AjaxAZ Alkmaar

Ajax v AZ Alkmaar result

Full-time · Ajax 1–0 AZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie · · Johan Cruijff Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Ajax · AZ Alkmaar · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Ajax 1–0 AZ Alkmaar — Ajax won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.40 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Ajax beat AZ Alkmaar 1–0 at Johan Cruijff Arena in the Eredivisie on Saturday 31 October. Ajax have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Ajax led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Ajax: Toluwalase Arokodare (9’, assisted by A. Ouazane).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Toluwalase Arokodare’s goal on 9 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: AZ Alkmaar out-shot Ajax 20 to 9 and created the better chances, 2.32 xG to 0.77 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

The bookings — Ajax: A. Ouazane (30’); AZ Alkmaar: Weslley Patati (26’) and Mees de Wit (44’).

What it changes

Ajax stay second after this result (11 league matches played). Ajax have scored 30 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Ajax have conceded 13 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

AZ Alkmaar stay fifth after this result (11 league matches played). AZ Alkmaar have scored 20 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). AZ Alkmaar have conceded 13 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Ajax have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Toluwalase Arokodare (Ajax) 8.1, Marc-André ter Stegen (Ajax) 5.3 and Owen Wijndal (Ajax) 5.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Ajax, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Ajax next travel to Twente on 8 November 2026.

AZ Alkmaar next host Groningen on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ajax: Twente v Ajax, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for AZ Alkmaar: AZ Alkmaar v Groningen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Ajax 1–0 AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam
  • Referee: Allard Lindhout
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Ajax 0 · draws 2 · AZ Alkmaar 4 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ajax 3W 1D 1L · AZ Alkmaar 2W 1D 2L

Ajax 1–0 AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.88
Corners
against 4.13 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
7 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAjax for / againstLineAZ Alkmaar for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5our book
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
20.13 for · 11.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.38 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
7 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.63 for · 12.25 against n 8
21.5standard
14.5 for · 12.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Allard Lindhout.

Ajax

Ajax Goalkeeper

Ajax — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. ter Stegen13901170 min362.8 /90161.2 /9000 /90
M. Paes492367 min92.2 /9051.2 /9000 /90
Ajax — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. ter Stegen n 890
2.45/4
M. Paes n 890.9
2.25/4

Ajax Defensive

Ajax — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Bouwman14851188 min161.2 /90262 /9070.5 /90443.3 /90100.8 /9020.2 /90
Y. Baas13811048 min121 /90201.7 /9030.3 /90433.7 /9080.7 /9030.3 /90
Caio Henrique1164706 min121.5 /9070.9 /9000 /90253.2 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90
Lucas Rosa988796 min252.8 /90101.1 /9080.9 /90475.3 /90121.4 /9030.3 /90
O. Wijndal970633 min91.3 /9081.1 /9010.1 /90233.3 /90111.6 /9000 /90
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Ajax — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Mokio n 869.1
1.85/3
0.74/0
P. Koopmeiners
O. Gloukh n 851
0.21/0
1.85/1
—
J. Brandt n 885.6
0.43/0
0.42/1
P. Koopmeiners
D. Klaassen n 861.5
1.13/3
0.53/0
R. Daal
A. Ouazane n 835.8
0.93/0
3.85/4
R. Daal
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Ajax — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Mokio n 869.1
27/3
O. Gloukh n 851
1.13/1
J. Brandt n 885.6
0.74/1
D. Klaassen n 861.5
1.35/2
A. Ouazane n 835.8
1.96/0
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Ajax Attacking

Ajax — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Arokodare1352673 min91.2 /9030.4 /90374.9 /90162.1 /9091.2 /90101.3 /90
Marcos Leonardo1241490 min20.4 /9000 /90193.5 /9081.5 /9071.3 /9020.4 /90
S. Berghuis1070701 min20.3 /9050.6 /90253.2 /90121.5 /90283.6 /9070.9 /90
K. Dolberg854433 min20.4 /9010.2 /90163.3 /9091.9 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
V. Tsygankov746321 min00 /9010.3 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90102.8 /9030.8 /90
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Ajax — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Mokio n 869.1
1.87/3
0.73/1
O. Gloukh n 851
3.17/3
1.33/2
J. Brandt n 885.6
2.17/7
1.25/2
D. Klaassen n 861.5
2.47/6
1.14/2
A. Ouazane n 835.8
4.47/3
2.56/2
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Ajax — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Mokio n 869.1
0.31/1
0.21/0
O. Gloukh n 851
00/0
0.42/0
J. Brandt n 885.6
0.53/1
0.31/1
D. Klaassen n 861.5
0.53/0
0.21/0
A. Ouazane n 835.8
0.62/0
00/0
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AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar Goalkeeper

