This Matchweek

CambuurTwente

Cambuur v Twente result

Full-time · Cambuur 1–4 Twente

Eredivisie · · Kooi Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Cambuur 1–4 Twente — Twente won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.37 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 547 of 851 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Twente won 4–1 at Kooi Stadion in the Eredivisie on Sunday 30 August. Cambuur are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

Twente led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Twente: Ruud Nijstad (22’, assisted by Bart van Rooij), Wout Weghorst (26’, assisted by Joël Drommel), Marko Pjaca (47’, assisted by Sondre Ørjasæter) and Y. Taha (82’); Cambuur: Ilyes Hamache (88’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ruud Nijstad’s goal on 22 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Cambuur 0.47, Twente 1.76, from 10 shots to 23 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Erwin Blank, Netherlands showed two yellow cards — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cambuur: Nicky Souren (39’); Twente: Sondre Ørjasæter (40’).

What it changes

Cambuur stay 18th after this result (four league matches played).

Twente move up from 10th to eighth (shared) (three league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Y. Taha (Twente) 7.4, Wout Weghorst (Twente) 6.3 and Billy van Duijl (Cambuur) 5.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Twente are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Cambuur.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

Cambuur next host PSV Eindhoven on 8 November 2026.

Twente next host Ajax on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cambuur: Cambuur v PSV Eindhoven, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Twente: Twente v Ajax, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cambuur 1–4 Twente · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Kooi Stadion · Leeuwarden
  • Referee: Erwin Blank, Netherlands
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Cambuur 1 · draws 0 · Twente 4 · 2.4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cambuur 0W 1D 4L · Twente 2W 1D 2L

Cambuur 1–4 Twente (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2.13
Goals
against 2.63 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.17 / 5.43
Corners
against 4.67 / 2.57 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.67 / 5.86
Shots on target
against 7 / 3.43 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.83 / 1.43
Cards
against 1.17 / 1.29 · 0 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
2.5 yellows
Referee · Erwin Blank, Netherlands
19.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCambuur for / againstLineTwente for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5our book
2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.17 for · 4.67 against n 6
9.5standard
5.43 for · 2.57 against n 7
Shots
13.5 for · 15.33 against n 6
19.5standard
15.86 for · 7.29 against n 7
Shots on target
4.67 for · 7 against n 6
8.5standard
5.86 for · 3.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.33 for · 10.83 against n 6
21.5standard
7.86 for · 5.29 against n 7
Cards shown
1.83 for · 1.17 against n 6
3.5standard
1.43 for · 1.29 against n 7

Referee: Erwin Blank, Netherlands — 2.5 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 19.67 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Cambuur

Cambuur Goalkeeper

Cambuur — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Jansen390270 min124 /90124 /9000 /90
Cambuur — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambuur before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Jansen n 490
44/4

Cambuur Defensive

Cambuur — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
I. Baouf390270 min20.7 /9051.7 /9082.7 /9082.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90
J. Amofa387262 min51.7 /9031 /9020.7 /90155.2 /9072.4 /9000 /90
L. Jetten373218 min31.2 /9052.1 /9010.4 /90125 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
M. Costarelli345135 min53.3 /9032 /9000 /9074.7 /9021.3 /9000 /90
W. Kooistra268135 min64 /9032 /9000 /90106.7 /9042.7 /9000 /90
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Cambuur — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambuur before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Souren n 672.5
0.62/1
0.83/1
R. Zerrouki
R. El Arguioui n 390
0.31/0
1.33/1
R. Zerrouki
I. Baouf n 482.3
0.31/0
00/0
A. Adelgaard
T. Jansen n 490
00/0
0.52/0
—
J. Amofa n 485.8
1.83/1
1.34/1
A. Adelgaard
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Cambuur — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambuur before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Souren n 672.5
1.23/1
R. El Arguioui n 390
0.72/0
I. Baouf n 482.3
0.52/0
J. Amofa n 485.8
2.13/2
Iwan Henstra n 383.3
2.23/2
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Cambuur Attacking

Cambuur — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Iwan Henstra383250 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9010.4 /9051.8 /90103.6 /90
I. Hamache374223 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9041.6 /90
S. Bouhoudane366197 min00 /9000 /9062.7 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
F. Kvam12828 min00 /9000 /9013.2 /9013.2 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Binder12828 min00 /9013.2 /9013.2 /9000 /9013.2 /9000 /90
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Cambuur — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambuur before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. El Arguioui n 390
2.33/2
1.33/1
N. Souren n 672.5
0.62/1
0.62/1
I. Baouf n 482.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
T. Jansen n 490
00/0
00/0
J. Amofa n 485.8
0.31/0
00/0
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Cambuur — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambuur before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. El Arguioui n 390
12/1
00/0
N. Souren n 672.5
00/0
0.21/0
T. Jansen n 490
00/0
00/0
I. Baouf n 482.3
00/0
00/0
J. Amofa n 485.8
00/0
00/0
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Twente

