Ajax v PSV Eindhoven result

Full-time · Ajax 1–3 PSV Eindhoven

Eredivisie · Sat, 05 Sep 2026 19:00 BST · Johan Cruijff Arena

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 01:21 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Ajax · PSV Eindhoven · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Ajax 1–3 PSV Eindhoven — PSV Eindhoven won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.25 at Unibet

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,936 of 2,589 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

PSV Eindhoven won 3–1 at Johan Cruijff Arena in the Eredivisie on Saturday 5 September. PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in their last 11 matches in all competitions.

The goals

PSV Eindhoven led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — PSV Eindhoven: Ricardo Pepi (5’, assisted by Ruben van Bommel), Lutsharel Geertruida (45’) and Esmir Bajraktarevic (90’, assisted by Sven Mijnans); Ajax: Toluwalase Arokodare (23’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lutsharel Geertruida’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Ajax 1.99, PSV Eindhoven 2.55, from 19 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands showed nine yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Ajax: Davy Klaassen (-5’), Youri Baas (81’) and Anton Gaaei (90+6’); PSV Eindhoven: Lutsharel Geertruida (-5’), Ivan Perišić (-5’), Kodai Sano (16’), Noah Fernandez (37’), Filip Kostić (74’) and Ruben van Bommel (81’).

What it changes

Ajax stay fourth after this result (four league matches played). Ajax have scored nine goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Ajax have conceded five goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

PSV Eindhoven move up from second to first (five league matches played). PSV Eindhoven have scored 18 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). PSV Eindhoven have conceded six goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

It is PSV Eindhoven’s first win over Ajax since 29 October 2023, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Ajax have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. PSV Eindhoven have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Toluwalase Arokodare (Ajax) 6.3, Jorthy Mokio (Ajax) 6.1 and Lutsharel Geertruida (PSV Eindhoven) 6.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Ajax are unbeaten in the last five meetings with PSV Eindhoven.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Ajax or PSV Eindhoven (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Ajax next travel to Twente on 8 November 2026.

PSV Eindhoven next travel to Cambuur on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ajax: Twente v Ajax, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for PSV Eindhoven: Cambuur v PSV Eindhoven, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Ajax 1–3 PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie
Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam
Referee: Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Ajax 2 · draws 3 · PSV Eindhoven 1 · 4 goals/game
Recent form: Ajax 3W 2D 0L · PSV Eindhoven 4W 1D 0L

Ajax 1–3 PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

3.25 / 4

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.75

over 8 matches

8.25 / 7.63

Corners

against 2.75 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

8.88 / 8.75

Shots on target

against 4 / 3.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.5 / 0.88

Cards

against 1.75 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4 yellows

Referee · Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands

20.38 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Ajax for / against	Line	PSV Eindhoven for / against
Goals scored	3.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.75our book	4 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	8.25 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	23.5 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	19.5 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	8.88 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	8.75 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.75 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8.5 for · 8.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 20.38 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Ajax

Ajax Goalkeeper

Ajax — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. ter Stegen	5	90450 min	173.4 /90	71.4 /90	00 /90
M. Paes	4	92367 min	92.2 /90	51.2 /90	00 /90

Ajax — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. ter Stegen n 5	90	3.4 4/3
M. Paes n 8	90.9	2.2 5/4

Ajax Defensive

Ajax — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Bouwman	9	91817 min	121.3 /90	171.9 /90	30.3 /90	283.1 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90
Caio Henrique	8	63503 min	101.8 /90	40.7 /90	00 /90	193.4 /90	61.1 /90	00 /90
Y. Baas	6	72429 min	30.6 /90	71.5 /90	10.2 /90	204.2 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90
Lucas Rosa	5	91453 min	153 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90	316.2 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90
O. Wijndal	5	61306 min	72.1 /90	30.9 /90	00 /90	154.4 /90	92.6 /90	00 /90
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Ajax — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Bouwman n 8	90.9	0.7 4/2	0.2 2/0	Mauro Júnior
J. Mokio n 8	51.3	2.2 6/3	0.4 1/1	—
Y. Regeer n 8	73.3	1.4 5/3	1.2 4/3	—
S. Berghuis n 8	71.5	0.6 4/0	1.3 5/3	G. Til
D. Klaassen n 8	70.6	0.6 3/1	0.6 4/0	—
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Ajax — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Bouwman n 8	90.9	1.4 5/2
J. Mokio n 8	51.3	0.9 2/1
Y. Regeer n 8	73.3	2.3 6/3
S. Berghuis n 8	71.5	0.9 5/1
D. Klaassen n 8	70.6	1.3 6/2
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Ajax Attacking

Ajax — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Berghuis	8	72572 min	20.3 /90	50.8 /90	223.5 /90	101.6 /90	193 /90	60.9 /90
Marcos Leonardo	8	37297 min	20.6 /90	00 /90	154.5 /90	61.8 /90	41.2 /90	00 /90
K. Dolberg	5	65326 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	133.6 /90	82.2 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90
T. Arokodare	5	43217 min	41.7 /90	20.8 /90	135.4 /90	83.3 /90	41.7 /90	41.7 /90
O. Edvardsen	5	42212 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	31.3 /90	20.8 /90	73 /90	10.4 /90
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Ajax — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Bouwman n 8	90.9	0.4 2/1	0.2 2/0
J. Mokio n 8	51.3	2.2 5/2	0.4 2/0
Y. Regeer n 8	73.3	0.5 3/0	0.5 3/0
S. Berghuis n 8	71.5	3.5 8/7	1.6 7/3
D. Klaassen n 8	70.6	1.6 6/4	1 5/1
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Ajax — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Bouwman n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Mokio n 8	51.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Y. Regeer n 8	73.3	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
S. Berghuis n 8	71.5	0.3 2/0	0.8 3/2
D. Klaassen n 8	70.6	0.8 5/0	0 0/0
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PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven Goalkeeper