AZ Alkmaar — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Jari De Busser12901080 min292.4 /9050.4 /9000 /90
AZ Alkmaar — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jari De Busser n 890
37/6

AZ Alkmaar Defensive

AZ Alkmaar — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Schouten1189983 min252.3 /90100.9 /9060.5 /90615.6 /90141.3 /9020.2 /90
W. Goes1087874 min212.2 /90212.2 /9030.3 /90474.8 /90111.1 /9020.2 /90
E. Dijkstra1082823 min151.6 /9070.8 /9000 /90313.4 /9040.4 /9010.1 /90
M. Chávez1080801 min252.8 /9040.4 /9020.2 /90455.1 /90131.5 /9010.1 /90
M. de Wit551255 min93.2 /9000 /9000 /90155.3 /9062.1 /9000 /90
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AZ Alkmaar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jari De Busser n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
P. Koopmeiners n 890
2.17/5
0.43/0
J. Brandt
R. Daal n 874.4
0.95/1
2.37/5
A. Ouazane
L. Schouten n 889.1
1.36/3
0.43/0
—
Mexx Meerdink n 878.6
2.36/5
1.67/4
—
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AZ Alkmaar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Koopmeiners n 890
2.57/5
R. Daal n 874.4
2.17/4
L. Schouten n 889.1
2.78/6
Mexx Meerdink n 878.6
0.32/0
W. Goes n 886.8
2.27/5
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AZ Alkmaar Attacking

AZ Alkmaar — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mexx Meerdink1178862 min50.5 /9010.1 /90262.7 /90141.5 /9040.4 /9070.7 /90
A. Oufkir750350 min00 /9000 /9061.5 /9020.5 /9071.8 /90112.8 /90
B. Kovacs356168 min00 /9000 /9042.1 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9010.5 /90
J. Hornkamp23264 min22.8 /9000 /9057 /9057 /9034.2 /9000 /90
T. Parrott13333 min00 /9000 /9012.7 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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AZ Alkmaar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jari De Busser n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Koopmeiners n 890
15/2
0.64/1
R. Daal n 874.4
1.77/4
0.85/0
L. Schouten n 889.1
0.65/0
0.11/0
Mexx Meerdink n 878.6
2.68/5
1.47/3
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AZ Alkmaar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Jari De Busser n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Koopmeiners n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
R. Daal n 874.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
L. Schouten n 889.1
0.11/0
00/0
Mexx Meerdink n 878.6
0.64/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AjaxAZ Alkmaar
48%Possession52%
0.77Expected goals (xG)2.32
9Shots20
2Shots on target5
6Shots off target9
1Blocked shots6
7Shots inside the box11
1Corners8
0Offsides4
12Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves1
481Passes506

Ajax Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. ter Stegen9000000008.2
Lucas Rosa9000000306.7
A. Bouwman9000100106.9
Y. Baas9000001107.1
O. Wijndal9000000307.1
S. Amrabat9000000207
J. Mokio7400100006.4
T. Arokodare7410211008.2
D. Klaassen6000000206.6
A. Ouazane60012010Y6.8
O. Gloukh5200210106.7
J. Brandt3800001007.5
Marcos Leonardo3000100006.5
Y. Bissouma3000000106.6
D. Blind1600001006.5
S. Berghuis1600002006.8

AZ Alkmaar Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jari De Busser9000000006.8
D. Kwakman9000202107.2
P. Koopmeiners9000102306.9
Weslley Patati90003132Y6.8
R. Daal9000210206.1
Mexx Meerdink9000420206.6
L. Schouten8500000206.6
E. Dijkstra7800101206.9
M. de Wit78001002Y6.4
V. Byskov6000211006.4
W. Goes4500000106.7
W. Hoedt4500101207
C. Stengs3000102006.5
M. Chávez1200102106.2
D. Kasius1200100006.3
B. Kovacs500000006

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ajax v AZ Alkmaar — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AjaxDLWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
AZ AlkmaarLWDWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Ajax 0 · 2 draws · AZ Alkmaar 4 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-02-08 AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Ajax
  • 2026-01-14 AZ Alkmaar 6–0 Ajax
  • 2025-10-18 Ajax 0–2 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2025-03-16 Ajax 2–2 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2025-01-14 AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Ajax
  • 2024-12-08 AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Ajax
League standing · 2026/27
Ajax#2 pos24 pts11 pl+17 GD
AZ Alkmaar#5 pos20 pts11 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Ajax scored2.73
AZ Alkmaar scored1.82
Ajax conceded1.18
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.18

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Ajax v AZ Alkmaar?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ajax v AZ Alkmaar was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar?
In their last 6 meetings, Ajax won 0, AZ Alkmaar won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ajax and AZ Alkmaar?
Recent form — Ajax 3W 1D 1L; AZ Alkmaar 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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