AZ Alkmaar v Willem II result
Team pages: AZ Alkmaar · Willem II · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Willem II — this Eredivisie match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.
The result
AZ Alkmaar and Willem II drew 1–1 at AFAS Stadion in the Eredivisie on Friday 11 September. AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in their last 12 matches in all competitions.
The goals
AZ Alkmaar led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — AZ Alkmaar: Jordy Clasie (32’, assisted by Mexx Meerdink); Willem II: Devin Haen (81’, assisted by Uriel van Aalst).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Devin Haen’s goal on 81 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: AZ Alkmaar out-shot Willem II 22 to 8 and created the better chances, 2.48 xG to 0.93 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
Discipline
Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands showed one yellow card — against 2.1 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Willem II: Tonny Vilhena (29’).
What it changes
AZ Alkmaar stay first after this result (six league matches played). AZ Alkmaar have scored 20 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). AZ Alkmaar have conceded 13 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Willem II move up from 17th to 16th (five league matches played). Willem II have scored 10 goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Willem II have conceded 39 goals, the most of the 18 clubs.
AZ Alkmaar have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ro-Zangelo Daal (AZ Alkmaar) 7.9, Uriel van Aalst (Willem II) 7.8 and M. Chávez (AZ Alkmaar) 6.9 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, AZ Alkmaar to win, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78.5% of the time in the last 90 days (219 of 279).
Next up
AZ Alkmaar next host Groningen on 8 November 2026.
Willem II next host PEC Zwolle on 6 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for AZ Alkmaar: AZ Alkmaar v Groningen, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Willem II: Willem II v PEC Zwolle, Friday 6 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Willem II · Eredivisie
- Venue: AFAS Stadion · Alkmaar
- Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof, Netherlands
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): AZ Alkmaar 4 · draws 1 · Willem II 1 · 3.83 goals/game
- Recent form: AZ Alkmaar 5W 0D 0L
AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Willem II (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| AZ Alkmaar | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% | Possession | 33% |
| 2.48 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.93 |
| 22 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 15 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 16 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 679 | Passes | 338 |
| 90% | Pass accuracy | 77% |
AZ Alkmaar Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jari De Busser | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Schouten | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| P. Koopmeiners | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8.9 |
| W. Goes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| E. Dijkstra | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Chávez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 7.3 |
| D. Kwakman | 87 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. Daal | 87 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9.3 |
| Mexx Meerdink | 78 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| C. Stengs | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Clasie | 64 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| Weslley Patati sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| V. Byskov sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Hornkamp sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| A. Oufkir sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| B. Kovacs sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Willem II Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Delanghe | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Uriel van Aalst | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| Calvin Twigt | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Nathan Tjoe-A-On | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6.6 |
| H. ter Avest | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Finn Stam | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Devin Haen | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Dekker | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Slory | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Vilhena | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| Per van Loon | 70 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Alessandro Ciranni sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. Boogaard sub | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Thomas Verheydt sub | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | – |
| M. Lemmens sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind AZ Alkmaar v Willem II — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-02-02 Willem II 0–2 AZ Alkmaar
- 2024-11-10 AZ Alkmaar 1–2 Willem II
- 2022-03-20 Willem II 2–2 AZ Alkmaar
- 2021-12-18 AZ Alkmaar 4–1 Willem II
- 2021-04-03 Willem II 0–1 AZ Alkmaar
- 2020-12-20 AZ Alkmaar 5–3 Willem II
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for AZ Alkmaar v Willem II?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for AZ Alkmaar v Willem II was Home win (best price 1.18 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between AZ Alkmaar and Willem II?
- In their last 6 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 4, Willem II won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of AZ Alkmaar and Willem II?
- Recent form — AZ Alkmaar 5W 0D 0L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.