Excelsior v Heerenveen prediction

The match

Excelsior host Heerenveen in the Eredivisie on Sunday 28 February (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

12 of Excelsior’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Excelsior are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 11 of Excelsior’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Excelsior have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.86. Excelsior have scored 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Excelsior have conceded 18 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Eight of Heerenveen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in five of Heerenveen’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Heerenveen have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.71. Heerenveen have scored 15 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Heerenveen have conceded 11 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Excelsior (10th) and Heerenveen (eighth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Heerenveen the stronger side, 166 rating points above Excelsior (Heerenveen 1657, Excelsior 1491, after at least 189 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Heerenveen are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Excelsior. The most recent meeting, on 16 October 2026, finished Heerenveen 4–0 Excelsior.

Team news

Predicted Excelsior XI (4-3-3): S. van Gassel, C. Widell, J. Plug, S. Janssen, R. Meissen, I. Yegoian, L. Hartjes, D. van Vianen, D. Garden, A. Sliti, Á. Þorsteinsson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Irakli Yegoian (7.1 per match over nine appearances, three goals and five assists) and Casper Widell (3.6 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Excelsior’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Excelsior (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Irakli Yegoian averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 857 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Casper Widell averages 0.7 tackles per 90 over 736 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Heerenveen XI (4-2-3-1): B. Klaverboer, V. Zagaritis, M. Willemsen, S. Kersten, O. Braude, J. Trenskow, M. Rivera, N. Courtens, M. Linday, R. Meerveld, D. Vente — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Jacob Trenskow (5.1 per match over nine appearances, four goals and two assists) and Oliver Braude (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two goals) have been Heerenveen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Heerenveen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jacob Trenskow averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 778 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last nine appearances. Oliver Braude averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 678 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances.