haram4500000005.6
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen4500110106.5
Kristian Lonebu4500100006.2
Aleksander Kjelsen2800000006.6
Ulrik Syversen sub6200000005.2
Emil Engqvist sub4500000106
Hakon Butli Hammer sub4500000206.7
Elias Heggland Myrlid sub4500101106.3
Ivan Djantou sub1000000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Valerenga v Aalesund — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ValerengaLWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
AalesundWWDDD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Valerenga 3 · 3 draws · Aalesund 0 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2023-09-17 Valerenga 3–1 Aalesund
  • 2023-04-10 Aalesund 0–1 Valerenga
  • 2022-08-07 Valerenga 4–0 Aalesund
  • 2022-06-19 Aalesund 2–2 Valerenga
  • 2020-11-21 Aalesund 1–1 Valerenga
  • 2020-07-04 Valerenga 2–2 Aalesund
League standing · 2026
Valerenga#14 pos23 pts22 pl-10 GD
Aalesund#13 pos24 pts23 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Valerenga scored1.59
Aalesund scored1.7
Valerenga conceded2.05
Aalesund conceded2.22

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Valerenga v Aalesund?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Valerenga v Aalesund was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.46 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Valerenga and Aalesund?
In their last 6 meetings, Valerenga won 3, Aalesund won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Valerenga and Aalesund?
Recent form — Valerenga 2W 0D 3L; Aalesund 2W 3D 0L.

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