AZ Alkmaar v Groningen result

Full-time · AZ Alkmaar 4–1 Groningen

Eredivisie · Sun, 10 Aug 2025 13:30 BST · AFAS Stadion

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: AZ Alkmaar · Groningen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

AZ Alkmaar 4–1 Groningen — AZ Alkmaar won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 565 of 883 times (64%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

AZ Alkmaar beat Groningen 4–1 at AFAS Stadion in the Eredivisie on Sunday 10 August. AZ Alkmaar have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

AZ Alkmaar led 3–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — AZ Alkmaar: D. Kasius (5’, assisted by Ernest Poku) and Troy Parrott (18’ pen; 87’, assisted by M. Chávez); Groningen: an own goal by S. Resink (32’) and Marco Rente (44’, assisted by Y. Taha).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: AZ Alkmaar 1.56, Groningen 1.50, from 10 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Gozubuyuk showed four yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AZ Alkmaar: Mees de Wit (35’) and Kees Smit (45+2’); Groningen: Tika de Jonge (47’) and Marvin Peersman (61’).

What it changes

AZ Alkmaar are third after this result (one league match played). AZ Alkmaar have scored 42 goals, the sixth-most of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 25 games, ranked per game). AZ Alkmaar have conceded 41 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 23 clubs.

Groningen are 16th after this result (one league match played). Groningen have scored 35 goals, the 11th-fewest of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 25 games, ranked per game). Groningen have conceded 34 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 23 clubs.

AZ Alkmaar have won their last three matches in all competitions. Groningen are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Troy Parrott (AZ Alkmaar) 14.0, D. Kasius (AZ Alkmaar) 8.5 and Marco Rente (Groningen) 8.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Groningen, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

AZ Alkmaar next host Groningen on 8 November 2026.

Groningen next travel to AZ Alkmaar on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for AZ Alkmaar: AZ Alkmaar v Groningen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: AZ Alkmaar 4–1 Groningen · Eredivisie
Venue: AFAS Stadion · Alkmaar
Referee: S. Gozubuyuk
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): AZ Alkmaar 5 · draws 1 · Groningen 0 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: AZ Alkmaar 4W 0D 1L · Groningen 2W 1D 2L

AZ Alkmaar 4–1 Groningen (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

3.13 / 1.88

Goals

against 1.25 / 2.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.88 / 3.13

Corners

against 2.63 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

8.88 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 3.63 / 5.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.5 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.73 yellows

Referee · S. Gozubuyuk

21.8 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 15 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	AZ Alkmaar for / against	Line	Groningen for / against
Goals scored	3.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.88 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	17.63 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.5 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	8.88 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.25 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.63 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: S. Gozubuyuk — 3.73 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 21.8 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar Goalkeeper

AZ Alkmaar — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Zoet	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90

AZ Alkmaar — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Zoet n 8	90	2 6/3

AZ Alkmaar Defensive

AZ Alkmaar — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
W. Goes	3	90270 min	93 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90	155 /90	62 /90	10.3 /90
M. de Wit	3	89267 min	51.7 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90	113.7 /90	62 /90	10.3 /90
D. Kasius	3	82247 min	72.6 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	124.4 /90	51.8 /90	00 /90
Alexandre Penetra	2	90180 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	42 /90	00 /90	00 /90
M. Dekker	1	7878 min	33.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	44.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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AZ Alkmaar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
W. Goes n 8	84.4	1.1 4/2	1.1 5/2	—
J. Zoet n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
M. de Wit n 8	80	1.8 6/4	0.6 4/0	—
E. Poku n 8	79.9	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1	—
D. Kasius n 8	58.1	1.2 4/2	0.8 3/1	—
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AZ Alkmaar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
W. Goes n 8	84.4	2 7/4
M. de Wit n 8	80	2.1 7/5
E. Poku n 8	79.9	1.5 5/4
D. Kasius n 8	58.1	2.3 7/3
K. Smit n 8	72.6	2 8/4
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AZ Alkmaar Attacking

AZ Alkmaar — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Parrott	3	69207 min	52.2 /90	10.4 /90	135.7 /90	104.3 /90	83.5 /90	31.3 /90
I. Jensen	3	2473 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.7 /90	11.2 /90	22.5 /90	11.2 /90
Mexx Meerdink	3	2265 min	22.8 /90	11.4 /90	56.9 /90	22.8 /90	11.4 /90	11.4 /90
I. Sadiq	1	1515 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	318 /90
E. Poku	3	85256 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	72.5 /90	51.8 /90	41.4 /90	41.4 /90
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AZ Alkmaar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
W. Goes n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Zoet n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. de Wit n 8	80	0.6 3/1	0.4 2/1
E. Poku n 8	79.9	2.4 7/5	2 7/5
D. Kasius n 8	58.1	2.3 7/2	1.4 4/2
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AZ Alkmaar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Goes n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Zoet n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. de Wit n 8	80	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
E. Poku n 8	79.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
D. Kasius n 8	58.1	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AZ Alkmaar		Groningen
51%	Possession	49%
1.56	Expected goals (xG)	1.50
10	Shots	11
5	Shots on target	8
3	Shots off target	3
2	Blocked shots	0
8	Shots inside the box	7
6	Corners	1
1	Offsides	0
11	Fouls	12
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
6	Saves	2
406	Passes	388
77%	Pass accuracy	80%

AZ Alkmaar Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Zoet	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
D. Kasius	90	1	0	2	1	2	2	0	8.3
W. Goes	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7
Alexandre Penetra	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
J. Clasie	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
T. Parrott	90	2	0	5	3	0	4	0	8.7
S. Mijnans	85	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	6.5
M. de Wit	77	0	0	0	0	1	3	Y	7.9
E. Poku	77	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
K. Smit	76	0	0	0	0	1	2	Y	7
R. Daal	68	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.7
I. Jensen sub	22	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
P. Koopmeiners sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
M. Chávez sub	13	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	7
Mexx Meerdink sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
I. Sadiq sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3

Groningen Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
H. Jurjus	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.3
T. Blokzijl	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.2
M. Peersman	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
T. de Jonge	90	0	0	1	1	1	1	Y	6.3
S. Resink	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	4.9
Y. Taha	90	0	1	2	2	1	2	0	6.9
T. van Bergen	90	0	0	2	1	1	2	0	5.9
B. Willumsson	90	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	6.2
M. Rente	74	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	8
Wouter Prins	66	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5.9
D. van der Werff	45	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.7
J. Schreuders sub	45	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.2
Tyrique Mercera sub	24	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.2
Noam Fritz Emeran sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AZ Alkmaar v Groningen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AZ AlkmaarWWLWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

GroningenWWLDL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

AZ Alkmaar 5 · 1 draw · Groningen 0 · 2.33 goals/game

2025-05-11 AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Groningen
2024-12-18 AZ Alkmaar 3–1 Groningen
2024-08-25 Groningen 0–0 AZ Alkmaar
2023-03-11 AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Groningen
2022-10-01 Groningen 1–4 AZ Alkmaar
2021-12-21 AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Groningen

League standing · 2025/26

AZ Alkmaar#7 pos52 pts34 pl+7 GD

Groningen#9 pos48 pts34 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

AZ Alkmaar scored1.71

Groningen scored1.44

AZ Alkmaar conceded1.5

Groningen conceded1.32

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for AZ Alkmaar v Groningen?: TACTIX’s free model pick for AZ Alkmaar v Groningen was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between AZ Alkmaar and Groningen?: In their last 6 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 5, Groningen won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AZ Alkmaar and Groningen?: Recent form — AZ Alkmaar 4W 0D 1L; Groningen 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.