PSV Eindhoven — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Kovář	4	90360 min	71.8 /90	51.3 /90	00 /90

PSV Eindhoven — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Kovář n 8	90	2.6 6/4

PSV Eindhoven Defensive

PSV Eindhoven — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Flamingo	4	90360 min	51.3 /90	82 /90	00 /90	184.5 /90	30.8 /90	00 /90
A. Obispo	4	87349 min	51.3 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	112.8 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90
Mauro Júnior	4	86345 min	51.3 /90	41 /90	00 /90	184.7 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
S. Dest	3	90269 min	41.3 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	248 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
G. Til	4	85338 min	10.3 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90	92.4 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
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PSV Eindhoven — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Flamingo n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0	—
M. Kovář n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
A. Obispo n 8	83	0.4 3/0	0.5 3/1	—
Mauro Júnior n 8	86.9	0.1 1/0	1 4/3	A. Bouwman
G. Til n 8	83.3	1.1 6/2	0.9 4/2	S. Berghuis
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PSV Eindhoven — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Flamingo n 8	90	1.4 7/3
A. Obispo n 8	83	0.7 3/2
Mauro Júnior n 8	86.9	2.1 8/4
G. Til n 8	83.3	0.5 3/1
R. Pepi n 8	82.6	0.4 3/0
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PSV Eindhoven Attacking

PSV Eindhoven — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Pepi	4	83332 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	123.3 /90	51.4 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90
I. Perišić	4	76303 min	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	82.4 /90	41.2 /90	103 /90	10.3 /90
A. Bouhamdi	3	3194 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	65.7 /90	43.8 /90
D. Man	2	2039 min	00 /90	00 /90	36.9 /90	12.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
E. Bajraktarevic	1	2525 min	00 /90	00 /90	13.6 /90	13.6 /90	13.6 /90	00 /90
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PSV Eindhoven — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Flamingo n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.4 3/0
M. Kovář n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Obispo n 8	83	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0
Mauro Júnior n 8	86.9	1 6/2	0.8 5/1
G. Til n 8	83.3	2 6/4	1.1 5/2
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PSV Eindhoven — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Flamingo n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Kovář n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Obispo n 8	83	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mauro Júnior n 8	86.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
G. Til n 8	83.3	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Ajax		PSV Eindhoven
53%	Possession	47%
1.99	Expected goals (xG)	2.55
19	Shots	13
6	Shots on target	5
7	Shots off target	6
6	Blocked shots	2
12	Shots inside the box	11
1	Corners	1
1	Offsides	1
6	Fouls	13
3	Yellow cards	6
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	5
513	Passes	446
83%	Pass accuracy	86%

Ajax Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. ter Stegen	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Y. Baas	90	0	1	0	0	2	Y	6.6
J. Brandt	90	0	2	1	3	0	0	7.2
Caio Henrique	90	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.2
A. Gaaei	90	0	0	0	0	5	Y	6.2
A. Bouwman	84	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
J. Mokio	73	0	1	1	2	3	0	7.3
T. Arokodare	61	1	1	1	1	1	0	7.2
S. Berghuis	61	0	2	1	2	2	0	6.9
O. Gloukh	54	0	1	0	0	3	0	7
D. Klaassen	54	0	1	0	1	1	Y	6.3
Marcos Leonardo sub	36	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
S. Amrabat sub	36	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
V. Tsygankov sub	29	0	1	1	1	1	0	6.7
K. Dolberg sub	29	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.6
A. Ouazane sub	17	0	2	1	0	1	0	6.9
T. Kehrer sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

PSV Eindhoven Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Ruben van Bommel	90	0	1	1	0	1	0	Y	7.2
G. Til	90	0	0	1	0	3	2	0	6.6
K. Sano	90	0	0	1	1	1	1	Y	6.2
S. Dest	90	0	0	0	0	3	3	0	7.5
M. Kovář	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
A. Obispo	88	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	7.3
Mauro Júnior	73	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	6.9
L. Geertruida	73	1	0	1	1	0	2	Y	7.9
I. Perišić	63	0	0	1	0	0	2	Y	7
R. Pepi	63	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	6.9
N. Fernandez	45	0	0	1	0	0	0	Y	6.3
P. Wanner sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	7
S. Mijnans sub	27	0	1	2	1	1	3	0	6.9
E. Bajraktarevic sub	27	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.3
Filip Kostić sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2
R. Flamingo sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Yarek Gasiorowski sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ajax v PSV Eindhoven — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AjaxDDWWW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 3.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

PSV EindhovenWDWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Ajax 2 · 3 draws · PSV Eindhoven 1 · 4 goals/game

2026-05-02 Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven
2025-09-21 PSV Eindhoven 2–2 Ajax
2025-03-30 PSV Eindhoven 0–2 Ajax
2024-11-02 Ajax 3–2 PSV Eindhoven
2024-02-03 Ajax 1–1 PSV Eindhoven
2023-10-29 PSV Eindhoven 5–2 Ajax

League standing · 2026/27

Ajax#2 pos24 pts11 pl+17 GD

PSV Eindhoven#3 pos23 pts11 pl+22 GD

Goals per game

Ajax scored2.73

PSV Eindhoven scored3.18

Ajax conceded1.18

PSV Eindhoven conceded1.18

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Ajax v PSV Eindhoven?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Ajax v PSV Eindhoven was Home or Away (best price 1.25 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven?: In their last 6 meetings, Ajax won 2, PSV Eindhoven won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ajax and PSV Eindhoven?: Recent form — Ajax 3W 2D 0L; PSV Eindhoven 4W 1D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 1 Nov 2026, 01:21 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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