This Matchweek

CambuurExcelsior

Cambuur v Excelsior result

Full-time · Cambuur 0–4 Excelsior

Eredivisie · · Kooi Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Cambuur 0–4 Excelsior — Excelsior won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.75 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Excelsior won 4–0 at Kooi Stadion in the Eredivisie on Friday 7 August. Excelsior have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Excelsior led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Excelsior: Irakli Yegoian (17’, assisted by Gyan de Regt), Noah Naujoks (31’, assisted by Irakli Yegoian; 69’, assisted by Simon Janssen) and D. Garden (42’, assisted by Simon Janssen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Irakli Yegoian’s goal on 17 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Cambuur 0.70, Excelsior 3.35, from 11 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Allard Lindhout, Netherlands showed no yellow cards — against 2.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Cambuur are 18th after this result (one league match played). Cambuur have scored 23 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Cambuur have conceded 22 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Excelsior are first after this result (one league match played). Excelsior have scored 16 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Excelsior have conceded 28 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs.

Excelsior’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 1, across nine matches. Cambuur are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Excelsior are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Noah Naujoks (Excelsior) 12.4, Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior) 11.2 and Simon Janssen (Excelsior) 9.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Cambuur next host PSV Eindhoven on 8 November 2026.

Excelsior next host GO Ahead Eagles on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cambuur: Cambuur v PSV Eindhoven, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Excelsior: Excelsior v GO Ahead Eagles, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cambuur 0–4 Excelsior · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Kooi Stadion · Leeuwarden
  • Referee: Allard Lindhout, Netherlands
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Cambuur 0 · draws 0 · Excelsior 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cambuur 1W 1D 3L · Excelsior 3W 2D 0L

Cambuur 0–4 Excelsior (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.33 / 3.5
Corners
against 3.67 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 3 matches
5 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 6.33 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 3 matches
3 / 0.5
Cards
against 2 / 2 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 3 matches
2.33 yellows
Referee · Allard Lindhout, Netherlands
19.08 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCambuur for / againstLineExcelsior for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.75our book
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.33 for · 3.67 against n 3
9.5standard
3.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
13.67 for · 14.33 against n 3
19.5standard
14 for · 12.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 6.33 against n 3
8.5standard
4.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
15 for · 10.33 against n 3
21.5standard
11.88 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2 against n 3
3.5standard
0.5 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Allard Lindhout, Netherlands — 2.33 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 19.08 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CambuurExcelsior
47%Possession53%
0.70Expected goals (xG)3.35
11Shots18
2Shots on target9
6Shots off target4
3Blocked shots5
5Shots inside the box14
5Corners8
1Offsides1
6Fouls11
5Saves1
379Passes430
84%Pass accuracy82%

Cambuur Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Jansen9000000007.9
I. Baouf9000000006.7
J. Amofa9000102406.7
R. El Arguioui9000312006.5
N. Souren9000002406.9
Iwan Henstra9000210307.5
I. Hamache9000000107.2
S. Vink8100101006.6
L. Jetten6600002005.7
R. Mulders4500000205.9
R. van de Pavert4500000106.2
M. Costarelli sub4500100406.3
S. Bouhoudane sub4500001006.2
Ethan Apkakou sub2400000006.2
Wessel van der Goot sub900000006.5

Excelsior Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. van Gassel9000000007.9
R. Meissen9000000107.2
J. Plug9000000107
D. van Vianen9000101107
N. Naujoks9020322308.5
L. Hartjes9000111207.6
G. de Regt8501321106.9
S. Janssen8102003508.6
Irakli Yegoian7511114308.9
N. Martens7400000106.7
David Garden7410321008.2
C. Widell sub1600000006.6
N. Groen sub1600001006.2
A. Sliti sub1500111006.9
O. Turay sub900000006.7
I. Silva Timas sub900000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cambuur v Excelsior — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CambuurWLLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
ExcelsiorDWWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Cambuur 0 · 0 draws · Excelsior 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2023-03-19 Excelsior 4–1 Cambuur
  • 2022-08-06 Cambuur 0–2 Excelsior
League standing · 2026/27
Cambuur#9 pos15 pts11 pl+1 GD
Excelsior#15 pos11 pts11 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Cambuur scored2.09
Excelsior scored1.45
Cambuur conceded2
Excelsior conceded2.55

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cambuur v Excelsior?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cambuur v Excelsior was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Cambuur and Excelsior?
In their last 2 meetings, Cambuur won 0, Excelsior won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cambuur and Excelsior?
Recent form — Cambuur 1W 1D 3L; Excelsior 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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