Ajax v Willem II result
Team pages: Ajax · Willem II · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Ajax 5–1 Willem II — Ajax won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.
The result
Ajax beat Willem II 5–1 at Johan Cruijff Arena in the Eredivisie on Tuesday 15 September. Ajax have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Ajax led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Ajax: Davy Klaassen (41’, assisted by K. Dolberg), Julian Brandt (45’, assisted by Lucas Rosa), Viktor Tsygankov (69’, assisted by Oscar Gloukh), Oscar Gloukh (74’, assisted by K. Dolberg) and K. Dolberg (87’); Willem II: Alessandro Ciranni (76’, assisted by Uriel van Aalst).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Davy Klaassen’s goal on 41 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Ajax 3.79, Willem II 1.58, from 33 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Allard Lindhout, Netherlands showed no yellow cards — against 2.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition).
What it changes
Ajax move up from fifth to fourth (six league matches played). Ajax have scored 19 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games). Ajax have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Willem II move down from 16th to 17th (six league matches played). Willem II have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games). Willem II have conceded 19 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Oscar Gloukh (Ajax) 14.8, K. Dolberg (Ajax) 10.7 and Julian Brandt (Ajax) 9.2 led the match.
Head-to-head
Ajax are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Willem II, every meeting checked.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Ajax to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 79.1% of the time in the last 90 days (216 of 273).
Next up
Ajax next travel to Twente on 8 November 2026.
Willem II next travel to Twente on 22 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Ajax: Twente v Ajax, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Willem II: Twente v Willem II, Sunday 22 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Ajax 5–1 Willem II · Eredivisie
- Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam
- Referee: Allard Lindhout, Netherlands
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Ajax 5 · draws 1 · Willem II 0 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Ajax 4W 0D 1L
Ajax 5–1 Willem II (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
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Match Statistics & Details
| Ajax | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% | Possession | 30% |
| 3.79 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.58 |
| 33 | Shots | 10 |
| 12 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 11 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 26 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 14 | Corners | 2 |
| 3 | Offsides | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 7 |
| 755 | Passes | 327 |
| 92% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
Ajax Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Paes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Lucas Rosa | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Y. Baas | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| J. Mokio | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| K. Dolberg | 90 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| O. Gloukh | 90 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| T. Kehrer | 77 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| O. Wijndal | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Brandt | 67 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| D. Klaassen | 57 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| S. Berghuis | 57 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7.9 |
| S. Amrabat sub | 33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| V. Tsygankov sub | 33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8.2 |
| A. Ouazane sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Caio Henrique sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| D. Janse sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
Willem II Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Delanghe | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Finn Stam | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Nathan Tjoe-A-On | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| Calvin Twigt | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.6 |
| Uriel van Aalst | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Devin Haen | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Dekker | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| J. Slory | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| H. ter Avest | 61 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| T. Vilhena | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Per van Loon | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Lemmens sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Alessandro Ciranni sub | 45 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Et-Taïbi sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.7 |
| O. Martin sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| E. Gürbüz sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Ajax v Willem II — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-04-13 Willem II 1–2 Ajax
- 2024-10-27 Ajax 1–0 Willem II
- 2022-02-19 Willem II 0–1 Ajax
- 2021-12-02 Ajax 5–0 Willem II
- 2021-01-28 Ajax 3–1 Willem II
- 2020-12-23 Willem II 1–1 Ajax
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Ajax v Willem II?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Ajax v Willem II was Home win (best price 1.13 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and Willem II?
- In their last 6 meetings, Ajax won 5, Willem II won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Ajax and Willem II?
- Recent form — Ajax 4W 0D 1L.
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