AjaxTwente

Ajax v Twente result

Full-time · Ajax 1–2 Twente

Eredivisie · · Johan Cruijff Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Ajax · Twente · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Ajax 1–2 Twente — Twente won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,959 of 2,624 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Twente won 2–1 at Johan Cruijff Arena in the Eredivisie on Saturday 4 April. It is Twente’s first win over Ajax since 17 September 2023, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Twente: Ramiz Zerrouki (18’, assisted by Sondre Ørjasæter) and Bart van Rooij (79’, assisted by Sam Lammers); Ajax: Wout Weghorst (32’, assisted by Mika Godts).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Bart van Rooij’s goal on 79 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Ajax 0.94, Twente 1.37, from 10 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. van der Eijk showed six yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Ajax: Oliver Edvardsen (41’), Anton Gaaei (55’), Oscar Gloukh (63’) and Steven Berghuis (69’); Twente: Daan Rots (61’) and S. Lemkin (64’).

What it changes

Ajax move down from fourth to fifth (29 league matches played). Ajax have scored 64 goals, the fifth-most of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 36 games, ranked per game). Ajax have conceded 41 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 23 clubs.

Twente move up from fifth to fourth (29 league matches played). Twente have scored 59 goals, the sixth-most of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Twente have conceded 40 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 23 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ramiz Zerrouki (Twente) 8.5, Mika Godts (Ajax) 8.3 and Bart van Rooij (Twente) 8.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Ajax are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Twente.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Ajax or Twente (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Ajax next travel to Twente on 8 November 2026.

Twente next host Ajax on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ajax: Twente v Ajax, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Ajax 1–2 Twente · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam
  • Referee: S. van der Eijk
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Ajax 3 · draws 1 · Twente 2 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ajax 1W 3D 1L · Twente 4W 0D 1L

Ajax 1–2 Twente (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.14
Corners
against 4.88 / 3.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.5 / 6.29
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 4.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
0.88 / 0.43
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.38 yellows
Referee · S. van der Eijk
21 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAjax for / againstLineTwente for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.14 for · 3.86 against n 7
Shots
11.88 for · 11.75 against n 8
19.5standard
15.71 for · 10.86 against n 7
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
6.29 for · 4.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
9.25 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
9.57 for · 8.43 against n 7
Cards shown
0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
0.43 for · 1.71 against n 7

Referee: S. van der Eijk — 3.38 yellow cards a game, 0.15 red cards, 21 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Ajax

Ajax Goalkeeper

Ajax — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Jaroš26902341 min883.4 /90421.6 /9000 /90
R. Pasveer790630 min263.7 /90172.4 /9000 /90
M. Paes590450 min163.2 /9051 /9000 /90
Ajax — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Jaroš n 890.1
3.76/5
R. Pasveer n 890
3.68/6
M. Paes n 590
3.24/3

Ajax Defensive

Ajax — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Y. Baas34882995 min692.1 /90431.3 /90331 /901705.1 /90321 /9060.2 /90
A. Gaaei27681836 min271.3 /90190.9 /9040.2 /90683.3 /90211 /9050.2 /90
O. Wijndal26721875 min291.4 /90221.1 /9070.3 /90773.7 /90271.3 /9040.2 /90
Lucas Rosa25781959 min592.7 /90361.7 /90150.7 /901195.5 /90311.4 /9040.2 /90
J. Šutalo24761821 min110.5 /90412 /90110.5 /90834.1 /9090.4 /9010 /90
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Ajax — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mika Godts n 889.8
15/2
1.55/4
D. Rots
Y. Baas n 890
0.95/1
0.84/2
M. Rots
D. Klaassen n 874.9
1.87/4
0.64/0
—
Y. Regeer n 872.4
0.94/2
1.24/3
—
O. Gloukh n 874
0.53/0
0.95/1
—
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Ajax — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mika Godts n 889.8
1.35/2
Y. Baas n 890
2.16/6
D. Klaassen n 874.9
2.18/5
Y. Regeer n 872.4
3.18/7
O. Gloukh n 874
0.83/1
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Ajax Attacking

Ajax — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mika Godts35812822 min140.4 /90100.3 /90662.1 /90361.1 /90732.3 /90832.6 /90
W. Weghorst23731678 min70.4 /9010.1 /90311.7 /90120.6 /90291.6 /9060.3 /90
K. Dolberg21601256 min50.4 /9030.2 /90292.1 /90141 /90110.8 /9080.6 /90
Rayane Bounida19531002 min20.2 /9080.7 /90201.8 /90111 /90363.2 /90232.1 /90
O. Edvardsen1449687 min00 /9000 /9050.7 /9020.3 /9060.8 /9050.7 /90
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Ajax — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mika Godts n 889.8
2.58/6
1.45/4
Y. Baas n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Klaassen n 874.9
1.16/1
0.63/1
Y. Regeer n 872.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
O. Gloukh n 874
1.56/4
1.15/2
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Ajax — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mika Godts n 889.8
0.84/2
0.32/0
Y. Baas n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Klaassen n 874.9
0.32/0
00/0
Y. Regeer n 872.4
00/0
00/0
O. Gloukh n 874
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Twente

Twente Goalkeeper

Twente — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Unnerstall29902610 min732.5 /90341.2 /9000 /90
P. Tytoń19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Twente — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Unnerstall n 890
3.87/5
P. Tytoń n 888.3
2.55/3

Twente Defensive

Twente — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Rots30862582 min682.4 /90281 /9060.2 /901334.6 /90250.9 /9030.1 /90
B. van Rooij29892583 min853 /90210.7 /90130.5 /901756.1 /90260.9 /9050.2 /90
R. Pröpper22801762 min321.6 /90191 /90170.9 /901075.5 /90251.3 /9060.3 /90
S. Lemkin20841671 min160.9 /90140.8 /90140.8 /90563 /90140.8 /9010.1 /90
R. Nijstad16781251 min110.8 /9090.6 /9080.6 /90342.4 /9050.4 /9000 /90
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Twente — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Rots n 890
0.94/2
0.65/0
Y. Baas
D. Rots n 885.9
0.95/2
0.86/0
Mika Godts
L. Unnerstall n 890
00/0
00/0
—
B. van Rooij n 890
0.54/0
16/2
—
K. Hlynsson n 875.9
1.26/2
15/1
—
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Twente — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Rots n 890
2.87/6
D. Rots n 885.9
16/2
B. van Rooij n 890
5.18/8
K. Hlynsson n 875.9
1.24/2
T. van den Belt n 878.4
1.16/2
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Twente Attacking

Twente — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. van Wolfswinkel25661646 min100.5 /9010.1 /90291.6 /90211.1 /90231.3 /9060.3 /90
M. Pjaca2140846 min20.2 /9020.2 /90181.9 /90111.2 /90161.7 /90212.2 /90
S. Lammers16691101 min50.4 /9040.3 /90312.5 /90161.3 /90221.8 /90100.8 /90
T. Booth563313 min00 /9000 /9030.9 /9020.6 /9051.4 /9020.6 /90
D. Rots30712135 min90.4 /9030.1 /90451.9 /90251.1 /90512.1 /90271.1 /90
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Twente — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Rots n 890
0.64/1
0.53/1
D. Rots n 885.9
2.27/4
1.66/3
L. Unnerstall n 890
00/0
00/0
B. van Rooij n 890
0.63/1
0.32/0
K. Hlynsson n 875.9
1.57/3
1.27/1
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Twente — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Rots n 890
0.32/0
00/0
D. Rots n 885.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
L. Unnerstall n 890
00/0
00/0
B. van Rooij n 890
00/0
0.11/0
K. Hlynsson n 875.9
0.75/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AjaxTwente
51%Possession49%
0.94Expected goals (xG)1.37
10Shots16
2Shots on target7
4Shots off target5
4Blocked shots4
4Shots inside the box11
2Corners2
14Fouls10
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves1
508Passes481
84%Pass accuracy85%

Ajax Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Paes9000000106.3
J. Šutalo9000000006.3
Y. Baas9000000107.3
Lucas Rosa9000000307.5
J. Mokio9000102106.6
Sean Steur9000100206.6
Mika Godts9001113107.5
A. Gaaei89000001Y6.2
S. Berghuis71001010Y6.7
W. Weghorst7110210007.3
O. Edvardsen57000012Y6.9
O. Gloukh sub33000001Y6.2
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu sub1900001006.3
M. Carrizo sub1900000106.7
K. Dolberg sub10000000–

Twente Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Unnerstall9000000006.7
B. van Rooij9010110408
S. Lemkin90000000Y6.6
R. Nijstad9000100207
M. Rots9000211307.2
R. Zerrouki9010111308.6
K. Hlynsson8900112106.3
S. Lammers8901423005.6
S. Ørjasæter8501103007.2
T. van den Belt8400001407.3
D. Rots63001111Y6.3
M. Pjaca sub2700000006.6
M. Kjølø sub1200000006.3
R. van Wolfswinkel sub1100000006.3
A. Verschueren sub10000000–
R. Pröpper sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ajax v Twente — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AjaxDDLWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
TwenteWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Ajax 3 · 1 draw · Twente 2 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2025-10-26 Twente 2–3 Ajax
  • 2025-05-18 Ajax 2–0 Twente
  • 2024-11-10 Twente 2–2 Ajax
  • 2024-04-14 Ajax 2–1 Twente
  • 2023-09-17 Twente 3–1 Ajax
  • 2023-05-28 Twente 3–1 Ajax
League standing · 2025/26
Ajax#5 pos56 pts34 pl+21 GD
Twente#4 pos58 pts34 pl+19 GD
Goals per game
Ajax scored1.82
Twente scored1.74
Ajax conceded1.21
Twente conceded1.18

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Ajax v Twente?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ajax v Twente was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and Twente?
In their last 6 meetings, Ajax won 3, Twente won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ajax and Twente?
Recent form — Ajax 1W 3D 1L; Twente 4W 0D 1L.

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