Twente Goalkeeper

Twente — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Unnerstall590450 min122.4 /9030.6 /9000 /90
J. Drommel19090 min66 /9033 /9000 /90
Twente — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Unnerstall n 890
2.66/5
J. Drommel n 890
3.17/6

Twente Defensive

Twente — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. van Rooij682492 min142.6 /9071.3 /9020.4 /90254.6 /9071.3 /9000 /90
A. Adelgaard586430 min71.5 /9081.7 /9010.2 /90224.6 /9061.3 /9010.2 /90
R. Pröpper581405 min40.9 /9040.9 /9020.4 /90204.4 /9040.9 /9020.4 /90
R. Nijstad490360 min61.5 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90143.5 /9010.3 /9000 /90
M. Bruns468270 min31 /9031 /9010.3 /9062 /9010.3 /9000 /90
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Twente — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. van Rooij n 884
0.94/1
0.43/0
—
D. Rots n 879.9
16/1
1.56/3
—
R. Zerrouki n 876
1.67/4
0.74/1
R. El Arguioui
L. Unnerstall n 890
00/0
00/0
—
A. Adelgaard n 586
1.34/2
1.34/2
J. Amofa
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Twente — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. van Rooij n 884
2.77/6
D. Rots n 879.9
1.77/4
R. Zerrouki n 876
1.87/3
A. Adelgaard n 586
1.54/2
R. Pröpper n 859.3
1.16/0
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Twente Attacking

Twente — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Weghorst579397 min00 /9010.2 /9071.6 /9020.5 /9092 /9020.5 /90
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink343128 min00 /9000 /9032.1 /9000 /9021.4 /9000 /90
S. Lammers12929 min00 /9000 /9013.1 /9000 /9026.2 /9000 /90
N. Ünüvar12222 min00 /9014.1 /9028.2 /9000 /9014.1 /9000 /90
D. Rots678470 min20.4 /9000 /90122.3 /9040.8 /9091.7 /9040.8 /90
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Twente — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. van Rooij n 884
0.54/0
0.32/0
D. Rots n 879.9
25/5
0.84/2
R. Zerrouki n 876
0.74/1
0.11/0
L. Unnerstall n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Adelgaard n 586
0.82/2
0.42/0
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Twente — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Twente before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. van Rooij n 884
00/0
00/0
D. Rots n 879.9
0.43/0
00/0
R. Zerrouki n 876
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Unnerstall n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Adelgaard n 586
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CambuurTwente
36%Possession64%
0.47Expected goals (xG)1.76
10Shots23
3Shots on target10
7Shots off target9
0Blocked shots4
5Shots inside the box13
2Corners9
2Offsides2
6Fouls14
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
6Saves2
338Passes599
81%Pass accuracy89%

Cambuur Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Jansen9000000006.5
I. Baouf9000000206.5
B. van Duijl9000003407.3
L. Jetten9000100206.2
R. El Arguioui9000302306.5
N. Souren90001002Y6.3
Iwan Henstra8500200306.3
J. Berkhout7700000106.5
J. Amofa6500000005.9
M. Costarelli4500000006.2
S. Bouhoudane4500110006.7
F. Kvam sub4500111006.9
N. Binder sub4500000206.2
D. Bouah sub2500001106.7
S. Vink sub1300000006.3
I. Hamache sub810111007.7

Twente Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Drommel9001001006.9
R. Pröpper9000110006.3
R. Nijstad9010110007.9
R. Zerrouki9000203206.9
Y. Taha9010413207.3
W. Weghorst9010443007.3
B. van Rooij8501003007.5
A. Adelgaard8500001507.2
M. Pjaca7710211107.3
D. Weidmann6000101207.2
S. Ørjasæter60011030Y6.9
Filip Thorvaldsen sub3000100006.9
T. van den Belt sub3000111306.3
F. Thorvaldsen sub3000100006.9
K. Kurowski sub1300110005.9
M. Bruns sub800000006.5
Guilherme Martinho Peixoto sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cambuur v Twente — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CambuurDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1.2 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
TwenteLDWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Cambuur 1 · 0 draws · Twente 4 · 2.4 goals/game
  • 2023-04-09 Twente 4–0 Cambuur
  • 2022-10-23 Cambuur 0–1 Twente
  • 2022-03-06 Twente 1–0 Cambuur
  • 2021-08-28 Cambuur 2–0 Twente
  • 2018-01-30 Twente 3–1 Cambuur
League standing · 2026/27
Cambuur#9 pos15 pts11 pl+1 GD
Twente#4 pos23 pts11 pl+18 GD
Goals per game
Cambuur scored2.09
Twente scored2.55
Cambuur conceded2
Twente conceded0.91

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cambuur v Twente?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cambuur v Twente was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.37 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Cambuur and Twente?
In their last 5 meetings, Cambuur won 1, Twente won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cambuur and Twente?
Recent form — Cambuur 0W 1D 4L; Twente 2W 1D 2L.

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